pathway
Causal Bias Detection in Generative Artificial Intelligence
Automated systems built on artificial intelligence (AI) are increasingly deployed across high-stakes domains, raising critical concerns about fairness and the perpetuation of demographic disparities that exist in the world. In this context, causal inference provides a principled framework for reasoning about fairness, as it links observed disparities to underlying mechanisms and aligns naturally with human intuition and legal notions of discrimination. Prior work on causal fairness primarily focuses on the standard machine learning setting, where a decision-maker constructs a single predictive mechanism $f_{\widehat Y}$ for an outcome variable $Y$, while inheriting the causal mechanisms of all other covariates from the real world. The generative AI setting, however, is markedly more complex: generative models can sample from arbitrary conditionals over any set of variables, implicitly constructing their own beliefs about all causal mechanisms rather than learning a single predictive function. This fundamental difference requires new developments in causal fairness methodology. We formalize the problem of causal fairness in generative AI and unify it with the standard ML setting under a common theoretical framework. We then derive new causal decomposition results that enable granular quantification of fairness impacts along both (a) different causal pathways and (b) the replacement of real-world mechanisms by the generative model's mechanisms. We establish identification conditions and introduce efficient estimators for causal quantities of interest, and demonstrate the value of our methodology by analyzing race and gender bias in large language models across different datasets.
Proximal Path-Specific Inference
Bai, Yang, Wu, Sihan, Sun, Baoluo, Cui, Yifan
Mediation analysis (Robins & Greenland 1992, Pearl 2001, Imai, Keele & Tingley 2010, Tchetgen Tchetgen & Shpitser 2012) provides a principled framework for investigating causal mechanisms by decomposing the effect of a treatment A on an outcome Y into pathways operating through a mediator of interest M. Classical mediation analysis focuses on the natural indirect effect, corresponding to the pathway from Ato Y through M, and the natural direct effect, corresponding to pathways not through M. These estimands are well understood when a single mediator is present and strong identification assumptions hold. However, in many applications, there exist multiple intermediate variables between treatment and outcome. In such settings, conventional mediation analysis typically requires the absence of treatment-induced mediator-outcome confounders--often referred to as recanting witnesses--as well as the absence of unmeasured confounding. Under these circumstances, commonly used identification assumptions such as sequential ignorability (Imai, Keele & Yamamoto 2010) or nonparametric structural equation models with independent errors (NPSEM-IE) (Pearl 2009) no longer suffice to identify natural indirect effects (Avin et al. 2005, Tchetgen Tchetgen & VanderWeele 2014). Figure 1 illustrates this issue: the recanting witness D is directly affected by A and simultaneously confounds the relationship between M and Y. Such treatment-induced confounding is common in epidemiologic studies, particularly when the mediator of interest occurs long after the treatment initiation (Robins 1999). A motivating example arises in studies of preterm birth. Mediation analysis has been widely used to explore whether adequate prenatal care (A) reduces the risk of preterm birth (Y) through preeclampsia (M) (Vansteelandt & VanderWeele 2012, VanderWeele et al. 2014, Xia & Chan 2023).
SurDis: ASurface Discontinuity Dataset for Wearable Technology to Assist Blind Navigation in Urban Environments
According to World Health Organization, there is an estimated 2.2 billion people with a near or distance vision impairment worldwide. Difficulty in self-navigation is one of the greatest challenges to independence for the blind and low vision (BLV) people. Through consultations with several BLV service providers, we realized that negotiating surface discontinuities is one of the very prominent challenges when navigating an outdoor environment within the urban. Surface discontinuities are commonly formed by rises and drop-offs along a pathway. They could be a threat to balancing during a walk and perceiving such a threat is highly challenging to the BLVs.
AKernel-based Test of Independence for Cluster-correlated Data
The Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC) is a powerful kernel-based statistic for assessing the generalized dependence between two multivariate variables. However, independence testing based on the HSIC is not directly possible for cluster-correlated data. Such a correlation pattern among the observations arises in many practical situations, e.g., family-based and longitudinal data, and requires proper accommodation. Therefore, we propose a novel HSIC-based independence test to evaluate the dependence between two multivariate variables based on clustercorrelated data. Using the previously proposed empirical HSIC as our test statistic, we derive its asymptotic distribution under the null hypothesis of independence between the two variables but in the presence of sample correlation. Based on both simulation studies and real data analysis, we show that, with clustered data, our approach effectively controls type I error and has a higher statistical power than competing methods.
