Oceania
Persua: A Visual Interactive System to Enhance the Persuasiveness of Arguments in Online Discussion
Xia, Meng, Zhu, Qian, Wang, Xingbo, Nie, Fei, Qu, Huamin, Ma, Xiaojuan
Persuading people to change their opinions is a common practice in online discussion forums on topics ranging from political campaigns to relationship consultation. Enhancing people's ability to write persuasive arguments could not only practice their critical thinking and reasoning but also contribute to the effectiveness and civility in online communication. It is, however, not an easy task in online discussion settings where written words are the primary communication channel. In this paper, we derived four design goals for a tool that helps users improve the persuasiveness of arguments in online discussions through a survey with 123 online forum users and interviews with five debating experts. To satisfy these design goals, we analyzed and built a labeled dataset of fine-grained persuasive strategies (i.e., logos, pathos, ethos, and evidence) in 164 arguments with high ratings on persuasiveness from ChangeMyView, a popular online discussion forum. We then designed an interactive visual system, Persua, which provides example-based guidance on persuasive strategies to enhance the persuasiveness of arguments. In particular, the system constructs portfolios of arguments based on different persuasive strategies applied to a given discussion topic. It then presents concrete examples based on the difference between the portfolios of user input and high-quality arguments in the dataset. A between-subjects study shows suggestive evidence that Persua encourages users to submit more times for feedback and helps users improve more on the persuasiveness of their arguments than a baseline system. Finally, a set of design considerations was summarized to guide future intelligent systems that improve the persuasiveness in text.
AI: Everything you need to know
Imagine a business world where employees are faster and more productive – where they can make smarter decisions and have the time to focus on strategy and being creative. This is all a near-reality with continued breakthroughs in artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities. AI is at the tipping point of becoming the next great technological disruptor. Improvements in computing power, the advent of big data and breakthroughs in machine learning have created the ideal environment for AI to flourish and augment human potential. At the very least, AI will transform our economies, reshape consumer expectations, and increase the speed and scale of business. At it's limit, it will help us understand humanity and human intelligence better.
Optimal reconciliation with immutable forecasts
Zhang, Bohan, Kang, Yanfei, Panagiotelis, Anastasios, Li, Feng
The practical importance of coherent forecasts in hierarchical forecasting has inspired many studies on forecast reconciliation. Under this approach, so-called base forecasts are produced for every series in the hierarchy and are subsequently adjusted to be coherent in a second reconciliation step. Reconciliation methods have been shown to improve forecast accuracy, but will, in general, adjust the base forecast of every series. However, in an operational context, it is sometimes necessary or beneficial to keep forecasts of some variables unchanged after forecast reconciliation. In this paper, we formulate reconciliation methodology that keeps forecasts of a pre-specified subset of variables unchanged or "immutable". In contrast to existing approaches, these immutable forecasts need not all come from the same level of a hierarchy, and our method can also be applied to grouped hierarchies. We prove that our approach preserves unbiasedness in base forecasts. Our method can also account for correlations between base forecasting errors and ensure non-negativity of forecasts. We also perform empirical experiments, including an application to sales of a large scale online retailer, to assess the impacts of our proposed methodology.
Estimating Alpha, Beta, and Gamma Diversity Through Deep Learning
The reliable mapping of species richness is a crucial step for the identification of areas of high conservation priority, alongside other value and threat considerations. This is commonly done by overlapping range maps of individual species, which requires dense availability of occurrence data or relies on assumptions about the presence of species in unsampled areas deemed suitable by environmental niche models. Here, we present a deep learning approach that directly estimates species richness, skipping the step of estimating individual species ranges. We train a neural network model based on species lists from inventory plots, which provide ground truth data for supervised machine learning. The model learns to predict species richness based on spatially associated variables, including climatic and geographic predictors, as well as counts of available species records from online databases. We assess the empirical utility of our approach by producing independently verifiable maps of alpha, beta, and gamma plant diversity at high spatial resolutions for Australia, a continent with highly heterogeneous diversity patterns. Our deep learning framework provides a powerful and flexible new approach for estimating biodiversity patterns, constituting a step forward toward automated biodiversity assessments.
