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What We Lose by Armchair Diagnosing Biden and Trump

Mother Jones

Last week, a special counsel report looking into President Biden's handling of classified documents described the president's memory as "poor," with "significant limitations." Speculation about Biden's cognitive state immediately followed. In its coverage, Fox News featured a doctor--not Biden's--who said the president had symptoms of age-related dementia. Also stopping by the network was Republican Sen. Marco Rubio, who said Biden either had dementia or should be charged with a crime. Some Democrats, in response, pointed not just to Donald Trump's own mishandling of classified documents, but to the former president's memory lapses.


Survival Prediction from Imbalance colorectal cancer dataset using hybrid sampling methods and tree-based classifiers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Background and Objective: Colorectal cancer is a high mortality cancer. Clinical data analysis plays a crucial role in predicting the survival of colorectal cancer patients, enabling clinicians to make informed treatment decisions. However, utilizing clinical data can be challenging, especially when dealing with imbalanced outcomes. This paper focuses on developing algorithms to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival of colorectal cancer patients using clinical datasets, with particular emphasis on the highly imbalanced 1-year survival prediction task. To address this issue, we propose a method that creates a pipeline of some of standard balancing techniques to increase the true positive rate. Evaluation is conducted on a colorectal cancer dataset from the SEER database. Methods: The pre-processing step consists of removing records with missing values and merging categories. The minority class of 1-year and 3-year survival tasks consists of 10% and 20% of the data, respectively. Edited Nearest Neighbor, Repeated edited nearest neighbor (RENN), Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Techniques (SMOTE), and pipelines of SMOTE and RENN approaches were used and compared for balancing the data with tree-based classifiers. Decision Trees, Random Forest, Extra Tree, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, and Light Gradient Boosting (LGBM) are used in this article. Method. Results: The performance evaluation utilizes a 5-fold cross-validation approach. In the case of highly imbalanced datasets (1-year), our proposed method with LGBM outperforms other sampling methods with the sensitivity of 72.30%. For the task of imbalance (3-year survival), the combination of RENN and LGBM achieves a sensitivity of 80.81%, indicating that our proposed method works best for highly imbalanced datasets. Conclusions: Our proposed method significantly improves mortality prediction for the minority class of colorectal cancer patients.


Rotation-Equivariant Neural Networks for Privacy Protection

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In order to prevent leaking input information from intermediate-layer features, this paper proposes a method to revise the traditional neural network into the rotation-equivariant neural network (RENN). Compared to the traditional neural network, the RENN uses d-ary vectors/tensors as features, in which each element is a d-ary number. These d-ary features can be rotated (analogous to the rotation of a d-dimensional vector) with a random angle as the encryption process. Input information is hidden in this target phase of d-ary features for attribute obfuscation. Even if attackers have obtained network parameters and intermediate-layer features, they cannot extract input information without knowing the target phase. Hence, the input privacy can be effectively protected by the RENN. Besides, the output accuracy of RENNs only degrades mildly compared to traditional neural networks, and the computational cost is significantly less than the homomorphic encryption.


Region-based Energy Neural Network for Approximate Inference

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Region-based free energy was originally proposed for generalized belief propagation (GBP) to improve loopy belief propagation (loopy BP). In this paper, we propose a neural network based energy model for inference in general Markov random fields (MRFs), which directly minimizes the region-based free energy defined on region graphs. We term our model Region-based Energy Neural Network (RENN). Unlike message-passing algorithms, RENN avoids iterative message propagation and is faster. Also different from recent deep neural network based models, inference by RENN does not require sampling, and RENN works on general MRFs. RENN can also be employed for MRF learning. Our experiments on marginal distribution estimation, partition function estimation, and learning of MRFs show that RENN outperforms the mean field method, loopy BP, GBP, and the state-of-the-art neural network based model.


ReNN: Rule-embedded Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The artificial neural network shows powerful ability of inference, but it is still criticized for lack of interpretability and prerequisite needs of big dataset. This paper proposes the Rule-embedded Neural Network (ReNN) to overcome the shortages. ReNN first makes local-based inferences to detect local patterns, and then uses rules based on domain knowledge about the local patterns to generate rule-modulated map. After that, ReNN makes global-based inferences that synthesizes the local patterns and the rule-modulated map. To solve the optimization problem caused by rules, we use a two-stage optimization strategy to train the ReNN model. By introducing rules into ReNN, we can strengthen traditional neural networks with long-term dependencies which are difficult to learn with limited empirical dataset, thus improving inference accuracy. The complexity of neural networks can be reduced since long-term dependencies are not modeled with neural connections, and thus the amount of data needed to optimize the neural networks can be reduced. Besides, inferences from ReNN can be analyzed with both local patterns and rules, and thus have better interpretability. In this paper, ReNN has been validated with a time-series detection problem.