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Scalable Dynamic Origin-Destination Demand Estimation Enhanced by High-Resolution Satellite Imagery Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This study presents a novel integrated framework for dynamic origin-destination demand estimation (DODE) in multi-class mesoscopic network models, leveraging high-resolution satellite imagery together with conventional tra ffic data from local sensors. To extract information from imagery data, we design a computer vision pipeline for class-specific vehicle detection and map matching, generating link-level tra ffic density observations by vehicle class. Building upon this information, we formulate a computational graph-based DODE model that calibrates dynamic network states by jointly matching observed tra ffic counts and travel times from local sensors with density measurements derived from satellite imagery. To assess the accuracy and scalability of the proposed framework, we conduct a series of numerical experiments using both synthetic and real-world data. The results of out-of-sample tests demonstrate that supplementing traditional data with satellite-derived density significantly improves estimation performance, especially for links without local sensors. Real-world experiments also confirm the framework's capability to handle large-scale networks, supporting its potential for practical deployment in cities of varying sizes. Sensitivity analysis further evaluates the impact of data quality related to satellite imagery data. Introduction The widespread availability of spatio-temporal data has created new opportunities for advancing computational tools to model network flows, individual traveler behavior, and travel demand in dynamic transportation networks. Recent developments in sensing technologies and artificial intelligence are revolutionizing traditional models, making them more data-driven, scalable, and e ff ective for complex, large-scale networks. Dynamic Origin-destination Demand Estimation (DODE) is a foundational prerequisite for dynamic network models to accurately reproduce the status quo spatio-temporal network conditions, supporting tra ffic assignment (Pi et al. 2019) and control strategies (Y e et al. 2019, Liu, Ma & Qian 2023, Ke et al. 2025). DODE studies can be broadly categorized into model-based methods, which embed physics-informed tra ffic assignment models, and model-free methods, which formulate the problem using data-driven techniques without tra ffic assignment constraints.


BAMBI: Developing Baby Language Models for Italian

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents BAMBI (BAby language Models Boostrapped for Italian), a series of Baby Language Models (BabyLMs) trained on data that mimic the linguistic input received by a five-year-old Italian-speaking child. The BAMBI models are tested using a benchmark specifically designed to evaluate language models, which takes into account the amount of training input the models received. The BAMBI models are compared against a large language model (LLM) and a multimodal language model (VLM) to study the contribution of extralinguistic information for language acquisition. The results of our evaluation align with the existing literature on English language models, confirming that while reduced training data support the development of relatively robust syntactic competence, they are insufficient for fostering semantic understanding. However, the gap between the training resources (data and computation) of the BAMBI models and the LLMs is not fully reflected in their performance: despite LLMs' massive training, their performance is not much better than that of BAMBI models. This suggests that strategies beyond scaling training resources, such as data curation, inclusion of multimodal input, and other training strategies such as curriculum learning, could play a crucial role in shaping model performance.


RigoChat 2: an adapted language model to Spanish using a bounded dataset and reduced hardware

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large Language Models (LLMs) have become a key element of modern artificial intelligence, demonstrating the ability to address a wide range of language processing tasks at unprecedented levels of accuracy without the need of collecting problem-specific data. However, these versatile models face a significant challenge: both their training and inference processes require substantial computational resources, time, and memory. Consequently, optimizing this kind of models to minimize these requirements is crucial. In this article, we demonstrate that, with minimal resources and in a remarkably short time, it is possible to enhance a state-of-the-art model, specifically for a given language task, without compromising its overall capabilities using a relatively small pretrained LLM as a basis. Specifically, we present our use case, RigoChat 2, illustrating how LLMs can be adapted to achieve superior results in Spanish-language tasks.


Bridging the Gap in XAI-Why Reliable Metrics Matter for Explainability and Compliance

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This position paper emphasizes the critical gap in the evaluation of Explainable AI (XAI) due to the lack of standardized and reliable metrics, which diminishes its practical value, trustworthiness, and ability to meet regulatory requirements. Current evaluation methods are often fragmented, subjective, and biased, making them prone to manipulation and complicating the assessment of complex models. A central issue is the absence of a ground truth for explanations, complicating comparisons across various XAI approaches. To address these challenges, we advocate for widespread research into developing robust, context-sensitive evaluation metrics. These metrics should be resistant to manipulation, relevant to each use case, and based on human judgment and real-world applicability. We also recommend creating domain-specific evaluation benchmarks that align with the user and regulatory needs of sectors such as healthcare and finance. By encouraging collaboration among academia, industry, and regulators, we can create standards that balance flexibility and consistency, ensuring XAI explanations are meaningful, trustworthy, and compliant with evolving regulations.


PROPOE 2: Avan\c{c}os na S\'intese Computacional de Poemas Baseados em Prosa Liter\'aria Brasileira

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The computational generation of poems is a complex task, which involves several sound, prosodic and rhythmic resources. In this work we present PROPOE 2, with the extension of structural and rhythmic possibilities compared to the original system, generating poems from metered sentences extracted from the prose of Brazilian literature, with multiple rhythmic assembly criteria. These advances allow for a more coherent exploration of rhythms and sound effects for the poem. Results of poems generated by the system are demonstrated, with variations in parameters to exemplify generation and evaluation using various criteria.


