Africa
MIRAGE: Multimodal Identification and Recognition of Annotations in Indian General Prescriptions
Mankash, Tavish, Kota, V. S. Chaithanya, De, Anish, Prakash, Praveen, Jadhav, Kshitij
Hospitals in India still rely on handwritten medical records despite the availability of Electronic Medical Records (EMR), complicating statistical analysis and record retrieval. Handwritten records pose a unique challenge, requiring specialized data for training models to recognize medications and their recommendation patterns. While traditional handwriting recognition approaches employ 2-D LSTMs, recent studies have explored using Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) for OCR tasks. Building on this approach, we focus on extracting medication names and dosages from simulated medical records. Our methodology MIRAGE (Multimodal Identification and Recognition of Annotations in indian GEneral prescriptions) involves fine-tuning the QWEN VL, LLaVA 1.6 and Idefics2 models on 743,118 high resolution simulated medical record images-fully annotated from 1,133 doctors across India. Our approach achieves 82% accuracy in extracting medication names and dosages.
Atlas-Chat: Adapting Large Language Models for Low-Resource Moroccan Arabic Dialect
Shang, Guokan, Abdine, Hadi, Khoubrane, Yousef, Mohamed, Amr, Abbahaddou, Yassine, Ennadir, Sofiane, Momayiz, Imane, Ren, Xuguang, Moulines, Eric, Nakov, Preslav, Vazirgiannis, Michalis, Xing, Eric
We introduce Atlas-Chat, the first-ever collection of LLMs specifically developed for dialectal Arabic. Focusing on Moroccan Arabic, also known as Darija, we construct our instruction dataset by consolidating existing Darija language resources, creating novel datasets both manually and synthetically, and translating English instructions with stringent quality control. Atlas-Chat-2B, 9B, and 27B models, fine-tuned on the dataset, exhibit superior ability in following Darija instructions and performing standard NLP tasks. Notably, our models outperform both state-of-the-art and Arabic-specialized LLMs like LLaMa, Jais, and AceGPT, e.g., our 9B model gains a 13% performance boost over a larger 13B model on DarijaMMLU, in our newly introduced evaluation suite for Darija covering both discriminative and generative tasks. Furthermore, we perform an experimental analysis of various fine-tuning strategies and base model choices to determine optimal configurations. All our resources are publicly accessible, and we believe our work offers comprehensive design methodologies of instruction-tuning for low-resource languages, which are often neglected in favor of data-rich languages by contemporary LLMs.
Interpretable Machine Learning for Resource Allocation with Application to Ventilator Triage
Grand-Clément, Julien, Goh, You Hui, Chan, Carri, Goyal, Vineet, Chuang, Elizabeth
Rationing of healthcare resources is a challenging decision that policy makers and providers may be forced to make during a pandemic, natural disaster, or mass casualty event. Well-defined guidelines to triage scarce life-saving resources must be designed to promote transparency, trust, and consistency. To facilitate buy-in and use during high-stress situations, these guidelines need to be interpretable and operational. We propose a novel data-driven model to compute interpretable triage guidelines based on policies for Markov Decision Process that can be represented as simple sequences of decision trees ("tree policies"). In particular, we characterize the properties of optimal tree policies and present an algorithm based on dynamic programming recursions to compute good tree policies. We utilize this methodology to obtain simple, novel triage guidelines for ventilator allocations for COVID-19 patients, based on real patient data from Montefiore hospitals. We also compare the performance of our guidelines to the official New York State guidelines that were developed in 2015 (well before the COVID-19 pandemic). Our empirical study shows that the number of excess deaths associated with ventilator shortages could be reduced significantly using our policy. Our work highlights the limitations of the existing official triage guidelines, which need to be adapted specifically to COVID-19 before being successfully deployed.
