Keywords: Artificial intelligence; deep learning; cardiac surgery; clinical decision support; perioperative care ABSTRACT Objective Early detection of surgical complications allows for timely therapy and proactive risk mitigation. Machine learning (ML) can be leveraged to identify and predict patient risks for postoperative complications. We developed and validated the effectiveness of predicting postoperative complications using a novel surgical Variational Autoencoder (surgVAE) that uncovers intrinsic patterns via cross-task and cross-cohort presentation learning. Materials and Methods This retrospective cohort study used data from the electronic health records of adult surgical patients over four years (2018 - 2021). Six key postoperative complications for cardiac surgery were assessed: acute kidney injury, atrial fibrillation, cardiac arrest, deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism, blood transfusion, and other intraoperative cardiac events. We compared surgVAE's prediction performance against widely-used ML models and advanced representation learning and generative models under 5-fold cross-validation. Results 89,246 surgeries (49% male, median (IQR) age: 57 (45-69)) were included, with 6,502 in the targeted cardiac surgery cohort (61% male, median (IQR) age: 60 (53-70)). Model interpretation using Integrated Gradients highlighted key risk factors based on preoperative variable importance. Discussion and Conclusion Our advanced representation learning framework surgVAE showed excellent discriminatory performance for predicting postoperative complications and addressing the challenges of data complexity, small cohort sizes, and low-frequency positive events.

Background: The accurate prediction of postoperative complication risk using Electronic Health Records (EHR) and artificial intelligence shows great potential. Training a robust artificial intelligence model typically requires large-scale and diverse datasets. In reality, collecting medical data often encounters challenges surrounding privacy protection. Methods: This retrospective cohort study includes adult patients who were admitted to UFH Gainesville (GNV) (n = 79,850) and Jacksonville (JAX) (n = 28,636) for any type of inpatient surgical procedure. Using perioperative and intraoperative features, we developed federated learning models to predict nine major postoperative complications (i.e., prolonged intensive care unit stay and mechanical ventilation). We compared federated learning models with local learning models trained on a single site and central learning models trained on pooled dataset from two centers. Results: Our federated learning models achieved the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) values ranged from 0.81 for wound complications to 0.92 for prolonged ICU stay at UFH GNV center. At UFH JAX center, these values ranged from 0.73-0.74 for wound complications to 0.92-0.93 for hospital mortality. Federated learning models achieved comparable AUROC performance to central learning models, except for prolonged ICU stay, where the performance of federated learning models was slightly higher than central learning models at UFH GNV center, but slightly lower at UFH JAX center. In addition, our federated learning model obtained comparable performance to the best local learning model at each center, demonstrating strong generalizability. Conclusion: Federated learning is shown to be a useful tool to train robust and generalizable models from large scale data across multiple institutions where data protection barriers are high.

The breadth, scale, and temporal granularity of modern electronic health records (EHR) systems offers great potential for estimating personalized and contextual patient health trajectories using sequential deep learning. However, learning useful representations of EHR data is challenging due to its high dimensionality, sparsity, multimodality, irregular and variable-specific recording frequency, and timestamp duplication when multiple measurements are recorded simultaneously. Although recent efforts to fuse structured EHR and unstructured clinical notes suggest the potential for more accurate prediction of clinical outcomes, less focus has been placed on EHR embedding approaches that directly address temporal EHR challenges by learning time-aware representations from multimodal patient time series. In this paper, we introduce a dynamic embedding and tokenization framework for precise representation of multimodal clinical time series that combines novel methods for encoding time and sequential position with temporal cross-attention. Our embedding and tokenization framework, when integrated into a multitask transformer classifier with sliding window attention, outperformed baseline approaches on the exemplar task of predicting the occurrence of nine postoperative complications of more than 120,000 major inpatient surgeries using multimodal data from three hospitals and two academic health centers in the United States.

Post-surgery complications are a big risk and have been an issue for both physicians and patients worldwide, but a new Artificial Intelligence (AI) platform could now ease their worries. The AI has successfully identified postoperative complications by automatically acquiring patients' medical data and delivering it to doctors' mobile devices. The system, named MySurgeryRisk, extracts clinical data in real-time, creating an "analytic pipeline" that pushes valuable results to surgeons' mobile devices. The findings have been published on Jama Network Open after a study conducted over 74,417 inpatient surgical procedures involving 58,236 adult patients. The platform is powered by machine learning and has been developed using nearly seven years of data from more than 74,000 procedures.

Post-surgery complications are a big risk and have been an issue for both physicians and patients worldwide, but a new Artificial Intelligence (AI) platform could now ease their worries. The AI has successfully identified postoperative complications by automatically acquiring patients' medical data and delivering it to doctors' mobile devices. The system, named MySurgeryRisk, extracts clinical data in real-time, creating an "analytic pipeline" that pushes valuable results to surgeons' mobile devices. The findings have been published on Jama Network Open after a study conducted over 74,417 inpatient surgical procedures involving 58,236 adult patients. "The automated real-time predictions of postoperative complications with mobile device outputs had good performance in clinical settings with prospective validation, matching surgeons' predictive accuracy," researchers said in the paper.

Complications after surgery can pose many challenges for both physicians and patients. Now, University of Florida researchers have confirmed their artificial intelligence system accurately helps doctors predict and manage these problems. Researchers believe the system is unique in its ability to accurately predict postoperative complications by automatically acquiring patients' medical data and delivering it to doctors' mobile devices. The system, known as MySurgeryRisk, is at least as accurate as physicians in predicting surgical complications and sometimes more so, newly published findings show. At the heart of MySurgeryRisk is an algorithm powered by machine learning, a type of artificial intelligence, or AI.

Accurate prediction of postoperative complications can inform shared decisions regarding prognosis, preoperative risk-reduction, and postoperative resource use. We hypothesized that multi-task deep learning models would outperform random forest models in predicting postoperative complications, and that integrating high-resolution intraoperative physiological time series would result in more granular and personalized health representations that would improve prognostication compared to preoperative predictions. In a longitudinal cohort study of 56,242 patients undergoing 67,481 inpatient surgical procedures at a university medical center, we compared deep learning models with random forests for predicting nine common postoperative complications using preoperative, intraoperative, and perioperative patient data. Our study indicated several significant results across experimental settings that suggest the utility of deep learning for capturing more precise representations of patient health for augmented surgical decision support. Multi-task learning improved efficiency by reducing computational resources without compromising predictive performance. Integrated gradients interpretability mechanisms identified potentially modifiable risk factors for each complication. Monte Carlo dropout methods provided a quantitative measure of prediction uncertainty that has the potential to enhance clinical trust. Multi-task learning, interpretability mechanisms, and uncertainty metrics demonstrated potential to facilitate effective clinical implementation.

Stratifying patients at risk for postoperative complications may facilitate timely and accurate workups and reduce the burden of adverse events on patients and the health system. Currently, a widely-used surgical risk calculator created by the American College of Surgeons, NSQIP, uses 21 preoperative covariates to assess risk of postoperative complications, but lacks dynamic, real-time capabilities to accommodate postoperative information. We propose a new Hidden Markov Model sequence classifier for analyzing patients' postoperative temperature sequences that incorporates their time-invariant characteristics in both transition probability and initial state probability in order to develop a postoperative "real-time" complication detector. Data from elective Colectomy surgery indicate that our method has improved classification performance compared to 8 other machine learning classifiers when using the full temperature sequence associated with the patients' length of stay. Additionally, within 44 hours after surgery, the performance of the model is close to that of full-length temperature sequence.