FLIP: Flow-Centric Generative Planning for General-Purpose Manipulation Tasks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We aim to develop a model-based planning framework for world models that can be scaled with increasing model and data budgets for general-purpose manipulation tasks with only language and vision inputs. To this end, we present FLow-centric generative Planning (FLIP), a model-based planning algorithm on visual space that features three key modules: 1. a multi-modal flow generation model as the general-purpose action proposal module; 2. a flow-conditioned video generation model as the dynamics module; and 3. a vision-language representation learning model as the value module. Given an initial image and language instruction as the goal, FLIP can progressively search for long-horizon flow and video plans that maximize the discounted return to accomplish the task. FLIP is able to synthesize long-horizon plans across objects, robots, and tasks with image flows as the general action representation, and the dense flow information also provides rich guidance for long-horizon video generation. In addition, the synthesized flow and video plans can guide the training of low-level control policies for robot execution. Experiments on diverse benchmarks demonstrate that FLIP can improve both the success rates and quality of long-horizon video plan synthesis and has the interactive world model property, opening up wider applications for future works.


ArrivalNet: Predicting City-wide Bus/Tram Arrival Time with Two-dimensional Temporal Variation Modeling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Accurate arrival time prediction (ATP) of buses and trams plays a crucial role in public transport operations. Current methods focused on modeling one-dimensional temporal information but overlooked the latent periodic information within time series. Moreover, most studies developed algorithms for ATP based on a single or a few routes of public transport, which reduces the transferability of the prediction models and their applicability in public transport management systems. To this end, this paper proposes \textit{ArrivalNet}, a two-dimensional temporal variation-based multi-step ATP for buses and trams. It decomposes the one-dimensional temporal sequence into intra-periodic and inter-periodic variations, which can be recast into two-dimensional tensors (2D blocks). Each row of a tensor contains the time points within a period, and each column involves the time points at the same intra-periodic index across various periods. The transformed 2D blocks in different frequencies have an image-like feature representation that enables effective learning with computer vision backbones (e.g., convolutional neural network). Drawing on the concept of residual neural network, the 2D block module is designed as a basic module for flexible aggregation. Meanwhile, contextual factors like workdays, peak hours, and intersections, are also utilized in the augmented feature representation to improve the performance of prediction. 125 days of public transport data from Dresden were collected for model training and validation. Experimental results show that the root mean square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error of the proposed predictor decrease by at least 6.1\%, 14.7\%, and 34.2\% compared with state-of-the-art baseline methods.


Path-based summary explanations for graph recommenders (extended version)

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Path-based explanations provide intrinsic insights into graph-based recommendation models. However, most previous work has focused on explaining an individual recommendation of an item to a user. In this paper, we propose summary explanations, i.e., explanations that highlight why a user or a group of users receive a set of item recommendations and why an item, or a group of items, is recommended to a set of users as an effective means to provide insights into the collective behavior of the recommender. We also present a novel method to summarize explanations using efficient graph algorithms, specifically the Steiner Tree and the Prize-Collecting Steiner Tree. Our approach reduces the size and complexity of summary explanations while preserving essential information, making explanations more comprehensible for users and more useful to model developers. Evaluations across multiple metrics demonstrate that our summaries outperform baseline explanation methods in most scenarios, in a variety of quality aspects.


Fairness at Every Intersection: Uncovering and Mitigating Intersectional Biases in Multimodal Clinical Predictions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Biases in automated clinical decision-making using Electronic Healthcare Records (EHR) impose significant disparities in patient care and treatment outcomes. Conventional approaches have primarily focused on bias mitigation strategies stemming from single attributes, overlooking intersectional subgroups -- groups formed across various demographic intersections (such as race, gender, ethnicity, etc.). Rendering single-attribute mitigation strategies to intersectional subgroups becomes statistically irrelevant due to the varying distribution and bias patterns across these subgroups. The multimodal nature of EHR -- data from various sources such as combinations of text, time series, tabular, events, and images -- adds another layer of complexity as the influence on minority groups may fluctuate across modalities. In this paper, we take the initial steps to uncover potential intersectional biases in predictions by sourcing extensive multimodal datasets, MIMIC-Eye1 and MIMIC-IV ED, and propose mitigation at the intersectional subgroup level. We perform and benchmark downstream tasks and bias evaluation on the datasets by learning a unified text representation from multimodal sources, harnessing the enormous capabilities of the pre-trained clinical Language Models (LM), MedBERT, Clinical BERT, and Clinical BioBERT. Our findings indicate that the proposed sub-group-specific bias mitigation is robust across different datasets, subgroups, and embeddings, demonstrating effectiveness in addressing intersectional biases in multimodal settings.


A gentle push funziona benissimo: making instructed models in Italian via contrastive activation steering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Adapting models to a language that was only partially present in the pre-training data requires fine-tuning, which is expensive in terms of both data and computational resources. As an alternative to fine-tuning, we explore the potential of activation steering-based techniques to enhance model performance on Italian tasks. Through our experiments we show that Italian steering (i) can be successfully applied to different models, (ii) achieves performances comparable to, or even better than, fine-tuned models for Italian, and (iii) yields higher quality and consistency in Italian generations. We also discuss the utility of steering and fine-tuning in the contemporary LLM landscape where models are anyway getting high Italian performances even if not explicitly trained in this language.