Distributional approaches to value-based reinforcement learning model the entire distribution of returns, rather than just their expected values, and have recently been shown to yield state-of-the-art empirical performance. This was demonstrated by the recently proposed C51 algorithm, based on categorical distributional reinforcement learning (CDRL) [Bellemare et al., 2017]. However, the theoretical properties of CDRL algorithms are not yet well understood. In this paper, we introduce a framework to analyse CDRL algorithms, establish the importance of the projected distributional Bellman operator in distributional RL, draw fundamental connections between CDRL and the Cram\'er distance, and give a proof of convergence for sample-based categorical distributional reinforcement learning algorithms.

Asynchronous stochastic approximations are an important class of model-free algorithms that are readily applicable to multi-agent reinforcement learning (RL) and distributed control applications. When the system size is large, the aforementioned algorithms are used in conjunction with function approximations. In this paper, we present a complete analysis, including stability (almost sure boundedness) and convergence, of asynchronous stochastic approximations with asymptotically bounded biased errors, under easily verifiable sufficient conditions. As an application, we analyze the Policy Gradient algorithms and the more general Value Iteration based algorithms with noise. These are popular reinforcement learning algorithms due to their simplicity and effectiveness. Specifically, we analyze the asynchronous approximate counterpart of policy gradient (A2PG) and value iteration (A2VI) schemes. It is shown that the stability of these algorithms remains unaffected when the approximation errors are guaranteed to be asymptotically bounded, although possibly biased. Regarding convergence of A2VI, it is shown to converge to a fixed point of the perturbed Bellman operator when balanced step-sizes are used. Further, a relationship between these fixed points and the approximation errors is established. A similar analysis for A2PG is also presented.

Topological data analysis, such as persistent homology has shown beneficial properties for machine learning in many tasks. Topological representations, such as the persistence diagram (PD), however, have a complex structure (multiset of intervals) which makes it difficult to combine with typical machine learning workflows. We present novel compact fixed-size vectorial representations of PDs based on clustering and bag of words encodings that cope well with the inherent sparsity of PDs. Our novel representations outperform state-of-the-art approaches from topological data analysis and are computationally more efficient.

We investigate the optimization of two probabilistic generative models with binary latent variables using a novel variational EM approach. The approach distinguishes itself from previous variational approaches by using latent states as variational parameters. Here we use efficient and general purpose sampling procedures to vary the latent states, and investigate the "black box" applicability of the resulting optimization procedure. For general purpose applicability, samples are drawn from approximate marginal distributions of the considered generative model as well as from the model's prior distribution. As such, variational sampling is defined in a generic form, and is directly executable for a given model. As a proof of concept, we then apply the novel procedure (A) to Binary Sparse Coding (a model with continuous observables), and (B) to basic Sigmoid Belief Networks (which are models with binary observables). Numerical experiments verify that the investigated approach efficiently as well as effectively increases a variational free energy objective without requiring any additional analytical steps.

In this paper, we present a method to determine the global horizontal irradiance (GHI) from the power measurements of one or more PV systems, located in the same neighborhood. The method is completely unsupervised and is based on a physical model of a PV plant. The precise assessment of solar irradiance is pivotal for the forecast of the electric power generated by photovoltaic (PV) plants. However, on-ground measurements are expensive and are generally not performed for small and medium-sized PV plants. Satellite-based services represent a valid alternative to on site measurements, but their space-time resolution is limited. Results from two case studies located in Switzerland are presented. The performance of the proposed method at assessing GHI is compared with that of free and commercial satellite services. Our results show that the presented method is generally better than satellite-based services, especially at high temporal resolutions.

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not propagate the uncertainty in observations due to sampling variability in the groups. This effectively assumes that small and large groups are estimated equally well, and should have equal weight in the final regression. We account for this uncertainty with a Bayesian distribution regression formalism, improving the robustness and performance of the model when group sizes vary. We frame our models in a neural network style, allowing for simple MAP inference using backpropagation to learn the parameters, as well as MCMC-based inference which can fully propagate uncertainty. We demonstrate our approach on illustrative toy datasets, as well as on a challenging problem of predicting age from images.

Autonomous robots need to interact with unknown, unstructured and changing environments, constantly facing novel challenges. Therefore, continuous online adaptation for lifelong-learning and the need of sample-efficient mechanisms to adapt to changes in the environment, the constraints, the tasks, or the robot itself are crucial. In this work, we propose a novel framework for probabilistic online motion planning with online adaptation based on a bio-inspired stochastic recurrent neural network. By using learning signals which mimic the intrinsic motivation signal cognitive dissonance in addition with a mental replay strategy to intensify experiences, the stochastic recurrent network can learn from few physical interactions and adapts to novel environments in seconds. We evaluate our online planning and adaptation framework on an anthropomorphic KUKA LWR arm. The rapid online adaptation is shown by learning unknown workspace constraints sample-efficiently from few physical interactions while following given via points.

We address the task of generating query suggestions for task-based search. The current state of the art relies heavily on suggestions provided by a major search engine. In this paper, we solve the task without reliance on search engines. Specifically, we focus on the first step of a two-stage pipeline approach, which is dedicated to the generation of query suggestion candidates. We present three methods for generating candidate suggestions and apply them on multiple information sources. Using a purpose-built test collection, we find that these methods are able to generate high-quality suggestion candidates.

The paper describes the architecture of intelligence system for automated construction of ontological knowledge bases of subject areas and the programming model subsystem management GUI.

The fixed parameter tractable (FPT) approach is a powerful tool in tackling computationally hard problems. In this paper, we link FPT results to classic artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to show how they complement each other. Specifically, we consider the workflow satisfiability problem (WSP) which asks whether there exists an assignment of authorised users to the steps in a workflow specification, subject to certain constraints on the assignment. It was shown by Cohen et al. (JAIR 2014) that WSP restricted to the class of user-independent constraints (UI), covering many practical cases, admits FPT algorithms, i.e. can be solved in time exponential only in the number of steps $k$ and polynomial in the number of users $n$. Since usually $k \ll n$ in WSP, such FPT algorithms are of great practical interest as they significantly extend the size of the problem that can be routinely solved. We give a new view of the FPT nature of the WSP with UI constraints, showing that it decomposes the problem into two levels. Exploiting this two-level split, we develop a new FPT algorithm that is by many orders of magnitude faster than the previous state-of-the-art WSP algorithm; and it also has only polynomial space complexity whereas the old algorithm takes memory exponential in $k$, which limits its application. We also provide a new pseudo-boolean (PB) formulation of the WSP with UI constraints which exploits this new decomposition of the problem into two levels. Our experiments show that efficiency of solving this new PB formulation of the problem by a general purpose PB solver can be close to the bespoke FPT algorithm, which raises the potential of using general purpose solvers to tackle FPT problems efficiently. We also study the computational performance of various algorithms to complement the overly-pessimistic worst-case analysis that is usually done in FPT studies.