Input saliency aims to quantify the influence of input tokens on the output of large language models (LLMs), which has been widely used for prompt engineering, model interpretability, and behavior attribution. Despite the proliferation of saliency techniques, the field lacks a standardized and rigorous evaluation protocol. In this work, we introduce a stress-testing framework inspired by the needle-in-a-haystack (NIAH) setting to systematically assess the reliability of seven popular input saliency methods. Our evaluation reveals a surprising and critical flaw: existing methods consistently assign non-trivial importance to irrelevant context, and this attribution error worsens as input length increases. To address this issue, we propose a novel saliency method based on Attention Bias Optimization (ours), which explicitly optimizes the attention bias associated with each input token to quantify its causal impact on target token generation. ABO robustly outperforms existing methods by 10\sim30% in saliency accuracy across diverse NIAH tasks, maintains effectiveness up to 10K-token prompts, and enables practical applications including zero-shot detoxification, sentiment steering, and reasoning-error correction. Our findings highlight the limitations of prevalent attribution methods and establish ABO as a principled alternative for accurate token attribution.

Synthetic data is crucial for advancing autonomous driving (AD) systems, yet current state-of-the-art video generation models, despite their visual realism, suffer from subtle geometric distortions that limit their utility for downstream perception tasks. We identify and quantify this critical issue, demonstrating a significant performance gap in 3D object detection when using synthetic versus real data. To address this, we introduce Reinforcement Learning with Geometric Feedback (RLGF), RLGF uniquely refines video diffusion models by incorporating rewards from specialized latent-space AD perception models. Its core components include an efficient Latent-Space Windowing Optimization technique for targeted feedback during diffusion, and a Hierarchical Geometric Reward (HGR) system providing multi-level rewards for point-line-plane alignment, and scene occupancy coherence. To quantify these distortions, we propose GeoScores. Applied to models like DiVE on nuScenes, RLGF substantially reduces geometric errors (e.g., VP error by 21\%, Depth error by 57\%) and dramatically improves 3D object detection mAP by 12.7\%, narrowing the gap to real-data performance. RLGF offers a plug-and-play solution for generating geometrically sound and reliable synthetic videos for AD development.

A central question in sensory neuroscience is how much, but also what information neurons transmit about the world. While Shannon's information theory provides a principled framework to quantify the amount of information neurons encode about all stimuli, it does not reveal which stimuli contribute most, or what stimulus features are encoded. As a concrete example, it is known that neurons in the early visual cortex are'sensitive' to stimuli in a small region of space (their receptive field). However, it is not clear how such simple intuitions carry to more complex scenarios, e.g. with large, noisy & non-linear population of neurons and high-dimensional stimuli. Several previous measures of neural sensitivity have been proposed.

Sequential data--ranging from financial time series to natural language--has driven the growing adoption of autoregressive models. However, these algorithms rely on the presence of underlying patterns in the data, and their identification often depends heavily on human expertise. Misinterpreting these patterns can lead to model misspecification, resulting in increased generalization error and degraded performance. The recently proposed $\texttt{evolving pattern (EvoRate)}$ metric addresses this by using the mutual information between the next data point and its past to guide regression order estimation and feature selection. Building on this idea, we introduce a general framework based on predictive information--the mutual information between the past and the future, $\mathbf{I}(X_{\text{past}}; X_{\text{future}})$. This quantity naturally defines an information-theoretic learning curve, which quantifies the amount of predictive information available as the observation window grows. Using this formalism, we show that the presence or absence of temporal patterns fundamentally constrains the learnability of sequential models: even an optimal predictor cannot outperform the intrinsic information limit imposed by the data. We validate our framework through experiments on synthetic data, demonstrating its ability to assess model adequacy, quantify the inherent complexity of a dataset, and reveal interpretable structure in sequential data.

Estimating causal quantities from observational data is crucial for understanding the safety and effectiveness of medical treatments. However, to make reliable inferences, medical practitioners require not only estimating averaged causal quantities, such as the conditional average treatment effect, but also understanding the randomness of the treatment effect as a random variable. This randomness is referred to as aleatoric uncertainty and is necessary for understanding the probability of benefit from treatment or quantiles of the treatment effect. Yet, the aleatoric uncertainty of the treatment effect has received surprisingly little attention in the causal machine learning community. To fill this gap, we aim to quantify the aleatoric uncertainty of the treatment effect at the covariate-conditional level, namely, the conditional distribution of the treatment effect (CDTE).

Several recent works have shown that state-of-the-art classifiers are vulnerable to worst-case (i.e., adversarial) perturbations of the datapoints. On the other hand, it has been empirically observed that these same classifiers are relatively robust to random noise. In this paper, we propose to study a semi-random noise regime that generalizes both the random and worst-case noise regimes. We propose the first quantitative analysis of the robustness of nonlinear classifiers in this general noise regime. We establish precise theoretical bounds on the robustness of classifiers in this general regime, which depend on the curvature of the classifier's decision boundary. Our bounds confirm and quantify the empirical observations that classifiers satisfying curvature constraints are robust to random noise. Moreover, we quantify the robustness of classifiers in terms of the subspace dimension in the semi-random noise regime, and show that our bounds remarkably interpolate between the worst-case and random noise regimes. We perform experiments and show that the derived bounds provide very accurate estimates when applied to various state-of-the-art deep neural networks and datasets. This result suggests bounds on the curvature of the classifiers' decision boundaries that we support experimentally, and more generally offers important insights onto the geometry of high dimensional classification problems.

We propose reconstruction advantage measures to audit label privatization mechanisms. A reconstruction advantage measure quantifies the increase in an attacker's ability to infer the true label of an unlabeled example when provided with a private version of the labels in a dataset (e.g., aggregate of labels from different users or noisy labels output by randomized response), compared to an attacker that only observes the feature vectors, but may have prior knowledge of the correlation between features and labels. We consider two such auditing measures: one additive, and on multiplicative. These cover previous approaches taken in the literature on empirical auditing and differential privacy. These measures allow us to place a variety of proposed privatization schemes---some differentially private, some not---on the same footing. We analyze these measures theoretically under a distributional model which, we claim, encapsulates reasonable adversarial settings. We also quantify their behavior empirically on real and simulated prediction tasks. Across a range of experimental settings, we find that differentially private schemes dominate or match the privacy-utility tradeoff of more heuristic approaches.