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PRESOL: a web-based computational setting for feature-based flare forecasting

Curletto, Chiara, Massa, Paolo, Tagliafico, Valeria, Campi, Cristina, Benvenuto, Federico, Piana, Michele, Tacchino, Andrea

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Solar flares are the most explosive phenomena in the solar system and the main trigger of the events' chain that starts from Coronal Mass Ejections and leads to geomagnetic storms with possible impacts on the infrastructures at Earth. Data-driven solar flare forecasting relies on either deep learning approaches, which are operationally promising but with a low explainability degree, or machine learning algorithms, which can provide information on the physical descriptors that mostly impact the prediction. This paper describes a web-based technological platform for the execution of a computational pipeline of feature-based machine learning methods that provide predictions of the flare occurrence, feature ranking information, and assessment of the prediction performances.


AI-based modular warning machine for risk identification in proximity healthcare

Razzetta, Chiara, Noei, Shahryar, Barbarossa, Federico, Spairani, Edoardo, Roascio, Monica, Barbi, Elisa, Ciacci, Giulia, Sommariva, Sara, Guastavino, Sabrina, Piana, Michele, Lenge, Matteo, Arnulfo, Gabriele, Magenes, Giovanni, Maranesi, Elvira, Amabili, Giulio, Massone, Anna Maria, Benvenuto, Federico, Jurman, Giuseppe, Sona, Diego, Campi, Cristina

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

"DHEAL-COM - Digital Health Solutions in Community Medicine" is a research and technology project funded by the Italian Department of Health for the development of digital solutions of interest in proximity healthcare. The activity within the DHEAL-COM framework allows scientists to gather a notable amount of multi-modal data whose interpretation can be performed by means of machine learning algorithms. The present study illustrates a general automated pipeline made of numerous unsupervised and supervised methods that can ingest such data, provide predictive results, and facilitate model interpretations via feature identification.


AI-FLARES: Artificial Intelligence for the Analysis of Solar Flares Data

Piana, Michele, Benvenuto, Federico, Massone, Anna Maria, Campi, Cristina, Guastavino, Sabrina, Marchetti, Francesco, Massa, Paolo, Perracchione, Emma, Volpara, Anna

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

AI-FLARES (Artificial Intelligence for the Analysis of Solar Flares Data) is a research project funded by the Agenzia Spaziale Italiana and by the Istituto Nazionale di Astrofisica within the framework of the ``Attivit\`a di Studio per la Comunit\`a Scientifica Nazionale Sole, Sistema Solare ed Esopianeti'' program. The topic addressed by this project was the development and use of computational methods for the analysis of remote sensing space data associated to solar flare emission. This paper overviews the main results obtained by the project, with specific focus on solar flare forecasting, reconstruction of morphologies of the flaring sources, and interpretation of acceleration mechanisms triggered by solar flares.


Operational solar flare forecasting via video-based deep learning

Guastavino, Sabrina, Marchetti, Francesco, Benvenuto, Federico, Campi, Cristina, Piana, Michele

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Solar flare prediction is an important task in the context of space weather research, as it has to address open problems in both solar physics and operational forecasting (Schwenn, 2006; McAteer et al., 2010). Although it is well-established that solar flares are a consequence of reconnection and reconfiguration of magnetic field lines high in the solar corona (Shibata, 1996; Sui et al., 2004; Su et al., 2013), yet there is still no agreement about the physical model that better explains the sudden magnetic energy release and the resulting acceleration mechanisms (Aschwanden, 2008; Shibata, 1996; Sui et al., 2004; Su et al., 2013). Further, solar flares are the main trigger of other space weather phenomena, and it is a challenging forecasting issue to predict the chain of the events that from solar flares lead to possible significant impacts on both in-orbit and on-Earth assets (Crown, 2012; Murray et al., 2017). Flare forecasting rely on both statistical (Song et al., 2009; Mason and Hoeksema, 2010; Bloomfield et al., 2012; Barnes et al., 2016) and deterministic (Strugarek and Charbonneau, 2014; Petrakou, 2018) methods.


Visibility Interpolation in Solar Hard X-ray Imaging: Application to RHESSI and STIX

Perracchione, Emma, Massa, Paolo, Massone, Anna Maria, Piana, Michele

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Space telescopes for solar hard X-ray imaging provide observations made of sampled Fourier components of the incoming photon flux. The aim of this study is to design an image reconstruction method relying on enhanced visibility interpolation in the Fourier domain. % methods heading (mandatory) The interpolation-based method is applied on synthetic visibilities generated by means of the simulation software implemented within the framework of the Spectrometer/Telescope for Imaging X-rays (STIX) mission on board Solar Orbiter. An application to experimental visibilities observed by the Reuven Ramaty High Energy Solar Spectroscopic Imager (RHESSI) is also considered. In order to interpolate these visibility data we have utilized an approach based on Variably Scaled Kernels (VSKs), which are able to realize feature augmentation by exploiting prior information on the flaring source and which are used here, for the first time, for image reconstruction purposes.} % results heading (mandatory) When compared to an interpolation-based reconstruction algorithm previously introduced for RHESSI, VSKs offer significantly better performances, particularly in the case of STIX imaging, which is characterized by a notably sparse sampling of the Fourier domain. In the case of RHESSI data, this novel approach is particularly reliable when either the flaring sources are characterized by narrow, ribbon-like shapes or high-resolution detectors are utilized for observations. % conclusions heading (optional), leave it empty if necessary The use of VSKs for interpolating hard X-ray visibilities allows a notable image reconstruction accuracy when the information on the flaring source is encoded by a small set of scattered Fourier data and when the visibility surface is affected by significant oscillations in the frequency domain.