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Wisdom of the Ensemble: Improving Consistency of Deep Learning Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

Deep learning classifiers are assisting humans in making decisions and hence the user's trust in these models is of paramount importance. Trust is often a function of constant behavior. From an AI model perspective it means given the same input the user would expect the same output, especially for correct outputs, or in other words consistently correct outputs. This paper studies a model behavior in the context of periodic retraining of deployed models where the outputs from successive generations of the models might not agree on the correct labels assigned to the same input. We formally define consistency and correct-consistency of a learning model. We prove that consistency and correct-consistency of an ensemble learner is not less than the average consistency and correct-consistency of individual learners and correct-consistency can be improved with a probability by combining learners with accuracy not less than the average accuracy of ensemble component learners. To validate the theory using three datasets and two state-of-the-art deep learning classifiers we also propose an efficient dynamic snapshot ensemble method and demonstrate its value.


Experts say AI 'companions' will revolutionize relationships, but could become 'default connection' for people

FOX News

Angie Wisdom and Dr. Chirag Shah discuss how artificial intelligence could play a role in online and professional relationships. Artificial intelligence (AI) is already providing significant benefit to people searching for love, negotiating a business deal and struggling with depression. However, according to experts, an over reliance on the technology could cause a "devaluation" of human connection and lead to diminishing authenticity. Rijul Gupta, CEO and co-founder of DeepMedia, told Fox News Digital that as AI continues to evolve, the technology has the potential to enrich social interactions, deliver companionship, and provide support in areas like child-rearing and elder care. Furthermore, Gupta predicted AI is set to "revolutionize" online dating by enhancing existing platforms, such as Tinder and Hinge, with new algorithms that provide more "personalized" and "efficient" matchmaking.


303

AI Magazine

Expert Systems: Where Are We? And Where Do We Go From Here? This article has benefited from careful readings by and suggestions from Mike Brady, Bruce Buchanan, Ed Feigenbaum, Jo& Gon&lez, Pete Szolovits, and Pat Winston Editor's note: This article was the author's "Invited Lecture" at IJCAI 7 Where has the Accepted Wisdom succeeded? One important goal of this part of the journey will be to calibrate the current state of the art-Given what we know, what can we do and how quickly can we do it? Does building a system typically require several months or several years?


A List of Things Artificial Intelligence Will Not Replace · The Sales Blog

#artificialintelligence

Artificial intelligence has made an enormous impact on our lives, including behavioral algorithms, smart home technology, and self-driving cars. There is no doubt that AI will continue to advance and alter our world, but there is also no doubt that there are things it cannot and will not replace. Relationships: You don't have a relationship with Siri. These two ladies don't have any idea who you are. The possibility that humans will go from tribes that live, survive, and thrive together to helmets that live alone and shun other human beings is exceedingly small. Caring: It will be a long time before artificial intelligence becomes conscious, if it ever makes the monumental, evolutionary leap that, so far, has occurred only in sentient beings, and mostly the human variety.


Glaucus: Exploiting the Wisdom of Crowds for Location-Based Queries in Mobile Environments

AAAI Conferences

In this paper, we build a social search engine named Glaucus for location-based queries. They compose a significant portion of mobile searches, thus becoming more popular with the prevalence of mobile devices. However, most of existing social search engines are not designed for location-based queries and thus often produce poor-quality results for such queries. Glaucus is inherently designed to support location-based queries. It collects the check-in information, which pinpoints the places where each user visited, from location-based social networking services such as Foursquare. Then, it calculates the expertise of each user for a query by using our new probabilistic model called the location aspect model . We conducted two types of evaluation to prove the effectiveness of our engine. The results showed that Glaucus selected the users supported by stronger evidence for the required expertise than existing social search engines. In addition, the answers from the experts selected by Glaucus were highly rated by our human judges in terms of answer satisfaction.


The Wisdom of Crowds in Bioinformatics: What Can We Learn (and Gain) from Ensemble Predictions?

AAAI Conferences

The combination of distinct algorithms expertise to improve prediction accuracy, inspired by the theory of wisdom of crowds, has been increasingly discussed in literature. However, its application to bioinformatics-related tasks is still in its infancy. This thesis aims at investigating the potential and limitations of ensemble-based solutions for two bioinformatics prediction tasks, namely inference of gene regulatory networks and prediction of microRNAs targets, as well as propose new integration methods. We approach this by considering heterogeneity in the contexts of data and methods, and adopting machine learning methods and concepts from multiagent systems, such as social choice functions, for integration purposes.


The Role of AI in Wisdom of the Crowds for the Social Construction of Knowledge on Sustainability

AAAI Conferences

One of the original applications of crowdsourcing the construction of knowledge is Wikipedia, which relies entirely on people to contribute, extend, and modify the representation of knowledge. This paper presents a case for combining AI and wisdom of the crowds for the social construction of knowledge. Our social-computational approach to collective intelligence combines the strengths of human cognitive diversity in producing content and the capabilities of an AI, through methods such as topic modeling, to link and synthesize across these human contributions. In addition to drawing from established domains such as Wikipedia for inspiration and guidance, we present the design of a system that incorporates AI into wisdom of the crowds to develop a knowledge base on sustainability. In this setting the AI plays the role of scholar, as might many of the other participants, drawing connections and synthesizing across contributions. We close with a general discussion, speculating on educational implications and other roles that an AI can play within an otherwise collective human intelligence.



CollabMap: Augmenting Maps Using the Wisdom of Crowds

AAAI Conferences

The creation of high fidelity scenarios for disaster simulation is a major challenge for a number of reasons. First, the maps supplied by existing map providers tend to provide only road or building shapes and do not accurately model open spaces which people use to evacuate buildings, homes, or industrial facilities. Secondly, even if some of the data about evacuation routes is available, the real-world connection points between these spaces and roads and buildings is usually not well defined unless data from buildings’ owners can be obtained. Finally, in order to augment current maps with accurate spatial data, it would require either a good set of training data for a computer vision algorithm to define evacuation routes using pictures or a significant amount of manpower to directly survey a vast area. Against this background, we develop a novel model of geospatial data creation, called CollabMap, that relies on human computation. CollabMap is a crowdsourcing tool to get users contracted via Amazon Mechanical Turk or a similar service to perform micro-tasks that involve augmenting existing maps by drawing evacuation routes, using satellite imagery from Google Maps and panoramic views from Google Street-View. We use human computation to complete tasks that are hard for a computer vision algorithm to perform or to generate training data that could be used by a computer vision algorithm to automatically define evacuation routes.


Filtering Abstract Senses From Image Search Results

Neural Information Processing Systems

We propose an unsupervised method that, given a word, automatically selects non-abstract senses of that word from an online ontology and generates images depicting the corresponding entities. When faced with the task of learning a visual model based only on the name of an object, a common approach is to find images on the web that are associated with the object name, and then train a visual classifier from the search result. As words are generally polysemous, this approach can lead to relatively noisy models if many examples due to outlier senses are added to the model. We argue that images associated with an abstract word sense should be excluded when training a visual classifier to learn a model of a physical object. While image clustering can group together visually coherent sets of returned images, it can be difficult to distinguish whether an image cluster relates to a desired object or to an abstract sense of the word. We propose a method that uses both image features and the text associated with the images to relate latent topics to particular senses. Our model does not require any human supervision, and takes as input only the name of an object category. We show results of retrieving concrete-sense images in two available multimodal, multi-sense databases, as well as experiment with object classifiers trained on concrete-sense images returned by our method for a set of ten common office objects.