Federated Learning (FL) enables collaborative model training on decentralized data but remains vulnerable to gradient leakage attacks that can reconstruct sensitive user information. Existing defense mechanisms, such as differential privacy (DP) and homomorphic encryption (HE), often introduce a trade-off between privacy, model utility, and system overhead, a challenge that is exacerbated in heterogeneous environments with non-IID data and varying client capabilities. To address these limitations, we propose SelectiveShield, a lightweight hybrid defense framework that adap-tively integrates selective homomorphic encryption and differential privacy. SelectiveShield leverages Fisher information to quantify parameter sensitivity, allowing clients to identify critical parameters locally. Through a collaborative negotiation protocol, clients agree on a shared set of the most sensitive parameters for protection via homomorphic encryption. Parameters that are uniquely important to individual clients are retained locally, fostering personalization, while non-critical parameters are protected with adaptive differential privacy noise. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SelectiveShield maintains strong model utility while significantly mitigating gradient leakage risks, offering a practical and scalable defense mechanism for real-world federated learning deployments.

Zeroth-order optimization (ZO) is a memory-efficient strategy for fine-tuning Large Language Models using only forward passes. However, the application of ZO fine-tuning in memory-constrained settings such as mobile phones and laptops is still challenging since full precision forward passes are infeasible. In this study, we address this limitation by integrating sparsity and quantization into ZO fine-tuning of LLMs. Specifically, we investigate the feasibility of fine-tuning an extremely small subset of LLM parameters using ZO. This approach allows the majority of un-tuned parameters to be quantized to accommodate the constraint of limited device memory. Our findings reveal that the pre-training process can identify a set of "sensitive parameters" that can guide the ZO fine-tuning of LLMs on downstream tasks. Our results demonstrate that fine-tuning 0.1% sensitive parameters in the LLM with ZO can outperform the full ZO fine-tuning performance, while offering wall-clock time speedup. Additionally, we show that ZO fine-tuning targeting these 0.1% sensitive parameters, combined with 4 bit quantization, enables efficient ZO fine-tuning of an Llama2-7B model on a GPU device with less than 8 GiB of memory and notably reduced latency.

We consider a binary decision aggregation problem in the presence of both truthful and adversarial experts. The truthful experts will report their private signals truthfully with proper incentive, while the adversarial experts can report arbitrarily. The decision maker needs to design a robust aggregator to forecast the true state of the world based on the reports of experts. The decision maker does not know the specific information structure, which is a joint distribution of signals, states, and strategies of adversarial experts. We want to find the optimal aggregator minimizing regret under the worst information structure. The regret is defined by the difference in expected loss between the aggregator and a benchmark who makes the optimal decision given the joint distribution and reports of truthful experts. We prove that when the truthful experts are symmetric and adversarial experts are not too numerous, the truncated mean is optimal, which means that we remove some lowest reports and highest reports and take averaging among the left reports. Moreover, for many settings, the optimal aggregators are in the family of piecewise linear functions. The regret is independent of the total number of experts but only depends on the ratio of adversaries. We evaluate our aggregators by numerical experiment in an ensemble learning task. We also obtain some negative results for the aggregation problem with adversarial experts under some more general information structures and experts' report space.

It has been demonstrated that leading cruise control (LCC) can improve the operation of mixed-autonomy platoons by allowing connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) to make longitudinal control decisions based on the information provided by surrounding vehicles. However, LCC generally requires surrounding human-driven vehicles (HDVs) to share their real-time states, which can be used by adversaries to infer drivers' car-following behavior, potentially leading to financial losses or safety concerns. This paper aims to address such privacy concerns and protect the behavioral characteristics of HDVs by devising a parameter privacy-preserving approach for mixed-autonomy platoon control. First, we integrate a parameter privacy filter into LCC to protect sensitive car-following parameters. The privacy filter allows each vehicle to generate seemingly realistic pseudo states by distorting the true parameters to pseudo parameters, which can protect drivers' privacy in behavioral parameters without significantly influencing the control performance. Second, to enhance the practicality and reliability of the privacy filter within LCC, we first extend the current approach to accommodate continuous parameter spaces through a neural network estimator. Subsequently, we introduce an individual-level parameter privacy preservation constraint, focusing on the privacy level of each individual parameter pair, further enhancing the approach's reliability. Third, analysis of head-to-tail string stability reveals the potential impact of privacy filters in degrading mixed traffic flow performance. Simulation shows that this approach can effectively trade off privacy and control performance in LCC. We further demonstrate the benefit of such an approach in networked systems, i.e., by applying the privacy filter to a proceeding vehicle, one can also achieve a certain level of privacy for the following vehicle.

Methane (CH4) is the second most critical greenhouse gas after carbon dioxide, contributing to 16-25% of the observed atmospheric warming. Wetlands are the primary natural source of methane emissions globally. However, wetland methane emission estimates from biogeochemistry models contain considerable uncertainty. One of the main sources of this uncertainty arises from the numerous uncertain model parameters within various physical, biological, and chemical processes that influence methane production, oxidation, and transport. Sensitivity Analysis (SA) can help identify critical parameters for methane emission and achieve reduced biases and uncertainties in future projections. This study performs SA for 19 selected parameters responsible for critical biogeochemical processes in the methane module of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) land model (ELM). The impact of these parameters on various CH4 fluxes is examined at 14 FLUXNET- CH4 sites with diverse vegetation types. Given the extensive number of model simulations needed for global variance-based SA, we employ a machine learning (ML) algorithm to emulate the complex behavior of ELM methane biogeochemistry. ML enables the computational time to be shortened significantly from 6 CPU hours to 0.72 milliseconds, achieving reduced computational costs. We found that parameters linked to CH4 production and diffusion generally present the highest sensitivities despite apparent seasonal variation. Comparing simulated emissions from perturbed parameter sets against FLUXNET-CH4 observations revealed that better performances can be achieved at each site compared to the default parameter values. This presents a scope for further improving simulated emissions using parameter calibration with advanced optimization techniques like Bayesian optimization.