Can A.I. All but End Car Crashes? The Potential Is There.
"In my view, there is too much hype around A.I., road safety and self-driving vehicles -- it is super inflated," said David Ward, president of the Global New Car Assessment Program, a nonprofit based in London. The focus, he said, should be on "the low-hanging fruit, and not on some far-off utopian promise." Advocates like Mr. Ward look to beneficial, low-cost, intermediate technologies that are available now. A prime example is intelligent speed assistance, or I.S.A., which uses A.I. to manage a car's speed via in-vehicle cameras and maps. The technology will be mandatory in all new vehicles in the European Union beginning in July, but has yet to take hold in the United States. Acusensus, based in Australia, is among the companies that employ artificial intelligence to address road safety.
How the Metaverse Could Change Work
Imagine a world where you could have a beachside conversation with your colleagues, take meeting notes while floating around a space station, or teleport from your office in London to New York, all without taking a step outside your front door. Feeling under pressure with too many meetings scheduled today? Then why not send your AI-enabled digital twin instead to take the load off your shoulders? These examples offer but a glimpse into the future vision of work promised by "the metaverse," a term originally coined by author Neal Stephenson in 1992 to describe a future world of virtual reality. While defying precise definition, the metaverse is generally regarded as a network of 3-D virtual worlds where people can interact, do business, and forge social connections through their virtual "avatars."
Artificial intelligence is creating a new colonial world order
In part two, we head to Venezuela, where AI data-labeling firms found cheap and desperate workers amid a devastating economic crisis, creating a new model of labor exploitation. The series also looks at ways to move away from these dynamics. In part three, we visit ride-hailing drivers in Indonesia who, by building power through community, are learning to resist algorithmic control and fragmentation. In part four, we end in Aotearoa, the Maori name for New Zealand, where an Indigenous couple are wresting back control of their community's data to revitalize its language. Together, the stories reveal how AI is impoverishing the communities and countries that don't have a say in its development--the same communities and countries already impoverished by former colonial empires.
Artificial intelligence: a winning strategy for payments - FinTech Futures
The race is on to reduce fraud and continue improving payment flows. Artificial intelligence (AI) offers a winning strategy, says Chalapathy Neti, head, AI and machine learning platform, Swift. AI is out of the lab and already well on its way to delivering smarter tech solutions in our daily lives. Just look at the way Amazon and Netflix use machine learning algorithms to continually serve us fresh content and products based on our previous behaviours. We get a better, more personalised experience while they strengthen their business models.
FiNER: Financial Numeric Entity Recognition for XBRL Tagging
Loukas, Lefteris, Fergadiotis, Manos, Chalkidis, Ilias, Spyropoulou, Eirini, Malakasiotis, Prodromos, Androutsopoulos, Ion, Paliouras, Georgios
Publicly traded companies are required to submit periodic reports with eXtensive Business Reporting Language (XBRL) word-level tags. Manually tagging the reports is tedious and costly. We, therefore, introduce XBRL tagging as a new entity extraction task for the financial domain and release FiNER-139, a dataset of 1.1M sentences with gold XBRL tags. Unlike typical entity extraction datasets, FiNER-139 uses a much larger label set of 139 entity types. Most annotated tokens are numeric, with the correct tag per token depending mostly on context, rather than the token itself. We show that subword fragmentation of numeric expressions harms BERT's performance, allowing word-level BILSTMs to perform better. To improve BERT's performance, we propose two simple and effective solutions that replace numeric expressions with pseudo-tokens reflecting original token shapes and numeric magnitudes. We also experiment with FIN-BERT, an existing BERT model for the financial domain, and release our own BERT (SEC-BERT), pre-trained on financial filings, which performs best. Through data and error analysis, we finally identify possible limitations to inspire future work on XBRL tagging.