We propose generalized resubstitution error estimators for regression, a broad family of estimators, each corresponding to a choice of empirical probability measures and loss function. The usual sum of squares criterion is a special case corresponding to the standard empirical probability measure and the quadratic loss. Other choices of empirical probability measure lead to more general estimators with superior bias and variance properties. We prove that these error estimators are consistent under broad assumptions. In addition, procedures for choosing the empirical measure based on the method of moments and maximum pseudo-likelihood are proposed and investigated. Detailed experimental results using polynomial regression demonstrate empirically the superior finite-sample bias and variance properties of the proposed estimators. The R code for the experiments is provided.

We propose the family of generalized resubstitution classifier error estimators based on empirical measures. These error estimators are computationally efficient and do not require re-training of classifiers. The plain resubstitution error estimator corresponds to choosing the standard empirical measure. Other choices of empirical measure lead to bolstered, posterior-probability, Gaussian-process, and Bayesian error estimators; in addition, we propose bolstered posterior-probability error estimators as a new family of generalized resubstitution estimators. In the two-class case, we show that a generalized resubstitution estimator is consistent and asymptotically unbiased, regardless of the distribution of the features and label, if the corresponding generalized empirical measure converges uniformly to the standard empirical measure and the classification rule has a finite VC dimension. A generalized resubstitution estimator typically has hyperparameters that can be tuned to control its bias and variance, which adds flexibility. Numerical experiments with various classification rules trained on synthetic data assess the thefinite-sample performance of several representative generalized resubstitution error estimators. In addition, results of an image classification experiment using the LeNet-5 convolutional neural network and the MNIST data set demonstrate the potential of this class of error estimators in deep learning for computer vision.

Discriminative analysis in neuroimaging by means of deep/machine learning techniques is usually tested with validation techniques, whereas the associated statistical significance remains largely under-developed due to their computational complexity. In this work, a non-parametric framework is proposed that estimates the statistical significance of classifications using deep learning architectures. In particular, a combination of autoencoders (AE) and support vector machines (SVM) is applied to: (i) a one-condition, within-group designs often of normal controls (NC) and; (ii) a two-condition, between-group designs which contrast, for example, Alzheimer's disease (AD) patients with NC (the extension to multi-class analyses is also included). A random-effects inference based on a label permutation test is proposed in both studies using cross-validation (CV) and resubstitution with upper bound correction (RUB) as validation methods. This allows both false positives and classifier overfitting to be detected as well as estimating the statistical power of the test. Several experiments were carried out using the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) dataset, the Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network (DIAN) dataset, and a MCI prediction dataset. We found in the permutation test that CV and RUB methods offer a false positive rate close to the significance level and an acceptable statistical power (although lower using cross-validation). A large separation between training and test accuracies using CV was observed, especially in one-condition designs. This implies a low generalization ability as the model fitted in training is not informative with respect to the test set. We propose as solution by applying RUB, whereby similar results are obtained to those of the CV test set, but considering the whole set and with a lower computational cost per iteration.