Heatwaves and bushfires cause substantial impacts on society and ecosystems across the globe. Accurate information of heat extremes is needed to support the development of actionable mitigation and adaptation strategies. Regional climate models are commonly used to better understand the dynamics of these events. These models have very large input parameter sets, and the parameters within the physics schemes substantially influence the model's performance. However, parameter sensitivity analysis (SA) of regional models for heat extremes is largely unexplored. Here, we focus on the southeast Australian region, one of the global hotspots of heat extremes. In southeast Australia Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is the widely used regional model to simulate extreme weather events across the region. Hence in this study, we focus on the sensitivity of WRF model parameters to surface meteorological variables such as temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed during two extreme heat events over southeast Australia. Due to the presence of multiple parameters and their complex relationship with output variables, a machine learning (ML) surrogate-based global sensitivity analysis method is considered for the SA. The ML surrogate-based Sobol SA is used to identify the sensitivity of 24 adjustable parameters in seven different physics schemes of the WRF model. Results show that out of these 24, only three parameters, namely the scattering tuning parameter, multiplier of saturated soil water content, and profile shape exponent in the momentum diffusivity coefficient, are important for the considered meteorological variables. These SA results are consistent for the two different extreme heat events. Further, we investigated the physical significance of sensitive parameters. This study's results will help in further optimising WRF parameters to improve model simulation.

Machine learning (ML) models are increasingly used for high-stake applications that can greatly impact people's lives. Despite their use, these models have the potential to be biased towards certain social groups on the basis of race, gender, or ethnicity. Many prior works have attempted to mitigate this "model discrimination" by updating the training data (pre-processing), altering the model learning process (in-processing), or manipulating model output (post-processing). However, these works have not yet been extended to the realm of multi-sensitive parameters and sensitive options (MSPSO), where sensitive parameters are attributes that can be discriminated against (e.g race) and sensitive options are options within sensitive parameters (e.g black or white), thus giving them limited real-world usability. Prior work in fairness has also suffered from an accuracy-fairness tradeoff that prevents both the accuracy and fairness from being high. Moreover, previous literature has failed to provide holistic fairness metrics that work with MSPSO. In this paper, we solve all three of these problems by (a) creating a novel bias mitigation technique called DualFair and (b) developing a new fairness metric (i.e. AWI) that can handle MSPSO. Lastly, we test our novel mitigation method using a comprehensive U.S mortgage lending dataset and show that our classifier, or fair loan predictor, obtains better fairness and accuracy metrics than current state-of-the-art models.

Watershed models such as the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) consist of high-dimensional physical and empirical parameters. These parameters need to be accurately calibrated for models to produce reliable predictions for streamflow, evapotranspiration, snow water equivalent, and nutrient loading. Existing parameter estimation methods are time-consuming, inefficient, and computationally intensive, with reduced accuracy when estimating high-dimensional parameters. In this paper, we present a fast, accurate, and reliable methodology to calibrate the SWAT model (i.e., 21 parameters) using deep learning (DL). We develop DL-enabled inverse models based on convolutional neural networks to ingest streamflow data and estimate the SWAT model parameters. Hyperparameter tuning is performed to identify the optimal neural network architecture and the nine next best candidates. We use ensemble SWAT simulations to train, validate, and test the above DL models. We estimated the actual parameters of the SWAT model using observational data. We test and validate the proposed DL methodology on the American River Watershed, located in the Pacific Northwest-based Yakima River basin. Our results show that the DL models-based calibration is better than traditional parameter estimation methods, such as generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE). The behavioral parameter sets estimated by DL have narrower ranges than GLUE and produce values within the sampling range even under high relative observational errors. This narrow range of parameters shows the reliability of the proposed workflow to estimate sensitive parameters accurately even under noise. Due to its fast and reasonably accurate estimations of process parameters, the proposed DL workflow is attractive for calibrating integrated hydrologic models for large spatial-scale applications.

The concept of mathematical modeling is widespread across almost all of the fields of contemporary science and engineering. Because of the existing necessity of predictions the behavior of natural phenomena, the researchers develop more and more complex models. However, despite their ability to better forecasting, the problem of an appropriate fitting ground truth data to those, high-dimensional and nonlinear models seems to be inevitable. In order to deal with this demanding problem the entire discipline of data assimilation has been developed. Basing on the Human and Nature Dynamics (HANDY) model, we have presented a detailed and comprehensive comparison of Approximate Bayesian Computation (classic data assimilation method) and a novelty approach of Supermodeling. Furthermore, with the usage of Sensitivity Analysis, we have proposed the methodology to reduce the number of coupling coefficients between submodels and as a consequence to increase the speed of the Supermodel converging. In addition, we have demonstrated that usage of Approximate Bayesian Computation method with the knowledge about parameters' sensitivities could result with satisfactory estimation of the initial parameters. However, we have also presented the mentioned methodology as unable to achieve similar predictions to Approximate Bayesian Computation. Finally, we have proved that Supermodeling with synchronization via the most sensitive variable could effect with the better forecasting for chaotic as well as more stable systems than the Approximate Bayesian Computation. What is more, we have proposed the adequate methodologies.