Pacific Ocean
Aliens most likely to contact artificial intelligence before humans over likely 'kinship': Expert
UFO expert Nick Pope discuss the whistleblower claiming that the U.S. has alien crafts and remains on'Fox News @ Night.' A Harvard professor of astronomy is predicting extraterrestrials will make contact with artificial intelligence before humans, due to aliens potentially feeling a "kinship" with human technology. "My expectation from interstellar travel is that it's best done with electronic gadgets and devices rather than with biological creatures because the journey takes a long time," Harvard professor Avi Loeb said in an upcoming documentary titled "God Vs. "Even to the nearest star, it will take us 50,000 years to get there with chemical rockets. And artificial intelligence systems have that patience - and then they can remain dormant ... so that they survive the journey," he said. Space agencies across the world, including NASA and the European Space Agency, have for years been using AI technology to chart galaxies and stars and even send robots to other planets. Avi Loeb, Frank B. Baird Jr. Professor of Science at Harvard University, speaks during the SALT conference in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., September 14, 2022. Loeb said extraterrestrials would likely reach out to artificial intelligence before humans due to a likely "kinship." "If they visit us, of course, we can use our AI systems to interpret their AI systems.
On the Connection Between MPNN and Graph Transformer
Cai, Chen, Hy, Truong Son, Yu, Rose, Wang, Yusu
Graph Transformer (GT) recently has emerged as a new paradigm of graph learning algorithms, outperforming the previously popular Message Passing Neural Network (MPNN) on multiple benchmarks. Previous work (Kim et al., 2022) shows that with proper position embedding, GT can approximate MPNN arbitrarily well, implying that GT is at least as powerful as MPNN. In this paper, we study the inverse connection and show that MPNN with virtual node (VN), a commonly used heuristic with little theoretical understanding, is powerful enough to arbitrarily approximate the self-attention layer of GT. In particular, we first show that if we consider one type of linear transformer, the so-called Performer/Linear Transformer (Choromanski et al., 2020; Katharopoulos et al., 2020), then MPNN + VN with only O(1) depth and O(1) width can approximate a self-attention layer in Performer/Linear Transformer. Next, via a connection between MPNN + VN and DeepSets, we prove the MPNN + VN with O(n^d) width and O(1) depth can approximate the self-attention layer arbitrarily well, where d is the input feature dimension. Lastly, under some assumptions, we provide an explicit construction of MPNN + VN with O(1) width and O(n) depth approximating the self-attention layer in GT arbitrarily well. On the empirical side, we demonstrate that 1) MPNN + VN is a surprisingly strong baseline, outperforming GT on the recently proposed Long Range Graph Benchmark (LRGB) dataset, 2) our MPNN + VN improves over early implementation on a wide range of OGB datasets and 3) MPNN + VN outperforms Linear Transformer and MPNN on the climate modeling task.
Effects of spatiotemporal correlations in wind data on neural network-based wind predictions
Shin, Heesoo, Rüttgers, Mario, Lee, Sangseung
This paper investigates the influence of incorporating spatiotemporal wind data on the performance of wind forecasting neural networks. While previous studies have shown that including spatial data enhances the accuracy of such models, limited research has explored the impact of different spatial and temporal scales of input wind data on the learnability of neural network models. In this study, convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are employed and trained using various scales of spatiotemporal wind data. The research demonstrates that using spatiotemporally correlated data from the surrounding area and past time steps for training a CNN favorably affects the predictive performance of the model. The study proposes correlation analyses, including autocorrelation and Pearson correlation analyses, to unveil the influence of spatiotemporal wind characteristics on the predictive performance of different CNN models. The spatiotemporal correlations and performances of CNN models are investigated in three regions: Korea, the USA, and the UK. The findings reveal that regions with smaller deviations of autocorrelation coefficients (ACC) are more favorable for CNNs to learn the regional and seasonal wind characteristics. Specifically, the regions of Korea, the USA, and the UK exhibit maximum standard deviations of ACCs of 0.100, 0.043, and 0.023, respectively. The CNNs wind prediction performances follow the reverse order of the regions: UK, USA, and Korea. This highlights the significant impact of regional and seasonal wind conditions on the performance of the prediction models.
