Survival analysis is central to clinical decision-making, yet reliable time-to-event models require large, diverse cohorts that are rarely available at a single institution, while privacy regulations restrict the centralization of patient data. Federated learning (FL) offers a privacy-preserving alternative by training shared models without exchanging raw data, but its effectiveness for survival modeling under realistic, heterogeneous conditions remains insufficiently understood. This paper presents a systematic, multi-model evaluation of federated survival analysis on a cross-institutional breast cancer cohort with naturally heterogeneous distributed clients. Three representative survival models, the Cox Proportional Hazards model, DeepSurv, and Random Survival Forest (RSF), are compared across centralized, local, and federated training, and three federated optimization strategies (FedAvg, FedProx, and FedAdam) are assessed for the gradient-based models. Results show that FL consistently outperforms local training and approaches, and occasionally exceeds, centralized performance, while RSF offers the best overall balance of discrimination, calibration, and robustness across heterogeneous clients. We further find that performance depends on the diversity of client distributions, and that FedAvg and FedProx are stronger and more stable than FedAdam. Based on these findings, we derive practical, decision-oriented guidelines mapping data, privacy, interpretability, and resource constraints to recommended model and training-paradigm choices for federated survival modeling in healthcare.

As AI grows more powerful, it will increasingly shape how we understand the world. But with this influence comes the risk of amplifying misinformation and deepening social divides--especially on consequential topics where factual accuracy directly impacts well-being. Scalable Oversight aims to ensure AI systems remain truthful even when their capabilities exceed those of their evaluators. Yet when humans serve as evaluators, their own beliefs and biases can impair judgment. We study whether AI debate can guide biased judges toward the truth by having two AI systems debate opposing sides of controversial factuality claims on COVID-19 and climate change where people hold strong prior beliefs.

Seasonal-scale climate prediction plays a critical role in supporting agricultural planning, disaster prevention, and long-term decision making. In particular, reliable forecasts issued 1-6 months in advance are essential for early warning of flood and drought risks associated with precipitation during the East Asian summer monsoon season. However, while the use of machine learning techniques has advanced rapidly in weather and subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting, partly driven by the availability of benchmark datasets, their application to seasonal-scale prediction remains limited. Existing seasonal prediction primarily relies on ensemble forecasts from numerical models, which, while physically grounded, are subject to biases and uncertainties at long lead times. Motivated by these challenges, we propose SeasonBench-EA, a benchmark dataset for seasonal prediction in East Asia region.

Decoding visual signals holds an appealing potential to unravel the complexities of cognition and perception. While recent reconstruction tasks leverage powerful generative models to produce high-fidelity images from neural recordings, they often pay limited attention to the underlying neural representations and rely heavily on pretrained priors. As a result, they provide little insight into how individual voxels encode and differentiate semantic content or how these representations vary across subjects. To mitigate this gap, we present an insightful Multi-subject Invariant Neural Decoding (iMIND) model, which employs a novel dual-decoding framework-both biometric and semantic decoding-to offer neural interpretability in a data-driven manner and deepen our understanding of brain-based visual functionalities. Our iMIND model operates through three core steps: establishing a shared neural representation space across subjects using a ViT-based masked autoencoder, disentangling neural features into complementary subject-specific and object-specific components, and performing dual decoding to support both biometric and semantic classification tasks. Experimental results demonstrate that iMIND achieves state-of-the-art decoding performance with minimal scalability limitations. Furthermore, iMIND empirically generates voxel-object activation fingerprints that reveal object-specific neural patterns and enable investigation of subject-specific variations in attention to identical stimuli. These findings provide a foundation for more interpretable and generalizable subject-invariant neural decoding, advancing our understanding of the voxel semantic selectivity as well as the neural vision processing dynamics.

Advances in large-scale recording technologies now enable simultaneous measurements from multiple brain areas, offering new opportunities to study signal transmission across interacting components of neural circuits. However, neural responses exhibit substantial trial-to-trial variability, often driven by unobserved factors such as subtle changes in animal behavior or internal states. To prevent evolving background dynamics from contaminating identification of functional coupling, we developed a hybrid neural spike train model, GLM-Transformer, that incorporates flexible, deep latent variable models into a point process generalized linear model (GLM) having an interpretable component for cross-population interactions. ATransformer-based variational autoencoder captures nonstationary individual-neuron dynamics that vary across trials, while standard nonparametric regression GLM coupling terms provide estimates of directed interactions between neural populations. We incorporate a low-rank structure on population-topopulation coupling effects to improve scalability. Across synthetic datasets and mechanistic simulations, GLM-Transformer recovers known coupling structure and remains robust to shared background fluctuations. When applied to the Allen Institute Visual Coding dataset, it identifies feedforward pathways consistent with established visual hierarchy. This work offers a step toward improved identification of neural population interactions, and contributes to ongoing efforts aimed at achieving interpretable results while harvesting the benefits of deep learning.

