quantity
Regression Trees Know Calculus
Regression trees have emerged as a preeminent tool for solving real-world regression problems due to their ability to deal with nonlinearities, interaction effects and sharp discontinuities. In this article, we rather study regression trees applied to well-behaved, differentiable functions, and determine the relationship between node parameters and the local gradient of the function being approximated. We find a simple estimate of the gradient which can be efficiently computed using quantities exposed by popular tree learning libraries. This allows tools developed in the context of differentiable algorithms, like neural nets and Gaussian processes, to be deployed to tree-based models. To demonstrate this, we study measures of model sensitivity defined in terms of integro-differential quantities and demonstrate how to compute them for regression trees using the proposed gradient estimates. Quantitative and qualitative numerical experiments reveal the capability of gradients estimated by regression trees to improve predictive analysis, solve tasks in uncertainty quantification, and provide interpretation of model behavior.
Learning Chern Numbers of Multiband Topological Insulators with Gauge Equivariant Neural Networks
Equivariant network architectures are a well-established tool for predicting invariant or equivariant quantities. However, almost all learning problems considered in this context feature a global symmetry, i.e. each point of the underlying space is transformed with the same group element, as opposed to a local gauge symmetry, where each point is transformed with a different group element, exponentially enlarging the size of the symmetry group. We use gauge equivariant networks to predict topological invariants (Chern numbers) of multiband topological insulators for the first time. The gauge symmetry of the network guarantees that the predicted quantity is a topological invariant. A major technical challenge is that the relevant gauge equivariant networks are plagued by instabilities in their training, severely limiting their usefulness. In particular, for larger gauge groups the instabilities make training impossible. We resolve this problem by introducing a novel gauge equivariant normalization layer which stabilizes the training. Furthermore, we prove a universal approximation theorem for our model. We train on samples with trivial Chern number only but show that our model generalizes to samples with non-trivial Chern number and provide various ablations of our setup.
ATaxonomy of Non-Strategic Microeconomics1029
We begin by characterizing the space of elements that test an agent's ability to optimally allocate1031 their limited resources to goods and services they desire. In economics and decision theory, the1032 most primitive approach to describing the preferences of decision-makers is to use a function that1033 maps a set of possible choices to the agent's optimal choice within that set. Under a set of intuitive1034 assumptions, such as transitivity (i.e., if bundle X is preferred to bundle Y, and Y is preferred to1035 bundle Z, then X must be preferred to Z), it becomes possible to "rationalize" preferences by instead1036 describing a utility function. This function assigns a real number to each bundle, and the agent selects1037 the bundle with the highest utility.1038 In this paper, we focus on these "rationalizable" preferences, where agent choice can be implemented1039 as utility maximization constrained by prices and income. The solution to these consumer choice1040 problems provides ...
STEER-ME: Assessing the Microeconomic Reasoning of Large Language Models
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly being asked to make economically rational decisions and indeed are already being applied to economic tasks like stock picking and financial analysis. Existing LLM benchmarks tend to focus on specific applications, making them insufficient for characterizing economic reasoning more broadly. In previous work, we offered a blueprint for comprehensively benchmarking strategic decision-making Raman et al. [2024]. However, this work did not engage with the even larger microeconomic literature on non-strategic settings. We address this gap here, taxonomizing microeconomic reasoning into 58distinct elements, each grounded in up to 10distinct domains, 5perspectives, and 3types. The generation of benchmark data across this combinatorial space is powered by a novel LLM-assisted data generation protocol that we dub auto-STEER, which generates a set of questions by adapting handwritten templates to target new domains and perspectives. By generating fresh questions for each element, auto-STEER induces diversity which could help to reduce the risk of data contamination. We use this benchmark to evaluate 27LLMs spanning a range of scales and adaptation strategies, comparing performance across multiple formats--multiple-choice and free-text question answering--and scoring schemes. Our results surface systematic limitations in current LLMs' ability to generalize economic reasoning across types, formats, and textual perturbations, and establish a foundation for evaluating and improving economic competence in foundation models.
Embodied Crowd Counting
Occlusion is one of the fundamental challenges in crowd counting. In the community, various data-driven approaches have been developed to address this issue, yet their effectiveness is limited. This is mainly because most existing crowd counting datasets on which the methods are trained are based on passive cameras, restricting their ability to fully sense the environment. Recently, embodied navigation methods have shown significant potential in precise object detection in interactive scenes. These methods incorporate active camera settings, holding promise in addressing the fundamental issues in crowd counting.
