The proposed research on pre-training temporal graph neural networks across multiple networks has the potential to advance the field of machine learning and its applications significantly. By introducing methodologies to enhance the scalability and transferability of TGNNs, this work could revolutionize areas like network security, financial fraud detection, and real-time social network analysis, where dynamic and adaptive models are essential. The publicly available dataset of 84 Ethereum-based temporal networks will serve as a valuable resource for the research community, fostering innovation and collaboration. Furthermore, the principles of multi-network pre-training introduced here can inspire analogous advances in other temporal data domains, such as healthcare, transportation, and climate science. This research opens up a new direction in training generalizable temporal graph models that, for the first time, can be trained on distinct temporal networks, paving the way for Temporal Graph Foundation Models. This work also introduces a set of Ethereum transaction token networks, which are publicly available to users who have the necessary resources, such as fast SSDs, large RAM, and ample disk space, to synchronize Ethereum clients and manually extract blocks. Additionally, all Ethereum data is accessible on numerous Ethereum explorer sites such as etherscan.io. An Ethereum user's privacy depends on whether personally identifiable information (PII) is associated with any of their blockchain address, which serves as account handles and are considered pseudonymous. If such PII were obtained from other sources, our datasets could potentially be used to link Ethereum addresses. However, real-life identities can only be discovered using IP tracking information, which we neither have nor share. Our data does not contain any PII. Furthermore, we have developed a request to exclude an address from the dataset. Benchmark datasets have become fundamental for advancing graph machine learning, providing a common ground to evaluate models and facilitate the development of graph foundation models. Early graph ML studies often relied on a handful of small, static benchmark graphs (e.g., citation networks like Cora/Citeseer and molecular graphs from the TU collection [37]).

Temporal Graph Learning (TGL) aims to discover patterns in evolving networks or temporal graphs and leverage these patterns to predict future interactions. However, most existing research focuses on learning from a single network in isolation, leaving the challenges of within-domain and cross-domain generalization largely unaddressed. In this study, we introduce a new benchmark of 84 real-world temporal transaction networks and propose Temporal Multi-network Transfer (MiNT), a pre-training framework designed to capture transferable temporal dynamics across diverse networks. We train MiNT models on up to 64 transaction networks and evaluate their generalization ability on 20 held-out, unseen networks. Our results show that MiNT consistently outperforms individually trained models, revealing a strong relation between the number of pre-training networks and transfer performance. These findings highlight scaling trends in temporal graph learning and underscore the importance of network diversity in improving generalization. This work establishes the first large-scale benchmark for studying transferability in TGL and lays the groundwork for developing Temporal Graph Foundation Models.

Time-resolved single-cell omics data offers high-throughput, genome-wide measurements of cellular states, which are instrumental to reverse-engineer the processes underpinning cell fate. Such technologies are inherently destructive, allowing only cross-sectional measurements of the underlying stochastic dynamical system. Furthermore, cells may divide or die in addition to changing their molecular state. Collectively these present a major challenge to inferring realistic biophysical models. We present a novel approach, unbalanced probability flow inference, that addresses this challenge for biological processes modelled as stochastic dynamics with growth. By leveraging a Lagrangian formulation of the Fokker-Planck equation, our method accurately disentangles drift from intrinsic noise and growth.

Performative prediction is a framework accounting for the shift in the data distribution induced by the prediction of a model deployed in the real world. Ensuring convergence to a stable solution--one at which the post-deployment data distribution no longer changes--is crucial in settings where model predictions can influence future data. This paper, for the first time, extends the Repeated Risk Minimization (RRM) algorithm class by utilizing historical datasets from previous retraining snapshots, yielding a class of algorithms that we call Affine Risk Minimizers that converges to a performatively stable point for a broader class of problems. We introduce a new upper bound for methods that use only the final iteration of the dataset and prove for the first time the tightness of both this new bound and the previous existing bounds within the same regime. We also prove that our new algorithm class can surpass the lower bound for standard RRM, thus breaking the prior lower bound, and empirically observe faster convergence to the stable point on various performative prediction benchmarks. We offer at the same time the first lower bound analysis for RRM within the class of Affine Risk Minimizers, quantifying the potential improvements in convergence speed that could be achieved with other variants in our scheme.

