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Handling Extreme Class Imbalance: Using GANs in Data Augmentation for Suicide Prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Suicide prediction is the key for prevention, but real data with sufficient positive samples is rare and causes extreme class imbalance. We utilized machine learning (ML) to build the model and deep learning (DL) techniques, like Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN), to generate synthetic data samples to enhance the dataset. The initial dataset contained 656 samples, with only four positive cases, prompting the need for data augmentation. A variety of machine learning models, ranging from interpretable data models to black box algorithmic models, were used. On real test data, Logistic Regression (LR) achieved a weighted precision of 0.99, a weighted recall of 0.85, and a weighted F1 score of 0.91; Random Forest (RF) showed 0.98, 0.99, and 0.99, respectively; and Support Vector Machine (SVM) achieved 0.99, 0.76, and 0.86. LR and SVM correctly identified one suicide attempt case (sensitivity:1.0) and misclassified LR(20) and SVM (31) non-attempts as attempts (specificity: 0.85 & 0.76, respectively). RF identified 0 suicide attempt cases (sensitivity: 0.0) with 0 false positives (specificity: 1.0). These results highlight the models' effectiveness, with GAN playing a key role in generating synthetic data to support suicide prevention modeling efforts.


Large Language Model-Based Uncertainty-Adjusted Label Extraction for Artificial Intelligence Model Development in Upper Extremity Radiography

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Objectives: To evaluate GPT-4o's ability to extract diagnostic labels (with uncertainty) from free-text radiology reports and to test how these labels affect multi-label image classification of musculoskeletal radiographs. Methods: This retrospective study included radiography series of the clavicle (n=1,170), elbow (n=3,755), and thumb (n=1,978). After anonymization, GPT-4o filled out structured templates by indicating imaging findings as present ("true"), absent ("false"), or "uncertain." To assess the impact of label uncertainty, "uncertain" labels of the training and validation sets were automatically reassigned to "true" (inclusive) or "false" (exclusive). Label-image-pairs were used for multi-label classification using ResNet50. Label extraction accuracy was manually verified on internal (clavicle: n=233, elbow: n=745, thumb: n=393) and external test sets (n=300 for each). Performance was assessed using macro-averaged receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC), precision recall curves, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy. AUCs were compared with the DeLong test. Results: Automatic extraction was correct in 98.6% (60,618 of 61,488) of labels in the test sets. Across anatomic regions, label-based model training yielded competitive performance measured by macro-averaged AUC values for inclusive (e.g., elbow: AUC=0.80 [range, 0.62-0.87]) and exclusive models (elbow: AUC=0.80 [range, 0.61-0.88]). Models generalized well on external datasets (elbow [inclusive]: AUC=0.79 [range, 0.61-0.87]; elbow [exclusive]: AUC=0.79 [range, 0.63-0.89]). No significant differences were observed across labeling strategies or datasets (p>=0.15). Conclusion: GPT-4o extracted labels from radiologic reports to train competitive multi-label classification models with high accuracy. Detected uncertainty in the radiologic reports did not influence the performance of these models.


Researchers question reliability of Abbott's rapid malaria tests

Science

The World Health Organization (WHO) has sent an internal memo about potential problems with a major company's malaria tests after scientists reported issues with test sensitivity and warned it could delay patients' access to critical treatment. Abbott's Bioline rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) for malaria are used by health workers around the world, particularly in remote areas where lab techniques such as microscopy and DNA detection aren't available. Investigations at several institutions in Southeast Asia suggest at least some of these RDTs fail to detect infections or show faint test lines for some positive cases. Daniel Ngamije Madandi, director of WHO's Global Malaria Programme (GMP), issued the memo to WHO's six regional offices on 30 April. It lists 11 "affected" lots from two Abbott RDTs--Pf/Pv and Pf/Pan--that were associated with "faint lines and false negative results" in reports from "multiple research groups." The memo follows a public notice by WHO in March that warned of reports of faint lines in malaria RDTs without mentioning particular brands or products.


Improving Object Detection Performance through YOLOv8: A Comprehensive Training and Evaluation Study

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Loss reduction reflects improved learning at a granular level, while mAP improvement provides a clear picture of practical performance in object detection tasks. Together, these metrics confirm the success of the training strategy and the model's ability to generalize effectively for real - world applications.


Integrating Large Language Models with Human Expertise for Disease Detection in Electronic Health Records

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Objective: Electronic health records (EHR) are widely available to complement administrative data-based disease surveillance and healthcare performance evaluation. Defining conditions from EHR is labour-intensive and requires extensive manual labelling of disease outcomes. This study developed an efficient strategy based on advanced large language models to identify multiple conditions from EHR clinical notes. Methods: We linked a cardiac registry cohort in 2015 with an EHR system in Alberta, Canada. We developed a pipeline that leveraged a generative large language model (LLM) to analyze, understand, and interpret EHR notes by prompts based on specific diagnosis, treatment management, and clinical guidelines. The pipeline was applied to detect acute myocardial infarction (AMI), diabetes, and hypertension. The performance was compared against clinician-validated diagnoses as the reference standard and widely adopted International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes-based methods. Results: The study cohort accounted for 3,088 patients and 551,095 clinical notes. The prevalence was 55.4%, 27.7%, 65.9% and for AMI, diabetes, and hypertension, respectively. The performance of the LLM-based pipeline for detecting conditions varied: AMI had 88% sensitivity, 63% specificity, and 77% positive predictive value (PPV); diabetes had 91% sensitivity, 86% specificity, and 71% PPV; and hypertension had 94% sensitivity, 32% specificity, and 72% PPV. Compared with ICD codes, the LLM-based method demonstrated improved sensitivity and negative predictive value across all conditions. The monthly percentage trends from the detected cases by LLM and reference standard showed consistent patterns.


