Recurrent neural networks of analog units are computers for realvalued functions. We study the time complexity of real computation in general recurrent neural networks. These have sigmoidal, linear, and product units of unlimited order as nodes and no restrictions on the weights. For networks operating in discrete time, we exhibit a family of functions with arbitrarily high complexity, and we derive almost tight bounds on the time required to compute these functions. Thus, evidence is given of the computational limitations that time-bounded analog recurrent neural networks are subject to. 1 Introduction Analog recurrent neural networks are known to have computational capabilities that exceed those of classical Turing machines (see, e.g., Siegelmann and Sontag, 1995; Kilian and Siegelmann, 1996; Siegelmann, 1999).

Driven by the progress in the field of single-trial analysis of EEG, there is a growing interest in brain computer interfaces (BCIs), i.e., systems that enable human subjects to control a computer only by means of their brain signals. In a pseudo-online simulation our BCI detects upcoming finger movements in a natural keyboard typing condition and predicts their laterality. Thiscan be done on average 100-230 ms before the respective key is actually pressed, i.e., long before the onset of EMG. Our approach is appealing for its short response time and high classification accuracy ( 96%) in a binary decision where no human training is involved. We compare discriminative classifiers like Support Vector Machines (SVMs) and different variants of Fisher Discriminant that possess favorable regularization propertiesfor dealing with high noise cases (inter-trial variablity).

An important issue in applying SVMs to speech recognition is the ability to classify variable length sequences. This paper presents extensions to a standard scheme for handling this variable length data, the Fisher score. A more useful mapping is introduced based on the likelihood-ratio. The score-space defined by this mapping avoids some limitations of the Fisher score. Class-conditional generative modelsare directly incorporated into the definition of the score-space.

In this paper we introduce a new sparseness inducing prior which does not involve any (hyper)parameters thatneed to be adjusted or estimated. Although other applications are possible, we focus here on supervised learning problems: regression and classification. Experiments withseveral publicly available benchmark data sets show that the proposed approach yields state-of-the-art performance. In particular, our method outperforms support vector machines and performs competitively with the best alternative techniques, both in terms of error rates and sparseness, although it involves no tuning or adjusting of sparsenesscontrolling hyper-parameters.

There are two linear transformations to be considered, one operating inside thechannels (0) and one operating between the different channels (W). The two transformations are estimated in two adjacent leA steps. There are mainly two advantages, that can be taken from the first transformation: (i) By arranging independence among the columns of the transformed patches, the average transinformation betweendifferent channels is decreased.

SMC is often referred to as particle filtering (PF) in the context of computing filtering distributions for statistical inference and learning. It is known that the performance of PF often deteriorates in high-dimensional state spaces. In the past, we have shown that if a model admits partial analytical tractability, it is possible to combine PF with exact algorithms (Kalman filters, HMM filters, junction tree algorithm) to obtain efficient high dimensional filters (Doucet, de Freitas, Murphy and Russell 2000, Doucet, Godsill and Andrieu 2000). In particular, we exploited a marginalisation technique known as Rao-Blackwellisation (RB). Here, we attack a more complex model that does not admit immediate analytical tractability. This probabilistic model consists of Gaussian latent variables and binary observations.We show that by augmenting the model with artificial variables, it becomes possible to apply Rao-Blackwellisation and optimal sampling strategies. We focus on the problem of sequential binary classification (that is, when the data arrives one-at-a-time) using generic classifiers that consist of linear combinations of basis functions, whose coefficients evolve according to a Gaussian smoothness prior (Kitagawa and Gersch 1996). We have previously addressed this problem in the context of sequential fault detection in marine diesel engines (H0jen-S0rensen, de Freitas and Fog 2000). This application is of great importance as early detection of incipient faults can improve safety and efficiency, as well as, help to reduce downtime andplant maintenance in many industrial and transportation environments.

In this paper we explore two quantitative approaches to the modelling of counterfactual reasoning - a linear and a noisy-OR model - based on information containedin conceptual dependency networks. Empirical data is acquired in a study and the fit of the models compared to it. We conclude byconsidering the appropriateness of nonparametric approaches to counterfactual reasoning, and examining the prospects for other parametric approachesin the future.

In many discrimination problems a large amount of data is available but only a few of them are labeled. This provides a strong motivation to improve or develop methods for semi-supervised learning. In this paper, boosting is generalized to this task within the optimization framework of MarginBoost . We extend the margin definition to unlabeled data and develop the gradient descent algorithm that corresponds to the resulting margin cost function. This meta-learning scheme can be applied to any base classifier able to benefit from unlabeled data. We propose here to apply it to mixture models trained with an Expectation-Maximization algorithm. Promising results are presented on benchmarks with different rates of labeled data.

Using methods of Statistical Physics, we investigate the rOle of model complexity in learning with support vector machines (SVMs). We show the advantages of using SVMs with kernels of infinite complexity on noisy target rules, which, in contrast to common theoretical beliefs, are found to achieve optimal generalization erroralthough the training error does not converge to the generalization error. Moreover, we find a universal asymptotics of the learning curves which only depend on the target rule but not on the SVM kernel. 1 Introduction Powerful systems for data inference, like neural networks implement complex inputoutput relationsby learning from example data. The price one has to pay for the flexibility of these models is the need to choose the proper model complexity for a given task, i.e. the system architecture which gives good generalization ability for novel data. This has become an important problem also for support vector machines [1].

This paper proposes an approach to classification of adjacent segments of a time series as being either of classes. We use a hierarchical model that consists of a feature extraction stage and a generative classifier which is built on top of these features. Such two stage approaches are often used in signal and image processing. The novel part of our work is that we link these stages probabilistically by using a latent feature space. To use one joint model is a Bayesian requirement, which has the advantage to fuse information according to its certainty.