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Deep Learning Can Read The Tea Leaves In Market Data

International Business Times

Henri Waelbroeck, director of research at machine learning trade execution system Portware, says rather poetically that the system "reads the tea leaves" in market data to distinguish different sorts of orders and execute trades more efficiently. Portware uses artificial intelligence to help traders select the best algorithm for particular market conditions, asset class, broker, venue etc., interacting with the order flow and computing a mind-boggling array of variables in real time. Say you are buying a stock, and you predict there is likely to be more orders hitting the bid side of the spread in the next five minutes, you should be able to operate an efficient algorithm that only posts limit orders and collects the spread as it executes. Using an algorithm that crosses the spread in this instance would be wasteful since you expect order flow to be coming your way. Waelbroeck, formerly a professor at the Institute of Nuclear Sciences at the National University of Mexico, whose specialisms include genetic algorithms and chaos theory, said: "Just throwing machine learning at problems usually doesn't give a very good answer. You need to have a good analytical understanding of what's going on and this usually gives you a baseline model and then you find opportunities to insert machine learning tactically to exploit opportunities to improve the models."


Deep learning can read the tea leaves in market data

#artificialintelligence

Henri Waelbroeck, director of research at machine learning trade execution system Portware, says rather poetically that the system "reads the tea leaves" in market data to distinguish different sorts of orders and execute trades more efficiently. Portware uses artificial intelligence to help traders select the best algorithm for particular market conditions, asset class, broker, venue etc., interacting with the order flow and computing a mind-boggling array of variables in real time. Say you are buying a stock, and you predict there is likely to be more orders hitting the bid side of the spread in the next five minutes, you should be able to operate an efficient algorithm that only posts limit orders and collects the spread as it executes. Using an algorithm that crosses the spread in this instance would be wasteful since you expect order flow to be coming your way. Waelbroeck, formerly a professor at the Institute of Nuclear Sciences at the National University of Mexico, whose specialisms include genetic algorithms and chaos theory, said: "Just throwing machine learning at problems usually doesn't give a very good answer. You need to have a good analytical understanding of what's going on and this usually gives you a baseline model and then you find opportunities to insert machine learning tactically to exploit opportunities to improve the models."


Artificial Intelligence: Robo Rules & Regulation

#artificialintelligence

Artificial intelligence has dominated headlines recently, highlighting the best and worst of its capabilities and suggesting there is still work to be done and improvements to be made. News of Microsoft's Tay, an artificially intelligent bot which was created to mimic the personality of a 19-year old woman, quickly turned sour as it seemed to transform into a'bitter racist' on the social media website twitter. When Microsoft was asked to confirm whether the bot had been shut down, it responded: "The AI chatbot Tay is a machine learning project, designed for human engagement. "As it learns, some of its responses are inappropriate and indicative of the types of interactions some people are having with it. A more successful venture into AI was seen in Google's AlphaGo artificial intelligence after it defeated Go world champion Lee Se-dol twice. Se-dol said after the second defeat: "I am quite speechless… I feel like AlphaGo played a nearly perfect game."


Former nuclear physicist Henri Waelbroeck explains how machine learning mitigates high frequency trading

#artificialintelligence

Henri Waelbroeck seems to fit the popular image of the scientist transplanted into the world of high finance and hedge fund trading, the sort of stereotype found in books like "The Fear Index" by Robert Harris. Waelbroeck, director of research at machine learning-enhanced trade execution system Portware, was previously a professor at the Institute of Nuclear Sciences at the National University of Mexico (UNAM). His areas of expertise include: complex systems science, quantum gravity theories, genetic algorithms, artificial neural networks, chaos theory. The impression Waelbroeck conveys is one of precision. He explains that algorithms have grown in complexity since being introduced to the world of trading around 2000. This has made it increasingly difficult for traders to understand each vendor's full algorithm platform and how to optimally select an algorithm for each particular trade that comes in from a portfolio manager.