Communication-Efficient Federated Group Distributionally Robust Optimization
Federated learning faces challenges due to the heterogeneity in data volumes and distributions at different clients, which can compromise model generalization ability to various distributions. Existing approaches to address this issue based on group distributionally robust optimization (GDRO) often lead to high communication and sample complexity. To this end, this work introduces algorithms tailored for communication-efficient Federated Group Distributionally Robust Optimization (FGDRO). Our contributions are threefold: Firstly, we introduce the FGDRO-CVaR algorithm, which optimizes the average top-K losses while reducing communication complexity to $O(1/\epsilon^4)$, where $\epsilon$ denotes the desired precision level. Secondly, our FGDRO-KL algorithm is crafted to optimize KL regularized FGDRO, cutting communication complexity to $O(1/\epsilon^3)$. Lastly, we propose FGDRO-KL-Adam to utilize Adam-type local updates in FGDRO-KL, which not only maintains a communication cost of $O(1/\epsilon^3)$ but also shows potential to surpass SGD-type local steps in practical applications. The effectiveness of our algorithms has been demonstrated on a variety of real-world tasks, including natural language processing and computer vision.
Mauritius election: Amid wiretapping scandal, what's at stake?
Some one million eligible voters in the Indian Ocean Mauritius will head out to vote on Sunday amid an explosive scandal that has implicated government figures in a covert wiretapping operation. Since independence from Britain in 1968, the southeast African country has maintained a strong, vibrant parliamentary democracy. This will be its 12th national election. Elections are usually deemed free and fair and turnout is normally high, at close to 80 percent. This time, however, the unusual drama caused by the leaked recordings has sparked national agitation and dominated the campaign season.
Predicting Country Instability Using Bayesian Deep Learning and Random Forest
Zebrowski, Adam, Afli, Haithem
Country instability is a global issue, with unpredictably high levels of instability thwarting socio-economic growth and possibly causing a slew of negative consequences. As a result, uncertainty prediction models for a country are becoming increasingly important in the real world, and they are expanding to provide more input from 'big data' collections, as well as the interconnectedness of global economies and social networks. This has culminated in massive volumes of qualitative data from outlets like television, print, digital, and social media, necessitating the use of artificial intelligence (AI) tools like machine learning to make sense of it all and promote predictive precision [1]. The Global Database of Activities, Voice, and Tone (GDELT Project) records broadcast, print, and web news in over 100 languages every second of every day, identifying the people, locations, organisations, counts, themes, outlets, and events that propel our global community and offering a free open platform for computation on the entire world. The main goal of our research is to investigate how, when our data grows more voluminous and fine-grained, we can conduct a more complex methodological analysis of political conflict. The GDELT dataset, which was released in 2012, is the first and potentially the most technologically sophisticated publicly accessible dataset on political conflict.
Over-parameterized Student Model via Tensor Decomposition Boosted Knowledge Distillation
Zhan, Yu-Liang, Lu, Zhong-Yi, Sun, Hao, Gao, Ze-Feng
Increased training parameters have enabled large pre-trained models to excel in various downstream tasks. Nevertheless, the extensive computational requirements associated with these models hinder their widespread adoption within the community. We focus on Knowledge Distillation (KD), where a compact student model is trained to mimic a larger teacher model, facilitating the transfer of knowledge of large models. In contrast to much of the previous work, we scale up the parameters of the student model during training, to benefit from overparameterization without increasing the inference latency. In particular, we propose a tensor decomposition strategy that effectively over-parameterizes the relatively small student model through an efficient and nearly lossless decomposition of its parameter matrices into higher-dimensional tensors. To ensure efficiency, we further introduce a tensor constraint loss to align the high-dimensional tensors between the student and teacher models.
