In this paper, we derive rates of convergence in the high-dimensional central limit theorem for Polyak-Ruppert averaged iterates generated by the asynchronous Q-learning algorithm with a polynomial stepsize $k^{-ω},\, ω\in (1/2, 1]$. Assuming that the sequence of state-action-next-state triples $(s_k, a_k, s_{k+1})_{k \geq 0}$ forms a uniformly geometrically ergodic Markov chain, we establish a rate of order up to $n^{-1/6} \log^{4} (nS A)$ over the class of hyper-rectangles, where $n$ is the number of samples used by the algorithm and $S$ and $A$ denote the numbers of states and actions, respectively. To obtain this result, we prove a high-dimensional central limit theorem for sums of martingale differences, which may be of independent interest. Finally, we present bounds for high-order moments for the algorithm's last iterate.

Despite the sustained popularity of Q-learning as a practical tool for policy determination, a majority of relevant theoretical literature deals with either constant ($η_{t}\equiv η$) or polynomially decaying ($η_{t} = ηt^{-α}$) learning schedules. However, it is well known that these choices suffer from either persistent bias or prohibitively slow convergence. In contrast, the recently proposed linear decay to zero (\texttt{LD2Z}: $η_{t,n}=η(1-t/n)$) schedule has shown appreciable empirical performance, but its theoretical and statistical properties remain largely unexplored, especially in the Q-learning setting. We address this gap in the literature by first considering a general class of power-law decay to zero (\texttt{PD2Z}-$ν$: $η_{t,n}=η(1-t/n)^ν$). Proceeding step-by-step, we present a sharp non-asymptotic error bound for Q-learning with \texttt{PD2Z}-$ν$ schedule, which then is used to derive a central limit theory for a new \textit{tail} Polyak-Ruppert averaging estimator. Finally, we also provide a novel time-uniform Gaussian approximation (also known as \textit{strong invariance principle}) for the partial sum process of Q-learning iterates, which facilitates bootstrap-based inference. All our theoretical results are complemented by extensive numerical experiments. Beyond being new theoretical and statistical contributions to the Q-learning literature, our results definitively establish that \texttt{LD2Z} and in general \texttt{PD2Z}-$ν$ achieve a best-of-both-worlds property: they inherit the rapid decay from initialization (characteristic of constant step-sizes) while retaining the asymptotic convergence guarantees (characteristic of polynomially decaying schedules). This dual advantage explains the empirical success of \texttt{LD2Z} while providing practical guidelines for inference through our results.

Estimating optimal individualized treatment rules (ITRs) via outcome weighted learning (OWL) often relies on observed rewards that are noisy or optimistic proxies for the true latent utility. Ignoring this reward uncertainty leads to the selection of policies with inflated apparent performance, yet existing OWL frameworks lack the finite-sample guarantees required to systematically embed such uncertainty into the learning objective. To address this issue, we propose PAC-Bayesian Reward-Certified Outcome Weighted Learning (PROWL). Given a one-sided uncertainty certificate, PROWL constructs a conservative reward and a strictly policy-dependent lower bound on the true expected value. Theoretically, we prove an exact certified reduction that transforms robust policy learning into a unified, split-free cost-sensitive classification task. This formulation enables the derivation of a nonasymptotic PAC-Bayes lower bound for randomized ITRs, where we establish that the optimal posterior maximizing this bound is exactly characterized by a general Bayes update. To overcome the learning-rate selection problem inherent in generalized Bayesian inference, we introduce a fully automated, bounds-based calibration procedure, coupled with a Fisher-consistent certified hinge surrogate for efficient optimization. Our experiments demonstrate that PROWL achieves improvements in estimating robust, high-value treatment regimes under severe reward uncertainty compared to standard methods for ITR estimation.

Reinforcement learning algorithms have been widely used for decision-making tasks in various domains. However, the performance of these algorithms can be impacted by high variance and instability, particularly in environments with noise or sparse rewards. In this paper, we propose a framework to perform statistical online inference for a sample-averaged Q-learning approach. We adapt the functional central limit theorem (FCLT) for the modified algorithm under some general conditions and then construct confidence intervals for the Q-values via random scaling. We conduct experiments to perform inference on both the modified approach and its traditional counterpart, Q-learning using random scaling and report their coverage rates and confidence interval widths on two problems: a grid world problem as a simple toy example and a dynamic resource-matching problem as a real-world example for comparison between the two solution approaches.

Precision medicine aims to tailor therapeutic decisions to individual patient characteristics. This objective is commonly formalized through dynamic treatment regimes, which use statistical and machine learning methods to derive sequential decision rules adapted to evolving clinical information. In most existing formulations, these approaches produce a single optimal treatment at each stage, leading to a unique decision sequence. However, in many clinical settings, several treatment options may yield similar expected outcomes, and focusing on a single optimal policy may conceal meaningful alternatives. We extend the Q-learning framework for retrospective data by introducing a worst-value tolerance criterion controlled by a hyperparameter $\varepsilon$, which specifies the maximum acceptable deviation from the optimal expected value. Rather than identifying a single optimal policy, the proposed approach constructs sets of $\varepsilon$-optimal policies whose performance remains within a controlled neighborhood of the optimum. This formulation shifts Q-learning from a vector-valued representation to a matrix-valued one, allowing multiple admissible value functions to coexist during backward recursion. The approach yields families of near-equivalent treatment strategies and explicitly identifies regions of treatment indifference where several decisions achieve comparable outcomes. We illustrate the framework in two settings: a single-stage problem highlighting indifference regions around the decision boundary, and a multi-stage decision process based on a simulated oncology model describing tumor size and treatment toxicity dynamics.

Recursion is the fundamental paradigm to finitely describe potentially infinite objects.