This paper explores the effectiveness of data-driven models to predict voltage excursion events in power systems using simple categorical labels. By treating the prediction as a categorical classification task, the workflow is characterized by a low computational and data burden. A proof-of-concept case study on a real portion of the Italian 150 kV sub-transmission network, which hosts a significant amount of wind power generation, demonstrates the general validity of the proposal and offers insight into the strengths and weaknesses of several widely utilized prediction models for this application.

The increasing penetration of distributed energy resources in low-voltage networks is turning end-users from consumers to prosumers. However, the incomplete smart meter rollout and paucity of smart meter data due to the regulatory separation between retail and network service provision make active distribution network management difficult. Furthermore, distribution network operators oftentimes do not have access to real-time smart meter data, which creates an additional challenge. For the lack of better solutions, they use blanket rooftop solar export limits, leading to suboptimal outcomes. To address this, we designed a conditional generative adversarial network (CGAN)-based model to forecast household solar generation and electricity demand, which serves as an input to chance-constrained optimal power flow used to compute fair operating envelopes under uncertainty.

Deep decarbonization of the energy sector will require massive penetration of stochastic renewable energy resources and an enormous amount of grid asset coordination; this represents a challenging paradigm for the power system operators who are tasked with maintaining grid stability and security in the face of such changes. With its ability to learn from complex datasets and provide predictive solutions on fast timescales, machine learning (ML) is well-posed to help overcome these challenges as power systems transform in the coming decades. In this work, we outline five key challenges (dataset generation, data pre-processing, model training, model assessment, and model embedding) associated with building trustworthy ML models which learn from physics-based simulation data. We then demonstrate how linking together individual modules, each of which overcomes a respective challenge, at sequential stages in the machine learning pipeline can help enhance the overall performance of the training process. In particular, we implement methods that connect different elements of the learning pipeline through feedback, thus "closing the loop" between model training, performance assessments, and re-training. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this framework, its constituent modules, and its feedback connections by learning the N-1 small-signal stability margin associated with a detailed model of a proposed North Sea Wind Power Hub system.

This paper introduces a framework to capture previously intractable optimization constraints and transform them to a mixed-integer linear program, through the use of neural networks. We encode the feasible space of optimization problems characterized by both tractable and intractable constraints, e.g. differential equations, to a neural network. Leveraging an exact mixed-integer reformulation of neural networks, we solve mixed-integer linear programs that accurately approximate solutions to the originally intractable non-linear optimization problem. We apply our methods to the AC optimal power flow problem (AC-OPF), where directly including dynamic security constraints renders the AC-OPF intractable. Our proposed approach has the potential to be significantly more scalable than traditional approaches. We demonstrate our approach for power system operation considering N-1 security and small-signal stability, showing how it can efficiently obtain cost-optimal solutions which at the same time satisfy both static and dynamic security constraints.

The increasing deployment of end use power resources in distribution systems created active distribution systems. Uncontrolled active distribution systems exhibit wide variations of voltage and loading throughout the day as some of these resources operate under max power tracking control of highly variable wind and solar irradiation while others exhibit random variations and/or dependency on weather conditions. It is necessary to control the system to provide power reliably and securely under normal voltages and frequency. Classical optimization approaches to control the system towards this goal suffer from the dimensionality of the problem and the need for a global optimization approach to coordinate a huge number of small resources. Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods offer an alternative that can provide a practical approach to this problem. We suggest that neural networks with self-attention mechanisms have the potential to aid in the optimization of the system. In this paper, we present this approach and provide promising preliminary results.