Deceptive agents are a challenge for the safety, trustworthiness, and cooperation of AI systems.

Deceptive agents are a challenge for the safety, trustworthiness, and cooperation of AI systems.

Understanding causal relations between temporal variables is a central challenge in time series analysis, particularly when the full causal structure is unknown. Even when the full causal structure cannot be fully specified, experts often succeed in providing a high-level abstraction of the causal graph, known as a summary causal graph, which captures the main causal relations between different time series while abstracting away micro-level details. In this work, we present conditions that guarantee the orientability of micro-level edges between temporal variables given the background knowledge encoded in a summary causal graph and assuming having access to a faithful and causally sufficient distribution with respect to the true unknown graph. Our results provide theoretical guarantees for edge orientation at the micro-level, even in the presence of cycles or bidirected edges at the macro-level. These findings offer practical guidance for leveraging SCGs to inform causal discovery in complex temporal systems and highlight the value of incorporating expert knowledge to improve causal inference from observational time series data.

This paper investigates the factors fostering collective intelligence (CI) through a case study of *LinYi's Experiment, where over 2000 human players collectively controll an avatar car. By conducting theoretical analysis and replicating observed behaviors through numerical simulations, we demonstrate how self-organized division of labor (DOL) among individuals fosters the emergence of CI and identify two essential conditions fostering CI by formulating this problem into a stability problem of a Markov Jump Linear System (MJLS). These conditions, independent of external stimulus, emphasize the importance of both elite and common players in fostering CI. Additionally, we propose an index for emergence of CI and a distributed method for estimating joint actions, enabling individuals to learn their optimal social roles without global action information of the whole crowd.

The human brain exhibits a strong ability to spontaneously associate different visual attributes of the same or similar visual scene, such as associating sketches and graffiti with real-world visual objects, usually without supervising information. In contrast, in the field of artificial intelligence, controllable generation methods like ControlNet heavily rely on annotated training datasets such as depth maps, semantic segmentation maps, and poses, which limits the method's scalability. Inspired by the neural mechanisms that may contribute to the brain's associative power, specifically the cortical modularization and hippocampal pattern completion, here we propose a self-supervised controllable generation (SCG) framework. Firstly, we introduce an equivariant constraint to promote inter-module independence and intra-module correlation in a modular autoencoder network, thereby achieving functional specialization. Subsequently, based on these specialized modules, we employ a self-supervised pattern completion approach for controllable generation training. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed modular autoencoder effectively achieves functional specialization, including the modular processing of color, brightness, and edge detection, and exhibits brain-like features including orientation selectivity, color antagonism, and center-surround receptive fields. Through self-supervised training, associative generation capabilities spontaneously emerge in SCG, demonstrating excellent generalization ability to various tasks such as associative generation on painting, sketches, and ancient graffiti. Compared to the previous representative method ControlNet, our proposed approach not only demonstrates superior robustness in more challenging high-noise scenarios but also possesses more promising scalability potential due to its self-supervised manner.Codes are released on Github and Gitee.

In this paper, we investigate the identifiability of average controlled direct effects and average natural direct effects in causal systems represented by summary causal graphs, which are abstractions of full causal graphs, often used in dynamic systems where cycles and omitted temporal information complicate causal inference. Unlike in the traditional linear setting, where direct effects are typically easier to identify and estimate, non-parametric direct effects, which are crucial for handling real-world complexities, particularly in epidemiological contexts where relationships between variables (e.g, genetic, environmental, and behavioral factors) are often non-linear, are much harder to define and identify. In particular, we give sufficient conditions for identifying average controlled micro direct effect and average natural micro direct effect from summary causal graphs in the presence of hidden confounding. Furthermore, we show that the conditions given for the average controlled micro direct effect become also necessary in the setting where there is no hidden confounding and where we are only interested in identifiability by adjustment.

The Generalized Sliding-Tile Puzzle (GSTP), allowing many square tiles on a board to move in parallel while enforcing natural geometric collision constraints on the movement of neighboring tiles, provide a high-fidelity mathematical model for many high-utility existing and future multi-robot applications, e.g., at mobile robot-based warehouses or autonomous garages. Motivated by practical relevance, this work examines a further generalization of GSTP called the Colored Generalized Sliding-Tile Puzzle (CGSP), where tiles can now assume varying degrees of distinguishability, a common occurrence in the aforementioned applications. Our study establishes the computational complexity of CGSP and its key sub-problems under a broad spectrum of possible conditions and characterizes solution makespan lower and upper bounds that differ by at most a logarithmic factor. These results are further extended to higher-dimensional versions of the puzzle game.

Dynamic Quality-of-Service (QoS) data capturing temporal variations in user-service interactions, are essential source for service selection and user behavior understanding. Approaches based on Latent Feature Analysis (LFA) have shown to be beneficial for discovering effective temporal patterns in QoS data. However, existing methods cannot well model the spatiality and temporality implied in dynamic interactions in a unified form, causing abundant accuracy loss for missing QoS estimation. To address the problem, this paper presents a novel Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs)-based dynamic QoS estimator namely Spatiotemporal Coupling GCN (SCG) model with the three-fold ideas as below. First, SCG builds its dynamic graph convolution rules by incorporating generalized tensor product framework, for unified modeling of spatial and temporal patterns. Second, SCG combines the heterogeneous GCN layer with tensor factorization, for effective representation learning on bipartite user-service graphs. Third, it further simplifies the dynamic GCN structure to lower the training difficulties. Extensive experiments have been conducted on two large-scale widely-adopted QoS datasets describing throughput and response time. The results demonstrate that SCG realizes higher QoS estimation accuracy compared with the state-of-the-arts, illustrating it can learn powerful representations to users and cloud services.

Understanding causal relationships in dynamic systems is essential for numerous scientific fields, including epidemiology, economics, and biology. While causal inference methods have been extensively studied, they often rely on fully specified causal graphs, which may not always be available or practical in complex dynamic systems. Partially specified causal graphs, such as summary causal graphs (SCGs), provide a simplified representation of causal relationships, omitting temporal information and focusing on high-level causal structures. This simplification introduces new challenges concerning the types of queries of interest: macro queries, which involve relationships between clusters represented as vertices in the graph, and micro queries, which pertain to relationships between variables that are not directly visible through the vertices of the graph. In this paper, we first clearly distinguish between macro conditional independencies and micro conditional independencies and between macro total effects and micro total effects. Then, we demonstrate the soundness and completeness of the d-separation to identify macro conditional independencies in SCGs. Furthermore, we establish that the do-calculus is sound and complete for identifying macro total effects in SCGs. Conversely, we also show through various examples that these results do not hold when considering micro conditional independencies and micro total effects.

Conducting experiments to estimate total effects can be challenging due to cost, ethical concerns, or practical limitations. As an alternative, researchers often rely on causal graphs to determine if it is possible to identify these effects from observational data. Identifying total effects in fully specified non-temporal causal graphs has garnered considerable attention, with Pearl's front-door criterion enabling the identification of total effects in the presence of latent confounding even when no variable set is sufficient for adjustment. However, specifying a complete causal graph is challenging in many domains. Extending these identifiability results to partially specified graphs is crucial, particularly in dynamic systems where causal relationships evolve over time. This paper addresses the challenge of identifying total effects using a specific and well-known partially specified graph in dynamic systems called a summary causal graph, which does not specify the temporal lag between causal relations and can contain cycles. In particular, this paper presents sufficient graphical conditions for identifying total effects from observational data, even in the presence of hidden confounding and when no variable set is sufficient for adjustment, contributing to the ongoing effort to understand and estimate causal effects from observational data using summary causal graphs.