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Approximate full-conformal multi-task regression with reproducing kernels

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Multi-task regression aims at jointly solving multiple regression problems, called tasks. Compared to solving each task separately, better performances can be achieved as long as the tasks are sufficiently related. Full-conformal prediction is a framework that formulates a data-dependent prediction-region containing the unknown output-vector at any prescribed confidence level. However, explicit computation of this prediction-region is intractable in general since it requires training infinitely many predictors. The present work focuses on multi-task regression in a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) of vector-valued functions. This computational issue is addressed by designing an approximating predictionregion containing the full-conformal one. This construction is carried out in two scenarios: piq when the inter-task covariance-matrix is known, and piiq when this matrix is estimated. In terms of volume, the tightness of this approximation is assessed theoretically by means of an upper-bound in the first scenario. It is also empirically proved to improve upon the split-conformal prediction on synthetic data in both scenarios.






Supplementary Materials for " Fine-Grained Visual Prompting " Lingfeng Y ang 1, Y ueze Wang

Neural Information Processing Systems

By applying a single blur operation, we can retain more spatial relevance information. Moreover, since the images are blurred, they may have a relatively minor impact on the recognition ability of CLIP on the target.



Approximate full conformal prediction in an RKHS

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Full conformal prediction is a framework that implicitly formulates distribution-free confidence prediction regions for a wide range of estimators. However, a classical limitation of the full conformal framework is the computation of the confidence prediction regions, which is usually impossible since it requires training infinitely many estimators (for real-valued prediction for instance). The main purpose of the present work is to describe a generic strategy for designing a tight approximation to the full conformal prediction region that can be efficiently computed. Along with this approximate confidence region, a theoretical quantification of the tightness of this approximation is developed, depending on the smoothness assumptions on the loss and score functions. The new notion of thickness is introduced for quantifying the discrepancy between the approximate confidence region and the full conformal one.


GRIT-LP: Graph Transformer with Long-Range Skip Connection and Partitioned Spatial Graphs for Accurate Ice Layer Thickness Prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Graph transformers have demonstrated remarkable capability on complex spatio-temporal tasks, yet their depth is often limited by oversmoothing and weak long-range dependency modeling. To address these challenges, we introduce GRIT -LP, a graph transformer explicitly designed for polar ice-layer thickness estimation from polar radar imagery. Accurately estimating ice layer thickness is critical for understanding snow accumulation, reconstructing past climate patterns and reducing uncertainties in projections of future ice sheet evolution and sea level rise. GRIT -LP combines an inductive geometric graph learning framework with self-attention mechanism, and introduces two major innovations that jointly address challenges in modeling the spatio-temporal patterns of ice layers: a partitioned spatial graph construction strategy that forms overlapping, fully connected local neighborhoods to preserve spatial coherence and suppress noise from irrelevant long-range links, and a long-range skip connection mechanism within the transformer that improves information flow and mitigates oversmooth-ing in deeper attention layers. We conducted extensive experiments, demonstrating that GRIT -LP outperforms current state-of-the-art methods with a 24.92% improvement in root mean squared error. These results highlight the effectiveness of graph transformers in modeling spatiotemporal patterns by capturing both localized structural features and long-range dependencies across internal ice layers, and demonstrate their potential to advance data-driven understanding of cryospheric processes. Introduction Graph transformers have proven to be highly effective for modeling complex graph-structured data, with wide-range of applications in real-world scenarios, particularly those involving spatiotemporal patterns. Their ability to capture intricate relationships and dependencies makes them highly valuable in domains such as pedestrian trajectory prediction [1] and traffic prediction [2]. Despite their success, current graph transformer architectures face notable limitations, including overfitting and over-smoothing--a phenomenon where node features become indistinguishable as layers deepen [3]. Additionally, many existing graph transformers are relatively shallow, limiting their ability to effectively capture the complex, long-range dependencies that often emerge in real-world datasets.


Intelligent Collaborative Optimization for Rubber Tyre Film Production Based on Multi-path Differentiated Clipping Proximal Policy Optimization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The advent of smart manufacturing is addressing the limitations of traditional centralized scheduling and inflexible production line configurations in the rubber tyre industry, especially in terms of coping with dynamic production demands. Contemporary tyre manufacturing systems form complex networks of tightly coupled subsystems pronounced nonlinear interactions and emergent dynamics. This complexity renders the effective coordination of multiple subsystems, posing an essential yet formidable task. For high-dimensional, multi-objective optimization problems in this domain, we introduce a deep reinforcement learning algorithm: Multi-path Differentiated Clipping Proximal Policy Optimization (MPD-PPO). This algorithm employs a multi-branch policy architecture with differentiated gradient clipping constraints to ensure stable and efficient high-dimensional policy updates. Validated through experiments on width and thickness control in rubber tyre film production, MPD-PPO demonstrates substantial improvements in both tuning accuracy and operational efficiency. The framework successfully tackles key challenges, including high dimensionality, multi-objective trade-offs, and dynamic adaptation, thus delivering enhanced performance and production stability for real-time industrial deployment in tyre manufacturing.