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Mathematicians put AI to work on Fermat's last theorem

New Scientist

Mathematicians put AI to work on Fermat's last theorem At an event in London, mathematicians have made unexpectedly fast progress on formalising Fermat's last theorem using AI In the lobby of a central London hotel, tourists are bracing themselves for a day of sightseeing in a heatwave. Meanwhile, staff are resetting the dining room after breakfast. And in a windowless meeting room, assembled academics are contemplating whether humans have a role to play in the future of mathematics, now that AI can prove theorems by itself. The general mood in the room is one of bewilderment at the recent jump in computer intelligence and excitement about the potential it unlocks - and perhaps a slight unease about what the future holds for them personally. Twenty-five researchers from diverse fields and countries are here to spend a week working on formalising Fermat's last theorem with cutting-edge AI models.


Weighted universal approximation of differentiable maps on infinite-dimensional manifolds

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We generalize the universal approximation theorem for functional input neural networks (FNN) to differentiable maps by including the approximation of the derivatives. A FNN maps the input from a possibly infinite-dimensional weighted manifold to the real-valued hidden layer, on which a non-linear scalar activation function is applied, and then returns the output into a Banach space via some linear readouts. By proving a weighted Nachbin theorem, we establish a universal approximation theorem for differentiable maps, which goes beyond the usual formulation on compact sets and also includes the approximation of the derivatives. This leads us to approximation results for non-anticipative functionals including the horizontal and vertical derivatives. As a further application, we show that linear functions of the signature are able to approximate path space functionals including their directional derivatives.


Small Resamples, Sharp Guarantees: Convergence Rates for Resampled Studentized Quantile Estimators

Neural Information Processing Systems

The m-out-of-n bootstrap--proposed by Bickel et al. [1992]--approximates the distribution of a statistic by repeatedly drawing msubsamples (m n) without replacement from an original sample of size n; it is now routinely used for robust inference with heavy-tailed data, bandwidth selection, and other large-sample applications. Despite this broad applicability across econometrics, biostatistics, and machine-learning workflows, rigorous parameter-free guarantees for the soundness of the m-out-of-n bootstrap when estimating sample quantiles have remained elusive. This paper establishes such guarantees by analysing the estimator of sample quantiles obtained from m-out-of-n resampling of a dataset of length n. We first prove a central limit theorem for a fully data-driven version of the estimator that holds under a mild moment condition and involves no unknown nuisance parameters. We then show that the moment assumption is essentially tight by constructing a counter-example in which the CLT fails. Strengthening the assumptions slightly, we derive an Edgeworth expansion that delivers exact convergence rates and, as a corollary, a Berry-Essรฉen bound on the bootstrap approximation error. Finally, we illustrate the scope of our results by obtaining parameter-free asymptotic distributions for practical statistics, including the quantiles for random walk MH, and rewards of ergodic MDP's, thereby demonstrating the usefulness of our theory in modern estimation and learning tasks.


Network two-sample test for block models

Neural Information Processing Systems

We consider the two-sample testing problem for networks, where the goal is to determine whether two sets of networks originated from the same stochastic model. Assuming no vertex correspondence and allowing for different numbers of nodes, we address a fundamental network testing problem that goes beyond simple adjacency matrix comparisons. We adopt the stochastic block model (SBM) for network distributions, due to their interpretability and the potential to approximate more general models. The lack of meaningful node labels and vertex correspondence translate to a graph matching challenge when developing a test for SBMs. We introduce an efficient algorithm to match estimated network parameters, allowing us to properly combine and contrast information within and across samples, leading to a powerful test. We show that the matching algorithm, and the overall test are consistent, under mild conditions on the sparsity of the networks and the sample sizes, and derive a chi-squared asymptotic null distribution for the test.


AUnified Framework for Provably Efficient Algorithms to Estimate Shapley Values

Neural Information Processing Systems

Shapley values have emerged as a critical tool for explaining which features impact the decisions made by machine learning models. However, computing exact Shapley values is difficult, generally requiring an exponential (in the feature dimension) number of model evaluations. To address this, many model-agnostic randomized estimators have been developed, the most influential and widely used being the KernelSHAP method (Lundberg & Lee, 2017). While related estimators such as unbiased KernelSHAP (Covert & Lee, 2021) and LeverageSHAP (Musco & Witter, 2025) are known to satisfy theoretical guarantees, bounds for KernelSHAP have remained elusive. We describe a broad and unified framework that encompasses KernelSHAP and related estimators constructed using both with and without replacement sampling strategies.


