splitting
Supplementary
Contents1 1 PrinCut 22 1.1 How to use PrinCut . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Do not distribute. 1 PrinCut22 1.1 How to use PrinCut23 The PrinCut GUI is shown in Figure 1. PrinCut is a MATLAB app, and its package is also provided24 in the supplementary. The left shows raw data without annotation. The right shows both raw data and annotation overlay.
Post-Selection Distributional Model Evaluation
Farzaneh, Amirmohammad, Simeone, Osvaldo
Formal model evaluation methods typically certify that a model satisfies a prescribed target key performance indicator (KPI) level. However, in many applications, the relevant target KPI level may not be known a priori, and the user may instead wish to compare candidate models by analyzing the full trade-offs between performance and reliability achievable at test time by the models. This task, requiring the reliable estimate of the test-time KPI distributions, is made more complicated by the fact that the same data must often be used both to pre-select a subset of candidate models and to estimate their KPI distributions, causing a potential post-selection bias. In this work, we introduce post-selection distributional model evaluation (PS-DME), a general framework for statistically valid distributional model assessment after arbitrary data-dependent model pre-selection. Building on e-values, PS-DME controls post-selection false coverage rate (FCR) for the distributional KPI estimates and is proved to be more sample efficient than a baseline method based on sample splitting. Experiments on synthetic data, text-to-SQL decoding with large language models, and telecom network performance evaluation demonstrate that PS-DME enables reliable comparison of candidate configurations across a range of reliability levels, supporting the statistically reliable exploration of performance--reliability trade-offs.