FDNet: Focal Decomposed Network for Efficient, Robust and Practical Time Series Forecasting
Shen, Li, Wei, Yuning, Wang, Yangzhu, Qiu, Huaxin
This paper presents FDNet: a Focal Decomposed Network for efficient, robust and practical time series forecasting. We break away from conventional deep time series forecasting formulas which obtain prediction results from universal feature maps of input sequences. In contrary, FDNet neglects universal correlations of input elements and only extracts fine-grained local features from input sequence. We show that: (1) Deep time series forecasting with only fine-grained local feature maps of input sequence is feasible upon theoretical basis. (2) By abandoning global coarse-grained feature maps, FDNet overcomes distribution shift problem caused by changing dynamics of time series which is common in real-world applications. (3) FDNet is not dependent on any inductive bias of time series except basic auto-regression, making it general and practical. Moreover, we propose focal input sequence decomposition method which decomposes input sequence in a focal manner for efficient and robust forecasting when facing Long Sequence Time series Input (LSTI) problem. FDNet achieves competitive forecasting performances on six real-world benchmarks and reduces prediction MSE by 38.4% on average compared with other thirteen SOTA baselines. The source code is available at https://github.com/OrigamiSL/FDNet.
Convolutional GRU Network for Seasonal Prediction of the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation
Wang, Lingda, Ammons, Savana, Hur, Vera Mikyoung, Sriver, Ryan L., Zhao, Zhizhen
Predicting sea surface temperature (SST) within the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) region has been extensively studied due to its significant influence on global temperature and precipitation patterns. Statistical models such as linear inverse model (LIM), analog forecasting (AF), and recurrent neural network (RNN) have been widely used for ENSO prediction, offering flexibility and relatively low computational expense compared to large dynamic models. However, these models have limitations in capturing spatial patterns in SST variability or relying on linear dynamics. Here we present a modified Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit (ConvGRU) network for the ENSO region spatio-temporal sequence prediction problem, along with the Ni\~no 3.4 index prediction as a down stream task. The proposed ConvGRU network, with an encoder-decoder sequence-to-sequence structure, takes historical SST maps of the Pacific region as input and generates future SST maps for subsequent months within the ENSO region. To evaluate the performance of the ConvGRU network, we trained and tested it using data from multiple large climate models. The results demonstrate that the ConvGRU network significantly improves the predictability of the Ni\~no 3.4 index compared to LIM, AF, and RNN. This improvement is evidenced by extended useful prediction range, higher Pearson correlation, and lower root-mean-square error. The proposed model holds promise for improving our understanding and predicting capabilities of the ENSO phenomenon and can be broadly applicable to other weather and climate prediction scenarios with spatial patterns and teleconnections.
Transforming Observations of Ocean Temperature with a Deep Convolutional Residual Regressive Neural Network
Larson, Albert, Akanda, Ali Shafqat
Sea surface temperature (SST) is an essential climate variable that can be measured via ground truth, remote sensing, or hybrid model methodologies. Here, we celebrate SST surveillance progress via the application of a few relevant technological advances from the late 20th and early 21st century. We further develop our existing water cycle observation framework, Flux to Flow (F2F), to fuse AMSR-E and MODIS into a higher resolution product with the goal of capturing gradients and filling cloud gaps that are otherwise unavailable. Our neural network architecture is constrained to a deep convolutional residual regressive neural network. We utilize three snapshots of twelve monthly SST measurements in 2010 as measured by the passive microwave radiometer AMSR-E, the visible and infrared monitoring MODIS instrument, and the in situ Argo dataset ISAS. The performance of the platform and success of this approach is evaluated using the root mean squared error (RMSE) metric. We determine that the 1:1 configuration of input and output data and a large observation region is too challenging for the single compute node and dcrrnn structure as is. When constrained to a single 100 x 100 pixel region and a small training dataset, the algorithm improves from the baseline experiment covering a much larger geography. For next discrete steps, we envision the consideration of a large input range with a very small output range. Furthermore, we see the need to integrate land and sea variables before performing computer vision tasks like those within. Finally, we see parallelization as necessary to overcome the compute obstacles we encountered.
