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Enhancing Online Support Group Formation Using Topic Modeling Techniques

Barman, Pronob Kumar, Reynolds, Tera L., Foulds, James

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Online health communities (OHCs) are vital for fostering peer support and improving health outcomes. Support groups within these platforms can provide more personalized and cohesive peer support, yet traditional support group formation methods face challenges related to scalability, static categorization, and insufficient personalization. To overcome these limitations, we propose two novel machine learning models for automated support group formation: the Group specific Dirichlet Multinomial Regression (gDMR) and the Group specific Structured Topic Model (gSTM). These models integrate user generated textual content, demographic profiles, and interaction data represented through node embeddings derived from user networks to systematically automate personalized, semantically coherent support group formation. We evaluate the models on a large scale dataset from MedHelp, comprising over 2 million user posts. Both models substantially outperform baseline methods including LDA, DMR, and STM in predictive accuracy (held out log likelihood), semantic coherence (UMass metric), and internal group consistency. The gDMR model yields group covariates that facilitate practical implementation by leveraging relational patterns from network structures and demographic data. In contrast, gSTM emphasizes sparsity constraints to generate more distinct and thematically specific groups. Qualitative analysis further validates the alignment between model generated groups and manually coded themes, showing the practical relevance of the models in informing groups that address diverse health concerns such as chronic illness management, diagnostic uncertainty, and mental health. By reducing reliance on manual curation, these frameworks provide scalable solutions that enhance peer interactions within OHCs, with implications for patient engagement, community resilience, and health outcomes.


Identifiable Deep Latent Variable Models for MNAR Data

Xie, Huiming, Xue, Fei, Wang, Xiao

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Missing data is a ubiquitous challenge in data analysis, often leading to biased and inaccurate results. Traditional imputation methods usually assume that the missingness mechanism is missing-at-random (MAR), where the missingness is independent of the missing values themselves. This assumption is frequently violated in real-world scenarios, prompted by recent advances in imputation methods using deep learning to address this challenge. However, these methods neglect the crucial issue of nonparametric identifiability in missing-not-at-random (MNAR) data, which can lead to biased and unreliable results. This paper seeks to bridge this gap by proposing a novel framework based on deep latent variable models for MNAR data. Building on the assumption of conditional no self-censoring given latent variables, we establish the identifiability of the data distribution. This crucial theoretical result guarantees the feasibility of our approach. To effectively estimate unknown parameters, we develop an efficient algorithm utilizing importance-weighted autoencoders. We demonstrate, both theoretically and empirically, that our estimation process accurately recovers the ground-truth joint distribution under specific regularity conditions. Extensive simulation studies and real-world data experiments showcase the advantages of our proposed method compared to various classical and state-of-the-art approaches to missing data imputation.


16 award-winning photographs from around the world

Popular Science

The Sony World Photography Awards announced the winning and shortlisted photographers of the 2026 National and Regional Awards . Captured during a dive in the Galápagos Islands, the image reveals the predator's agility against the fluid patterns of the fish, providing a raw look at the survival instincts, and the high-energy interactions that define this unique volcanic ecosystem. Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent six days a week. From a solitary leopard in Botswana to a herd of buffaloes in Sri Lanka, and a church in Slovenia to a rocky landscape in Saudi Arabia, beauty exists in all corners of our humble planet. The Sony World Photography Awards celebrates photographers who capture riveting images around the world in its 2026 National and Regional Awards.


Consistent Estimation of Functions of Data Missing Non-Monotonically and Not at Random

Neural Information Processing Systems

Missing records are a perennial problem in analysis of complex data of all types, when the target of inference is some function of the full data law. In simple cases, where data is missing at random or completely at random (Rubin, 1976), well-known adjustments exist that result in consistent estimators of target quantities. Assumptions underlying these estimators are generally not realistic in practical missing data problems. Unfortunately, consistent estimators in more complex cases where data is missing not at random, and where no ordering on variables induces monotonicity of missingness status are not known in general, with some notable exceptions (Robins, 1997), (Tchetgen Tchetgen et al, 2016), (Sadinle and Reiter, 2016). In this paper, we propose a general class of consistent estimators for cases where data is missing not at random, and missingness status is non-monotonic. Our estimators, which are generalized inverse probability weighting estimators, make no assumptions on the underlying full data law, but instead place independence restrictions, and certain other fairly mild assumptions, on the distribution of missingness status conditional on the data. The assumptions we place on the distribution of missingness status conditional on the data can be viewed as a version of a conditional Markov random field (MRF) corresponding to a chain graph. Assumptions embedded in our model permit identification from the observed data law, and admit a natural fitting procedure based on the pseudo likelihood approach of (Besag, 1975). We illustrate our approach with a simple simulation study, and an analysis of risk of premature birth in women in Botswana exposed to highly active anti-retroviral therapy.





d0c6bc641a56bebee9d985b937307367-Paper-Conference.pdf

Neural Information Processing Systems

Asuccessful autoformalization system could advance the fields of formal verification, program synthesis, and artificial intelligence. While the long-term goal of autoformalization seemed elusive for a long time, we show large language models provide new prospects towards this goal.



World's oldest poison-tipped arrow discovered in South Africa

Popular Science

Science Archaeology World's oldest poison-tipped arrow discovered in South Africa The 60,000-year-old relic contains traces of a toxic onion. Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent every weekday. For thousands of years, hunters around the world have employed poison-tipped arrows to assist in taking down prey. For example, the curare plant poisons used by South and Central American hunters paralyzes the respiratory system. Meanwhile, inhabitants of the Kalahari Desert have relied on the toxins harvested from beetle larvae .