Bridge: A Unified Framework to Knowledge Graph Completion via Language Models and Knowledge Representation
Qiao, Qiao, Li, Yuepei, Wang, Qing, Zhou, Kang, Li, Qi
Knowledge graph completion (KGC) is a task of inferring missing triples based on existing Knowledge Graphs (KGs). Both structural and semantic information are vital for successful KGC. However, existing methods only use either the structural knowledge from the KG embeddings or the semantic information from pre-trained language models (PLMs), leading to suboptimal model performance. Moreover, since PLMs are not trained on KGs, directly using PLMs to encode triples may be inappropriate. To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel framework called Bridge, which jointly encodes structural and semantic information of KGs. Specifically, we strategically encode entities and relations separately by PLMs to better utilize the semantic knowledge of PLMs and enable structured representation learning via a structural learning principle. Furthermore, to bridge the gap between KGs and PLMs, we employ a self-supervised representation learning method called BYOL to fine-tune PLMs with two different views of a triple. Unlike BYOL, which uses augmentation methods to create two semantically similar views of the same image, potentially altering the semantic information. We strategically separate the triple into two parts to create different views, thus avoiding semantic alteration. Experiments demonstrate that Bridge outperforms the SOTA models on three benchmark datasets.
Predictors of disease outbreaks at continentalscale in the African region: Insights and predictions with geospatial artificial intelligence using earth observations and routine disease surveillance data
Pezanowski, Scott, Koua, Etien Luc, Okeibunor, Joseph C, Gueye, Abdou Salam
Objectives: Our research adopts computational techniques to analyze disease outbreaks weekly over a large geographic area while maintaining local-level analysis by incorporating relevant high-spatial resolution cultural and environmental datasets. The abundance of data about disease outbreaks gives scientists an excellent opportunity to uncover patterns in disease spread and make future predictions. However, data over a sizeable geographic area quickly outpace human cognition. Our study area covers a significant portion of the African continent (about 17,885,000 km2). The data size makes computational analysis vital to assist human decision-makers. Methods: We first applied global and local spatial autocorrelation for malaria, cholera, meningitis, and yellow fever case counts. We then used machine learning to predict the weekly presence of these diseases in the second-level administrative district. Lastly, we used machine learning feature importance methods on the variables that affect spread. Results: Our spatial autocorrelation results show that geographic nearness is critical but varies in effect and space. Moreover, we identified many interesting hot and cold spots and spatial outliers. The machine learning model infers a binary class of cases or none with the best F1 score of 0.96 for malaria. Machine learning feature importance uncovered critical cultural and environmental factors affecting outbreaks and variations between diseases. Conclusions: Our study shows that data analytics and machine learning are vital to understanding and monitoring disease outbreaks locally across vast areas. The speed at which these methods produce insights can be critical during epidemics and emergencies.
Is Your LLM Secretly a World Model of the Internet? Model-Based Planning for Web Agents
Gu, Yu, Zheng, Boyuan, Gou, Boyu, Zhang, Kai, Chang, Cheng, Srivastava, Sanjari, Xie, Yanan, Qi, Peng, Sun, Huan, Su, Yu
Language agents have demonstrated promising capabilities in automating web-based tasks, though their current reactive approaches still underperform largely compared to humans. While incorporating advanced planning algorithms, particularly tree search methods, could enhance these agents' performance, implementing tree search directly on live websites poses significant safety risks and practical constraints due to irreversible actions such as confirming a purchase. In this paper, we introduce a novel paradigm that augments language agents with model-based planning, pioneering the innovative use of large language models (LLMs) as world models in complex web environments. Our method, WebDreamer, builds on the key insight that LLMs inherently encode comprehensive knowledge about website structures and functionalities. Specifically, WebDreamer uses LLMs to simulate outcomes for each candidate action (e.g., "what would happen if I click this button?") using natural language descriptions, and then evaluates these imagined outcomes to determine the optimal action at each step. Empirical results on two representative web agent benchmarks with online interaction -- VisualWebArena and Mind2Web-live -- demonstrate that WebDreamer achieves substantial improvements over reactive baselines. By establishing the viability of LLMs as world models in web environments, this work lays the groundwork for a paradigm shift in automated web interaction. More broadly, our findings open exciting new avenues for future research into 1) optimizing LLMs specifically for world modeling in complex, dynamic environments, and 2) model-based speculative planning for language agents.