Coding Needs to Get Beyond the Gender Binary
When technical writer and former WWII pilot Jonathan Ferguson changed his gender in 1958, it made the news in Britain. I've imagined the moment many times since I first read about it in a paper called "Hacking the Cis-Tem" by scholar Mar Hicks. Ferguson's name change, according to the U.K.'s Daily Telegraph and Morning Post, was straightforward: someone took a pen and amended a line in the Official Register. In my imagination, it was a fountain pen and written with a flourish, and in that moment Ferguson felt truly seen after years of hiding his true identity. I'm embellishing, but I want it to have been simple and meaningful.
MPPN: Multi-Resolution Periodic Pattern Network For Long-Term Time Series Forecasting
Wang, Xing, Wang, Zhendong, Yang, Kexin, Feng, Junlan, Song, Zhiyan, Deng, Chao, zhu, Lin
Long-term time series forecasting plays an important role in various real-world scenarios. Recent deep learning methods for long-term series forecasting tend to capture the intricate patterns of time series by decomposition-based or sampling-based methods. However, most of the extracted patterns may include unpredictable noise and lack good interpretability. Moreover, the multivariate series forecasting methods usually ignore the individual characteristics of each variate, which may affecting the prediction accuracy. To capture the intrinsic patterns of time series, we propose a novel deep learning network architecture, named Multi-resolution Periodic Pattern Network (MPPN), for long-term series forecasting. We first construct context-aware multi-resolution semantic units of time series and employ multi-periodic pattern mining to capture the key patterns of time series. Then, we propose a channel adaptive module to capture the perceptions of multivariate towards different patterns. In addition, we present an entropy-based method for evaluating the predictability of time series and providing an upper bound on the prediction accuracy before forecasting. Our experimental evaluation on nine real-world benchmarks demonstrated that MPPN significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art Transformer-based, decomposition-based and sampling-based methods for long-term series forecasting.
Biological Organisms as End Effectors
Galipon, Josephine, Shimizu, Shoya, Tadakuma, Kenjiro
In robotics, an end effector is a device at the end of a robotic arm that is designed to physically interact with objects in the environment or with the environment itself. Effectively, it serves as the hand of the robot, carrying out tasks on behalf of humans. But could we turn this concept on its head and consider using living organisms themselves as end effectors? This paper introduces a novel idea of using whole living organisms as end effectors for robotics. We showcase this by demonstrating that pill bugs and chitons -- types of small, harmless creatures -- can be utilized as functional grippers. Crucially, this method does not harm these creatures, enabling their release back into nature after use. How this concept may be expanded to other organisms and applications is also discussed.
Feature Programming for Multivariate Time Series Prediction
Reneau, Alex, Hu, Jerry Yao-Chieh, Xu, Chenwei, Li, Weijian, Gilani, Ammar, Liu, Han
We introduce the concept of programmable feature Our key motivation comes from a novel dynamical Ising-like engineering for time series modeling and propose model, the spin-gas Glauber dynamics, originated from a a feature programming framework. This newly debuted gas-like interaction that includes momentum framework generates large amounts of predictive and acceleration information. By using spin-gas Glauber features for noisy multivariate time series while dynamics as the fundamental model for time series generating allowing users to incorporate their inductive bias processes at the smallest time scale, we explore the with minimal effort. The key motivation of our potential of treating time series as the path-sum of infinitesimal framework is to view any multivariate time series increments generated by a series of Markovian coin as a cumulative sum of fine-grained trajectory tosses following the spin-gas Glauber dynamics. From such increments, with each increment governed by a a fine-grained perspective, a set of operators is motivated for novel spin-gas dynamical Ising model.