Mapping the relationship between neural activity and motor behavior is a central aim of sensorimotor neuroscience and neurotechnology. While most progress to this end has relied on restricting complexity, the advent of foundation models instead proposes integrating a breadth of data as an alternate avenue for broadly advancing downstream modeling. We quantify this premise for motor decoding from intracortical microelectrode data, pretraining an autoregressive Transformer on 2000 hours of neural population spiking activity paired with diverse motor covariates from over 30 monkeys and humans. The resulting model is broadly useful, benefiting decoding on 8 downstream decoding tasks and generalizing to a variety of neural distribution shifts. However, we also highlight that scaling autoregressive Transformers seems unlikely to resolve limitations stemming from sensor variability and output stereotypy in neural datasets.

Task-trained recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are widely used in neuroscience and machine learning to model dynamical computations. To gain mechanistic insight into how neural systems solve tasks, prior work often reverse-engineers individual trained networks. However, different RNNs trained on the same task and achieving similar performance can exhibit strikingly different internal solutions, a phenomenon known as solution degeneracy. Here, we develop a unified framework to systematically quantify and control solution degeneracy across three levels: behavior, neural dynamics, and weight space. We apply this framework to 3,400 RNNs trained on four neuroscience-relevant tasks: flip-flop memory, sine wave generation, delayed discrimination, and path integration, while systematically varying task complexity, learning regime, network size, and regularization. We find that higher task complexity and stronger feature learning reduce degeneracy in neural dynamics but increase it in weight space, with mixed effects on behavior. In contrast, larger networks and structural regularization reduce degeneracy at all three levels. These findings empirically validate the Contravariance Principle and provide practical guidance for researchers seeking to tune the variability of RNN solutions, either to uncover shared neural mechanisms or to model the individual variability observed in biological systems. This work provides a principled framework for quantifying and controlling solution degeneracy in task-trained RNNs, offering new tools for building more interpretable and biologically grounded models of neural computation.

Characterizing the cellular properties of neurons is fundamental to understanding their function in the brain. In this quest, the generation of bio-realistic models is central towards integrating multimodal cellular data sets and establishing causal relationships. However, current modeling approaches remain constrained by the limited availability and intrinsic variability of experimental neuronal data. The deterministic formalism of bio-realistic models currently precludes accounting for the natural variability observed experimentally. While deep learning is becoming increasingly relevant in this space, it fails to capture the full biophysical complexity of neurons, their nonlinear voltage dynamics, and variability.

Traditional models of climate change use complex systems of coupled equations to simulate physical processes across the Earth system. These simulations are highly computationally expensive, limiting our predictions of climate change and analyses of its causes and effects. Machine learning has the potential to quickly emulate data from climate models, but current approaches are not able to incorporate physicallybased causal relationships. Here, we develop an interpretable climate model emulator based on causal representation learning. We derive a novel approach including a Bayesian filter for stable long-term autoregressive emulation. We demonstrate that our emulator learns accurate climate dynamics, and we show the importance of each one of its components on a realistic synthetic dataset and data from two widely deployed climate models.

Brain-computer interfaces have shown great potential in motor and speech rehabilitation, but still suffer from low performance stability across days, mostly due to the instabilities in neural signals. These instabilities, partially caused by neuron deaths and electrode shifts, leading to channel-level variabilities among different recording days. Previous studies mostly focused on aligning multi-day neural signals onto a low-dimensional latent manifold to reduce the variabilities, while faced with difficulties when neural signals exhibit significant drift. Here, we propose to learn a channel-level invariant neural representation to address the variabilities in channels across days. It contains a channel-rearrangement module to learn stable representations against electrode shifts, and a channel reconstruction module to handle the missing neurons. The proposed method achieved the state-of-the-art performance with cross-day decoding tasks over two months, on multiple benchmark BCI datasets. The proposed approach showed good generalization ability that can be incorporated to different neural networks.