Heterogeneous temporal graphs (HTGs) are ubiquitous data structures in the real world. Recently, to enhance representation learning on HTGs, numerous attentionbased neural networks have been proposed. Despite these successes, existing methods rely on a decoupled temporal and spatial learning paradigm, which weakens interactions of spatio-temporal information and leads to a high model complexity. To bridge this gap, we propose a novel learning paradigm for HTGs called Simple and Efficient Heterogeneous Temporal Graph Neural Network (SE-HTGNN). Specifically, we innovatively integrate temporal modeling into spatial learning via a novel dynamic attention mechanism, which substantially reduces model complexity while enhancing discriminative representation learning on HTGs. Additionally, to comprehensively and adaptively understand HTGs, we leverage large language models to prompt SE-HTGNN, enabling the model to capture the implicit properties of node types as prior knowledge. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SE-HTGNN achieves up to 10 speed-up over the state-of-the-art and latest baseline while maintaining the best forecasting accuracy.

Diffusion models are a powerful tool for probabilistic forecasting, yet most applications in high-dimensional complex systems predict future states individually. This approach struggles to model complex temporal dependencies and fails to explicitly account for the progressive growth of uncertainty inherent to the systems. While rolling diffusion frameworks, which apply increasing noise to forecasts at longer lead times, have been proposed to address this, their integration with state-of-the-art, high-fidelity diffusion techniques remains a significant challenge. We tackle this problem by introducing Elucidated Rolling Diffusion Models (ERDM), the first framework to successfully unify a rolling forecast structure with the principled, performant design of Elucidated Diffusion Models (EDM). To do this, we adapt the core EDM components-its noise schedule, network preconditioning, and Heun sampler-to the rolling forecast setting. The success of this integration is driven by three key contributions: piq a novel loss weighting scheme that focuses model capacity on the mid-range forecast horizons where determinism gives way to stochasticity; piiq an efficient initialization strategy using a pre-trained EDM for the initial window; and piiiq a bespoke hybrid sequence architecture for robust spatiotemporal feature extraction under progressive denoising. On 2DNavier-Stokes simulations and ERA5 global weather forecasting at 1.5 resolution, ERDM consistently outperforms key diffusion-based baselines, including conditional autoregressive EDM. ERDM offers a flexible and powerful general framework for tackling diffusion-based dynamics forecasting problems where modeling uncertainty propagation is paramount.1

Neural Information Processing Systems http://nips.cc/

We categorize meta-learning evaluation into two settings: in-distribution [ID], in which the train and test tasks are sampled iid from the same underlying task distribution, and out-of-distribution [OOD], in which they are not. While most metalearning theory and some FSL applications follow the ID setting, we identify that most existing few-shot classification benchmarks instead reflect OOD evaluation, as they use disjoint sets of train (base) and test (novel) classes for task generation. This discrepancy is problematic because--as we show on numerous benchmarks-- meta-learning methods that perform better on existing OOD datasets may perform significantly worse in the ID setting. In addition, in the OOD setting, even though current FSL benchmarks seem befitting, our study highlights concerns in 1) reliably performing model selection for a given meta-learning method, and 2) consistently comparing the performance of different methods. To address these concerns, we provide suggestions on how to construct FSL benchmarks to allow for ID evaluation as well as more reliable OOD evaluation. Our work aims to inform the meta-learning community about the importance and distinction of ID vs. OOD evaluation, as well as the subtleties of OOD evaluation with current benchmarks.

The dataset and the baseline code will be made publicly available in a dedicated GitHub repository upon acceptance. License TempEL is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International license (CCBY-SA 4.0).1 Maintenance The maintenance and extension to further temporal snapshots of TempEL will be carried out by the authors of the paper. Additionally, we will make the code public to create potential new variations and extensions of TempEL using a number of hyperparameters (see Sections A.4 and A.5 for further details). A.2 Datasheet for TempEL In this section we provide a more detailed documentation of the dataset with the intended uses. We base ourselves on the datasheet proposed by [1]. A.2.1 Motivation For what purpose was the dataset created? The TempEL dataset was created to evaluate how the temporal change of anchor mentions and that of target Knowledge Base (KB; i.e., modification or creation of new entities) affects the entity linking (EL) task. This contrasts with the currently existing datasets [9, 7, 8, 6], which are associated with a single version of the target KB such as the Wikipedia 2010 for the widely adopted CoNLL-AIDA[2] dataset. We expect that TempEL will encourage research in devising new models and architectures that are robust to temporal changes both in mentions as well as in the target KBs. Who created the dataset and on behalf of which entity?