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Classification Imbalance as Transfer Learning
Xia, Eric, Klusowski, Jason M.
Classification imbalance arises when one class is much rarer than the other. We frame this setting as transfer learning under label (prior) shift between an imbalanced source distribution induced by the observed data and a balanced target distribution under which performance is evaluated. Within this framework, we study a family of oversampling procedures that augment the training data by generating synthetic samples from an estimated minority-class distribution to roughly balance the classes, among which the celebrated SMOTE algorithm is a canonical example. We show that the excess risk decomposes into the rate achievable under balanced training (as if the data had been drawn from the balanced target distribution) and an additional term, the cost of transfer, which quantifies the discrepancy between the estimated and true minority-class distributions. In particular, we show that the cost of transfer for SMOTE dominates that of bootstrapping (random oversampling) in moderately high dimensions, suggesting that we should expect bootstrapping to have better performance than SMOTE in general. We corroborate these findings with experimental evidence. More broadly, our results provide guidance for choosing among augmentation strategies for imbalanced classification.
Closed-loop multi-step planning with innate physics knowledge
Lafratta, Giulia, Porr, Bernd, Chandler, Christopher, Miller, Alice
We present a hierarchical framework to solve robot planning as an input control problem. At the lowest level are temporary closed control loops, ("tasks"), each representing a behaviour, contingent on a specific sensory input and therefore temporary. At the highest level, a supervising "Configurator" directs task creation and termination. Here resides "core" knowledge as a physics engine, where sequences of tasks can be simulated. The Configurator encodes and interprets simulation results, based on which it can choose a sequence of tasks as a plan. We implement this framework on a real robot and test it in an overtaking scenario as proof-of-concept.
Proper losses regret at least 1/2-order
A fundamental challenge in machine learning is the choice of a loss as it characterizes our learning task, is minimized in the training phase, and serves as an evaluation criterion for estimators. Proper losses are commonly chosen, ensuring minimizers of the full risk match the true probability vector. Estimators induced from a proper loss are widely used to construct forecasters for downstream tasks such as classification and ranking. In this procedure, how does the forecaster based on the obtained estimator perform well under a given downstream task? This question is substantially relevant to the behavior of the $p$-norm between the estimated and true probability vectors when the estimator is updated. In the proper loss framework, the suboptimality of the estimated probability vector from the true probability vector is measured by a surrogate regret. First, we analyze a surrogate regret and show that the strict properness of a loss is necessary and sufficient to establish a non-vacuous surrogate regret bound. Second, we solve an important open question that the order of convergence in p-norm cannot be faster than the $1/2$-order of surrogate regrets for a broad class of strictly proper losses. This implies that strongly proper losses entail the optimal convergence rate.
Hybrid and Oriented Harmonic Potentials for Safe Task Execution in Unknown Environment
Harmonic potentials provide globally convergent potential fields that are provably free of local minima. Due to its analytical format, it is particularly suitable for generating safe and reliable robot navigation policies. However, for complex environments that consist of a large number of overlapping non-sphere obstacles, the computation of associated transformation functions can be tedious. This becomes more apparent when: (i) the workspace is initially unknown and the underlying potential fields are updated constantly as the robot explores it; (ii) the high-level mission consists of sequential navigation tasks among numerous regions, requiring the robot to switch between different potentials. Thus, this work proposes an efficient and automated scheme to construct harmonic potentials incrementally online as guided by the task automaton. A novel two-layer harmonic tree (HT) structure is introduced that facilitates the hybrid combination of oriented search algorithms for task planning and harmonic-based navigation controllers for non-holonomic robots. Both layers are adapted efficiently and jointly during online execution to reflect the actual feasibility and cost of navigation within the updated workspace. Global safety and convergence are ensured both for the high-level task plan and the low-level robot trajectory. Known issues such as oscillation or long-detours for purely potential-based methods and sharp-turns or high computation complexity for purely search-based methods are prevented. Extensive numerical simulation and hardware experiments are conducted against several strong baselines.
Agility and Target Distribution in the Dynamic Stochastic Traveling Salesman Problem
Adler, Aviv, Gal, Oren, Karaman, Sertac
An important variant of the classic Traveling Salesman Problem (TSP) is the Dynamic TSP, in which a system with dynamic constraints is tasked with visiting a set of n target locations (in any order) in the shortest amount of time. Such tasks arise naturally in many robotic motion planning problems, particularly in exploration, surveillance and reconnaissance, and classical TSP algorithms on graphs are typically inapplicable in this setting. An important question about such problems is: if the target points are random, what is the length of the tour (either in expectation or as a concentration bound) as n grows? This problem is the Dynamic Stochastic TSP (DSTSP), and has been studied both for specific important vehicle models and for general dynamic systems; however, in general only the order of growth is known. In this work, we explore the connection between the distribution from which the targets are drawn and the dynamics of the system, yielding a more precise lower bound on tour length as well as a matching upper bound for the case of symmetric (or driftless) systems. We then extend the symmetric dynamics results to the case when the points are selected by a (non-random) adversary whose goal is to maximize the length, thus showing worst-case bounds on the tour length.
A Unifying Framework for Some Directed Distances in Statistics
Broniatowski, Michel, Stummer, Wolfgang
Density-based directed distances -- particularly known as divergences -- between probability distributions are widely used in statistics as well as in the adjacent research fields of information theory, artificial intelligence and machine learning. Prominent examples are the Kullback-Leibler information distance (relative entropy) which e.g. is closely connected to the omnipresent maximum likelihood estimation method, and Pearson's chisquare-distance which e.g. is used for the celebrated chisquare goodness-of-fit test. Another line of statistical inference is built upon distribution-function-based divergences such as e.g. the prominent (weighted versions of) Cramer-von Mises test statistics respectively Anderson-Darling test statistics which are frequently applied for goodness-of-fit investigations; some more recent methods deal with (other kinds of) cumulative paired divergences and closely related concepts. In this paper, we provide a general framework which covers in particular both the above-mentioned density-based and distribution-function-based divergence approaches; the dissimilarity of quantiles respectively of other statistical functionals will be included as well. From this framework, we structurally extract numerous classical and also state-of-the-art (including new) procedures. Furthermore, we deduce new concepts of dependence between random variables, as alternatives to the celebrated mutual information. Some variational representations are discussed, too.