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PredictiveInferenceIsFreewiththe Jackknife+-after-Bootstrap

Neural Information Processing Systems

Ensemble learning is a popular technique for enhancing the performance of machine learning algorithms. It is used to capture a complex model space with simple hypotheses which are often significantly easier to learn, or to increase the accuracy of an otherwise unstable procedure [see 14,27,29,andreferencestherein].


1f3b0b15d6bb860dcfa6e5c8ba7d3d96-Paper-Conference.pdf

Neural Information Processing Systems

Proof.Theper-playith actioninhindsight pro lea is xed: '(a)= X However, see, thisratewouldbeveryslow, andtheconvergencemetric, notverystrong, e.g., inexpectediterates. Given >0, consider Moreauenvelop' (a) .


WildPPG: AReal-WorldPPGDatasetofLong ContinuousRecordings

Neural Information Processing Systems

Several external factors negativelyimpact accurate estimation, such as motion artifacts [5] that arise from a person's movements and performed activities [6,7], sensor misplacement [8] or slippage during wear, and environmental conditions that change over time such as low temperatures [9] or high levels of ambient light [10].


Adapting to Change: A Comparison of Continual and Transfer Learning for Modeling Building Thermal Dynamics under Concept Drifts

Raisch, Fabian, Langtry, Max, Koch, Felix, Choudhary, Ruchi, Goebel, Christoph, Tischler, Benjamin

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Transfer Learning (TL) is currently the most effective approach for modeling building thermal dynamics when only limited data are available. TL uses a pretrained model that is fine-tuned to a specific target building. However, it remains unclear how to proceed after initial fine-tuning, as more operational measurement data are collected over time. This challenge becomes even more complex when the dynamics of the building change, for example, after a retrofit or a change in occupancy. In Machine Learning literature, Continual Learning (CL) methods are used to update models of changing systems. TL approaches can also address this challenge by reusing the pretrained model at each update step and fine-tuning it with new measurement data. A comprehensive study on how to incorporate new measurement data over time to improve prediction accuracy and address the challenges of concept drifts (changes in dynamics) for building thermal dynamics is still missing. Therefore, this study compares several CL and TL strategies, as well as a model trained from scratch, for thermal dynamics modeling during building operation. The methods are evaluated using 5--7 years of simulated data representative of single-family houses in Central Europe, including scenarios with concept drifts from retrofits and changes in occupancy. We propose a CL strategy (Seasonal Memory Learning) that provides greater accuracy improvements than existing CL and TL methods, while maintaining low computational effort. SML outperformed the benchmark of initial fine-tuning by 28.1\% without concept drifts and 34.9\% with concept drifts.


Khalasi: Energy-Efficient Navigation for Surface Vehicles in Vortical Flow Fields

Gadhvi, Rushiraj, Manjanna, Sandeep

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

For centuries, khalasi (Gujarati for sailor) have skillfully harnessed ocean currents to navigate vast waters with minimal effort. Emulating this intuition in autonomous systems remains a significant challenge, particularly for Autonomous Surface Vehicles tasked with long duration missions under strict energy budgets. In this work, we present a learning-based approach for energy-efficient surface vehicle navigation in vortical flow fields, where partial observability often undermines traditional path-planning methods. We present an end to end reinforcement learning framework based on Soft Actor Critic that learns flow-aware navigation policies using only local velocity measurements. Through extensive evaluation across diverse and dynamically rich scenarios, our method demonstrates substantial energy savings and robust generalization to previously unseen flow conditions, offering a promising path toward long term autonomy in ocean environments. The navigation paths generated by our proposed approach show an improvement in energy conservation 30 to 50 percent compared to the existing state of the art techniques.


Optimal Safety-Aware Scheduling for Multi-Agent Aerial 3D Printing with Utility Maximization under Dependency Constraints

Stamatopoulos, Marios-Nektarios, Velhal, Shridhar, Banerjee, Avijit, Nikolakopoulos, George

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Abstract--This article presents a novel coordination and task-planning framework to enable the simultaneous conflict-free collaboration of multiple unmanned aerial vehicles (UA Vs) for aerial 3D printing. The proposed framework formulates an optimization problem that takes a construction mission divided into sub-tasks and a team of autonomous UA Vs, along with limited volume and battery. It generates an optimal mission plan comprising task assignments and scheduling, while accounting for task dependencies arising from the geometric and structural requirements of the 3D design, inter-UA V safety constraints, material usage and total flight time of each UA V. The potential conflicts occurring during the simultaneous operation of the UA Vs are addressed at a segment-level by dynamically selecting the starting time and location of each task to guarantee collision-free parallel execution. An importance prioritization is proposed to accelerate the computation by guiding the solution towards more important tasks. Additionally, a utility maximization formulation is proposed to dynamically determine the optimal number of UA Vs required for a given mission, balancing the trade-off between minimizing makespan and the deployment of excess agents. The proposed framework's effectiveness is evaluated through a Gazebo-based simulation setup, where agents are coordinated by a mission control module allocating the printing tasks based on the generated optimal scheduling plan while remaining within the material and battery constraints of each UA V. A video of the whole mission is available in the following link: https://youtu.be/b4jwhkNPT Note to Practitioners--This framework addresses the critical need for efficiency and safety in planning and scheduling multiple aerial robots for parallel aerial 3D printing. Existing approaches lack safety guarantees for UA Vs during parallel construction. This work tackles these challenges by ensuring safety during parallel operations and effectively managing task dependencies.