Pre-Training Meta-Rule Selection Policy for Visual Generative Abductive Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Visual generative abductive learning studies jointly training symbol-grounded neural visual generator and inducing logic rules from data, such that after learning, the visual generation process is guided by the induced logic rules. A major challenge for this task is to reduce the time cost of logic abduction during learning, an essential step when the logic symbol set is large and the logic rule to induce is complicated. To address this challenge, we propose a pre-training method for obtaining meta-rule selection policy for the recently proposed visual generative learning approach AbdGen [Peng et al., 2023], aiming at significantly reducing the candidate meta-rule set and pruning the search space. The selection model is built based on the embedding representation of both symbol grounding of cases and meta-rules, which can be effectively integrated with both neural model and logic reasoning system. The pre-training process is done on pure symbol data, not involving symbol grounding learning of raw visual inputs, making the entire learning process low-cost. An additional interesting observation is that the selection policy can rectify symbol grounding errors unseen during pre-training, which is resulted from the memorization ability of attention mechanism and the relative stability of symbolic patterns. Experimental results show that our method is able to effectively address the meta-rule selection problem for visual abduction, boosting the efficiency of visual generative abductive learning.


AI and the Law: Evaluating ChatGPT's Performance in Legal Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The use of ChatGPT to analyze and classify evidence in criminal proceedings has been a topic of ongoing discussion. However, to the best of our knowledge, this issue has not been studied in the context of the Polish language. This study addresses this research gap by evaluating the effectiveness of ChatGPT in classifying legal cases under the Polish Penal Code. The results show excellent binary classification accuracy, with all positive and negative cases correctly categorized. In addition, a qualitative evaluation confirms that the legal basis provided for each case, along with the relevant legal content, was appropriate. The results obtained suggest that ChatGPT can effectively analyze and classify evidence while applying the appropriate legal rules. In conclusion, ChatGPT has the potential to assist interested parties in the analysis of evidence and serve as a valuable legal resource for individuals with less experience or knowledge in this area.


Towards understanding the bias in decision trees

arXiv.org Machine Learning

There is a widespread and longstanding belief that machine learning models are biased towards the majority (or negative) class when learning from imbalanced data, leading them to neglect or ignore the minority (or positive) class. In this study, we show that this belief is not necessarily correct for decision trees, and that their bias can actually be in the opposite direction. Motivated by a recent simulation study that suggested that decision trees can be biased towards the minority class, our paper aims to reconcile the conflict between that study and decades of other works. First, we critically evaluate past literature on this problem, finding that failing to consider the data generating process has led to incorrect conclusions about the bias in decision trees. We then prove that, under specific conditions related to the predictors, decision trees fit to purity and trained on a dataset with only one positive case are biased towards the minority class. Finally, we demonstrate that splits in a decision tree are also biased when there is more than one positive case. Our findings have implications on the use of popular tree-based models, such as random forests.


Enhancing Cancer Diagnosis with Explainable & Trustworthy Deep Learning Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This research presents an innovative approach to cancer diagnosis and prediction using explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) and deep learning techniques. With cancer causing nearly 10 million deaths globally in 2020, early and accurate diagnosis is crucial. Traditional methods often face challenges in cost, accuracy, and efficiency. Our study develops an AI model that provides precise outcomes and clear insights into its decision-making process, addressing the "black box" problem of deep learning models. By employing XAI techniques, we enhance interpretability and transparency, building trust among healthcare professionals and patients. Our approach leverages neural networks to analyse extensive datasets, identifying patterns for cancer detection. This model has the potential to revolutionise diagnosis by improving accuracy, accessibility, and clarity in medical decision-making, possibly leading to earlier detection and more personalised treatment strategies. Furthermore, it could democratise access to high-quality diagnostics, particularly in resource-limited settings, contributing to global health equity. The model's applications extend beyond cancer diagnosis, potentially transforming various aspects of medical decision-making and saving millions of lives worldwide.


Deep Neural Network-Based Prediction of B-Cell Epitopes for SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2: Enhancing Vaccine Design through Machine Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The accurate prediction of B-cell epitopes is critical for guiding vaccine development against infectious diseases, including SARS and COVID-19. This study explores the use of a deep neural network (DNN) model to predict B-cell epitopes for SARS-CoVandSARS-CoV-2,leveraging a dataset that incorporates essential protein and peptide features. Traditional sequence-based methods often struggle with large, complex datasets, but deep learning offers promising improvements in predictive accuracy. Our model employs regularization techniques, such as dropout and early stopping, to enhance generalization, while also analyzing key features, including isoelectric point and aromaticity, that influence epitope recognition. Results indicate an overall accuracy of 82% in predicting COVID-19 negative and positive cases, with room for improvement in detecting positive samples. This research demonstrates the applicability of deep learning in epitope mapping, suggesting that such approaches can enhance the speed and precision of vaccine design for emerging pathogens. Future work could incorporate structural data and diverse viral strains to further refine prediction capabilities.