Spend Wisely: Maximizing Post-Training Gains in Iterative Synthetic Data Bootstrapping

Neural Information Processing Systems

Modern foundation models often undergo iterative "bootstrapping" in their posttraining phase: a model generates synthetic data, an external verifier filters out low-quality samples, and the high-quality subset is used for further fine-tuning. Over multiple iterations, the model performance improves, raising a crucial question: How should the total budget for generation and training be allocated across iterations to maximize final performance? In this work, we develop a theoretical framework for analyzing budget allocation strategies. Specifically, we show that constant policies fail to converge with high probability, while increasing policies-- particularly exponential growth policies--exhibit significant theoretical advantages. Experiments on image denoising with diffusion probabilistic models and math reasoning with large language models show that both exponential and polynomial growth policies consistently outperform constant policies, with exponential policies often providing more stable performance.


Low-Precision Streaming PCA

Neural Information Processing Systems

Low-precision Streaming PCA estimates the top principal component in a streaming setting under limited precision. We establish an information-theoretic lower bound on the quantization resolution required to achieve a target accuracy for the leading eigenvector. We study Oja's algorithm for streaming PCA under linear and nonlinear stochastic quantization. The quantized variants use unbiased stochastic quantization of the weight vector and the updates. Under mild moment and spectral-gap assumptions on the data distribution, we show that a batched version achieves the lower bound up to logarithmic factors under both schemes. This leads to a nearly dimension-free quantization error in the nonlinear quantization setting. Empirical evaluations on synthetic streams validate our theoretical findings and demonstrate that our low-precision methods closely track the performance of standard Oja's algorithm.


Bayesian Model Averaging under Predictor Redundancy via Density-Ratio Posterior Compression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Bayesian model averaging in support-indexed regression induces a posterior distribution over active predictor supports. Under predictor redundancy, posterior mass can spread across many nearly interchangeable supports, making exact-support summaries unstable or hard to interpret even when prediction is stable. We study how to report an already fitted Bayesian model averaging posterior without changing the Bayesian target. A report uses hard or soft regions of support space, and its compressed reporting law is compared with the reference posterior through an explicit density ratio. This ratio gives computable total-variation and Kullback--Leibler distortion, bounds for bounded predictive summaries, retained-mass diagnostics, and fallback-weight diagnostics. The framework covers fixed hard regions, metric-ball regions, posterior-cluster regions, and pooled-pruned region dictionaries. We prove exact error formulas and validation bounds for these region reports, and give conditions under which a few regions can replace a long list of individual supports. In simulations, our region reports often give shorter and clearer summaries while preserving the main posterior information, and the density-ratio diagnostics show when too much information has been lost.


MPS-Prover: Advancing Stepwise Theorem Proving by Multi-Perspective Search and Data Curation

Neural Information Processing Systems

Automated Theorem Proving (ATP) in formal languages remains a formidable challenge in AI, demanding rigorous logical deduction and navigating vast search spaces. While large language models (LLMs) have shown promising performance, existing stepwise provers often suffer from biased search guidance, leading to inefficiencies and suboptimal proof strategies. This paper introduces the MultiPerspective Search Prover (MPS-Prover), a novel stepwise ATP system designed to overcome these limitations. MPS-Prover incorporates two key innovations: a highly effective post-training data curation strategy that prunes approximately 40% of redundant training data without sacrificing performance, and a multi-perspective tree search mechanism. This search integrates a learned critic model with strategically designed heuristic rules to diversify tactic selection, prevent getting trapped in unproductive states, and enhance search robustness. Extensive evaluations demonstrate that MPS-Prover achieves state-of-the-art performance on multiple challenging benchmarks, including miniF2F and ProofNet, outperforming prior 7B parameter models. Furthermore, our analyses reveal that MPS-Prover generates significantly shorter and more diverse proofs compared to existing stepwise and whole-proof methods, highlighting its efficiency and efficacy. Our work advances the capabilities of LLM-based formal reasoning and offers a robust framework and a comprehensive analysis for developing more powerful theorem provers.