Effective Dynamics and Transition Pathways from Koopman-Inspired Neural Learning of Collective Variables
Sikorski, Alexander, Donati, Luca, Weber, Marcus, Schütte, Christof
The ISOKANN (Invariant Subspaces of Koopman Operators Learned by Artificial Neural Networks) framework provides a data-driven route to extract collective variables (CVs) and effective dynamics from complex molecular systems. In this work, we integrate the theoretical foundation of Koopman operators with Krylov-like subspace algorithms, and reduced dynamical modeling to build a coherent picture of how to describe metastable transitions in high-dimensional systems based on CVs. Starting from the identification of CVs based on dominant invariant subspaces, we derive the corresponding effective dynamics on the latent space and connect these to transition rates and times, committor functions, and transition pathways. The combination of Koopman-based learning and reduced-dimensional effective dynamics yields a principled framework for computing transition rates and pathways from simulation data. Numerical experiments on one-, two-, and three-dimensional benchmark potentials illustrate the ability of ISOKANN to reconstruct the coarse-grained kinetics and reproduce transition times across enthalpic and entropic barriers.
High-dimensional Many-to-many-to-many Mediation Analysis
Nguyen, Tien Dat, Tran, Trung Khang, Truong, Cong Khanh, Can, Duy-Cat, Nguyen, Binh T., Chén, Oliver Y.
We study high-dimensional mediation analysis in which exposures, mediators, and outcomes are all multivariate, and both exposures and mediators may be high-dimensional. We formalize this as a many (exposures)-to-many (mediators)-to-many (outcomes) (MMM) mediation analysis problem. Methodologically, MMM mediation analysis simultaneously performs variable selection for high-dimensional exposures and mediators, estimates the indirect effect matrix (i.e., the coefficient matrices linking exposure-to-mediator and mediator-to-outcome pathways), and enables prediction of multivariate outcomes. Theoretically, we show that the estimated indirect effect matrices are consistent and element-wise asymptotically normal, and we derive error bounds for the estimators. To evaluate the efficacy of the MMM mediation framework, we first investigate its finite-sample performance, including convergence properties, the behavior of the asymptotic approximations, and robustness to noise, via simulation studies. We then apply MMM mediation analysis to data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative to study how cortical thickness of 202 brain regions may mediate the effects of 688 genome-wide significant single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (selected from approximately 1.5 million SNPs) on eleven cognitive-behavioral and diagnostic outcomes. The MMM mediation framework identifies biologically interpretable, many-to-many-to-many genetic-neural-cognitive pathways and improves downstream out-of-sample classification and prediction performance. Taken together, our results demonstrate the potential of MMM mediation analysis and highlight the value of statistical methodology for investigating complex, high-dimensional multi-layer pathways in science. The MMM package is available at https://github.com/THELabTop/MMM-Mediation.
\textit{NeuroPath} : A Neural Pathway Transformer for Joining the Dots of Human Connectomes
Although modern imaging technologies allow us to study connectivity between two distinct brain regions $\textit{in-vivo}$, an in-depth understanding of how anatomical structure supports brain function and how spontaneous functional fluctuations emerge remarkable cognition is still elusive. Meanwhile, tremendous efforts have been made in the realm of machine learning to establish the nonlinear mapping between neuroimaging data and phenotypic traits. However, the absence of neuroscience insight in the current approaches poses significant challenges in understanding cognitive behavior from transient neural activities. To address this challenge, we put the spotlight on the coupling mechanism of structural connectivity (SC) and functional connectivity (FC) by formulating such network neuroscience question into an expressive graph representation learning problem for high-order topology. Specifically, we introduce the concept of $\textit{topological detour}$ to characterize how a ubiquitous instance of FC (direct link) is supported by neural pathways (detour) physically wired by SC, which forms a cyclic loop interacted by brain structure and function. In the clich\'e of machine learning, the multi-hop detour pathway underlying SC-FC coupling allows us to devise a novel multi-head self-attention mechanism within Transformer to capture multi-modal feature representation from paired graphs of SC and FC. Taken together, we propose a biological-inspired deep model, coined as $\textit{NeuroPath}$, to find putative connectomic feature representations from the unprecedented amount of neuroimages, which can be plugged into various downstream applications such as task recognition and disease diagnosis. We have evaluated $\textit{NeuroPath}$ on large-scale public datasets including Human Connectome Project (HCP) and UK Biobank (UKB) under different experiment settings of supervised and zero-shot learning, where the state-of-the-art performance by our $\textit{NeuroPath}$ indicates great potential in network neuroscience.
Efficient Reinforcement Learning by Discovering Neural Pathways
Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms have been very successful at tackling complex control problems, such as AlphaGo or fusion control. However, current research mainly emphasizes solution quality, often achieved by using large models trained on large amounts of data, and does not account for the financial, environmental, and societal costs associated with developing and deploying such models. Modern neural networks are often overparameterized and a significant number of parameters can be pruned without meaningful loss in performance, resulting in more efficient use of the model's capacity lottery ticket. We present a methodology for identifying sub-networks within a larger network in reinforcement learning (RL). We call such sub-networks, neural pathways. We show empirically that even very small learned sub-networks, using less than 5% of the large network's parameters, can provide very good quality solutions. We also demonstrate the training of multiple pathways within the same networks in a multitask setup, where each pathway is encouraged to tackle a separate task.