GyroSwin: 5DSurrogates for Gyrokinetic Plasma Turbulence Simulations
Nuclear fusion plays a pivotal role in the quest for reliable and sustainable energy production. A major roadblock to viable fusion power is understanding plasma turbulence, which significantly impairs plasma confinement, and is vital for nextgeneration reactor design. Plasma turbulence is governed by the nonlinear gyrokinetic equation, which evolves a 5D distribution function over time. Due to its high computational cost, reduced-order models are often employed in practice to approximate turbulent transport of energy. However, they omit nonlinear effects unique to the full 5D dynamics. To tackle this, we introduce GyroSwin, the first scalable 5D neural surrogate that can model 5D nonlinear gyrokinetic simulations, thereby capturing the physical phenomena neglected by reduced models, while providing accurate estimates of turbulent heat transport. GyroSwin (i) extends hierarchical Vision Transformers to 5D, (ii) introduces cross-attention and integration modules for latent 3D 5D interactions between electrostatic potential fields and the distribution function, and (iii) performs channelwise mode separation inspired by nonlinear physics. We demonstrate that GyroSwin outperforms widely used reduced numerics on heat flux prediction, captures the turbulent energy cascade, and reduces the cost of fully resolved nonlinear gyrokinetics by three orders of magnitude while remaining physically verifiable. GyroSwin shows promising scaling laws, tested up to one billion parameters, paving the way for scalable neural surrogates for gyrokinetic simulations of plasma turbulence.
Learning Provably Improves the Convergence of Gradient Descent
However, L2O lacks rigorous theoretical backing for its own training convergence, as existing analyses often use unrealistic assumptions--a gap this work highlights empirically. We bridge this gap by proving the training convergence of L2O models that learn Gradient Descent (GD) hyperparameters for quadratic programming, leveraging the Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK) theory. We propose a deterministic initialization strategy to support our theoretical results and promote stable training over extended optimization horizons by mitigating gradient explosion. Our L2O framework demonstrates over 50% better optimality than GD and superior robustness over state-of-the-art L2O methods on synthetic datasets.
AHigh-Dimensional Statistical Method for Optimizing Transfer Quantities in Multi-Source Transfer Learning
Multi-source transfer learning provides an effective solution to data scarcity in realworld supervised learning scenarios by leveraging multiple source tasks. In this field, existing works typically use all available samples from sources in training, which constrains their training efficiency and may lead to suboptimal results. To address this, we propose a theoretical framework that answers the question: what is the optimal quantity of source samples needed from each source task to jointly train the target model? Specifically, we introduce a generalization error measure based on K-L divergence, and minimize it based on high-dimensional statistical analysis to determine the optimal transfer quantity for each source task. Additionally, we develop an architecture-agnostic and data-efficient algorithm OTQMS to implement our theoretical results for target model training in multisource transfer learning. Experimental studies on diverse architectures and two real-world benchmark datasets show that our proposed algorithm significantly outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in both accuracy and data efficiency. The code is available at https://github.com/zqy0126/OTQMS.
Understanding the Gain from Data Filtering in Multimodal Contrastive Learning
The success of modern multimodal representation learning relies on internet-scale datasets. Due to the low quality of a large fraction of raw web data, data curation has become a critical step in the training pipeline. Filtering using a trained model (i.e., teacher-based filtering) has emerged as a successful solution, leveraging a pre-trained model to compute quality scores. To explain the empirical success of teacher-based filtering, we characterize the performance of filtered contrastive learning under the standard bimodal data generation model. Denoting η (0,1] as the fraction of data with correctly matched modalities among npaired samples, we utilize a linear contrastive learning setup to show a provable benefit of data filtering: (i) the error without filtering is upper and lower bounded by 1/η n, and (ii)the error with teacher-based filtering is upper bounded by 1/ ηn in the large η regime, and by 1/ n in the small ηregime.
A High-Dimensional Statistical Method for Optimizing Transfer Quantities in Multi-Source Transfer Learning
Multi-source transfer learning provides an effective solution to data scarcity in real-world supervised learning scenarios by leveraging multiple source tasks. In this field, existing works typically use all available samples from sources in training, which constrains their training efficiency and may lead to suboptimal results. To address this, we propose a theoretical framework that answers the question: what is the optimal quantity of source samples needed from each source task to jointly train the target model? Specifically, we introduce a generalization error measure based on K-L divergence, and minimize it based on high-dimensional statistical analysis to determine the optimal transfer quantity for each source task. Additionally, we develop an architecture-agnostic and data-efficient algorithm OTQMS to implement our theoretical results for target model training in multi-source transfer learning. Experimental studies on diverse architectures and two real-world benchmark datasets show that our proposed algorithm significantly outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in both accuracy and data efficiency. The code is available at https://github.com/zqy0126/OTQMS.