Pairwise comparison methods, such as Fuzzy Preference Relations and Saaty's Multiplicative Preference Relations, are widely used to model expert judgments in multi-criteria decision-making. However, their application is limited by the high cognitive load required to complete $m(m-1)/2$ comparisons, the risk of inconsistency, and the computational complexity of deriving consistent value scales. This paper proposes the Tournament Tree Method (TTM), a novel elicitation and evaluation framework that overcomes these limitations. The TTM requires only $m-1$ pairwise comparisons to obtain a complete, reciprocal, and consistent comparison matrix. The method consists of three phases: (i) elicitation of expert judgments using a reduced set of targeted comparisons, (ii) construction of the consistent pairwise comparison matrix, and (iii) derivation of a global value scale from the resulting matrix. The proposed approach ensures consistency by design, minimizes cognitive effort, and reduces the dimensionality of preference modeling from $m(m-1)/2$ to $m$ parameters. Furthermore, it is compatible with the classical Deck of Cards method, and thus it can handle interval and ratio scales. We have also developed a web-based tool that demonstrates its practical applicability in real decision-making scenarios.

One of the essential issues in decision problems and preference modeling is the number of comparisons and their pattern to ask from the decision maker. We focus on the optimal patterns of pairwise comparisons and the sequence including the most (close to) optimal cases based on the results of a color selection experiment. In the test, six colors (red, green, blue, magenta, turquoise, yellow) were evaluated with pairwise comparisons as well as in a direct manner, on color-calibrated tablets in ISO standardized sensory test booths of a sensory laboratory. All the possible patterns of comparisons resulting in a connected representing graph were evaluated against the complete data based on 301 individual's pairwise comparison matrices (PCMs) using the logarithmic least squares weight calculation technique. It is shown that the empirical results, i.e., the empirical distributions of the elements of PCMs, are quite similar to the former simulated outcomes from the literature. The obtained empirically optimal patterns of comparisons were the best or the second best in the former simulations as well, while the sequence of comparisons that contains the most (close to) optimal patterns is exactly the same. In order to enhance the applicability of the results, besides the presentation of graph of graphs, and the representing graphs of the patterns that describe the proposed sequence of comparisons themselves, the recommendations are also detailed in a table format as well as in a Java application.

This appendix contains further details regarding the theory and experiments.

Assessing consistency in Pairwise Comparison Matrices (PCMs) within the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) poses significant challenges when using the traditional Consistency Ratio (CR) method. This study introduces a novel alternative that leverages triadic preference reversals (PR) to provide a more robust and interpretable assessment of consistency. Triadic preference reversals capture inconsistencies between a pair of elements by comparing the direction of preference derived from the global eigenvector with that from a 3x3 submatrix (triad) containing the same pair, highlighting local-global preference conflicts. This method detects a reversal when one eigen ratio exceeds one while another falls below one, signaling inconsistency. We identify two key features: the proportion of preference reversals and the maximum reversal, which mediate the impact of a PCM's order on its consistency. Using these features simulated PCMs are clustered into consistent and inconsistent classes through k-means clustering, followed by training a logistic classifier for consistency evaluation. The PR method achieves 97\% accuracy, significantly surpassing the Consistency Ratio (CR) method's 50%, with a false negative rate of only 2.6\% compared to 5.5\%. These findings demonstrate the PR method's superior accuracy in assessing AHP consistency, thereby enabling more reliable decision-making. The proposed triadic preference reversal (PR) approach is implemented in the R package AHPtools publicly available on the Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN).

Global supply lines have been severely disrupted by the COVID-19 epidemic and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, which has sharply increased the price of commodities and generated inflation. These incidents highlight how critical it is to improve supply chain resilience (SCRES) in order to fend off unforeseen setbacks. Controlling both internal and external interruptions, such as transportation problems brought on by natural catastrophes and wars, is the responsibility of SCRES. Enhancing resilience in supply chains requires accurate and timely information transfer. Promising answers to these problems can be found in the Metaverse and ChatGPT, two new digital technologies. The Metaverse may imitate real-world situations and offer dynamic, real-time 3D representations of supply chain data by integrating blockchain, IoT, network connection, and computer power.Large-scale natural language processing model ChatGPT improves communication and data translation accuracy and speed. To manage risk and facilitate decision making in Supply Chain management, firms should increase information transmission, Speed and quality. This study aim to show the importance of ChatGPT and Metaverse technologies to improve SCRES, with an emphasis on the most important criteria for SCRES, and maturity factor that can influence directly the SC development.

Mathematical analysis of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) led to the development of a mathematical function, usually called the inconsistency index, which has the center role in measuring the inconsistency of the judgements in AHP. Inconsistency index is a mathematical function which maps every pairwise comparison matrix (PCM) into a real number. An inconsistency index can be considered more trustworthy when it satisfies a set of suitable properties. Therefore, the research community has been trying to postulate a set of desirable rules (axioms, properties) for inconsistency indices. Subsequently, many axiomatic frameworks for these functions have been suggested independently, however, the literature on the topic is fragmented and missing a broader framework. Therefore, the objective of this article is twofold. Firstly, we provide a comprehensive review of the advancements in the axiomatization of inconsistency indices' properties during the last decade. Secondly, we provide a comparison and discussion of the aforementioned axiomatic structures along with directions of the future research.

Manipulation of the decision-making process can have serious consequences that can negatively affect individuals [26], society, or organizations [19]. Prejudice, external pressures, bribery, or multiple factors can influence decision-makers, leading to sub-optimal outcomes or harm. In political elections, propaganda, disinformation, or bribery can manipulate voters and influence elections [15], leading to long-term societal consequences. We can take various measures to prevent manipulation and ensure transparency [2] and objectivity in decision-making. For example, the number of decision-makers can be increased to make manipulation more difficult [35], or the decision-making processes may be subject to external oversight (or review) to ensure compliance with ethical and legal standards [16].

Abstract Like electoral systems, decision-making methods are also vulnerable to manipulation by decision-makers. The ability to effectively defend against such threats can only come from thoroughly understanding the manipulation mechanisms. In the presented article, we show two algorithms that can be used to launch a manipulation attack. They allow for equating the weights of two selected alternatives in the pairwise comparison method and, consequently, choosing a leader. The theoretical considerations are accompanied by a Monte Carlo simulation showing the relationship between the size of the PC matrix, the degree of inconsistency, and the ease of manipulation. This work is a continuation of our previous research published in the paper (Szybowski et al., 2023)

The role of an expert in the decision-making process is crucial, as the final recommendation depends on his disposition, clarity of mind, experience, and knowledge of the problem. However, the recommendation also depends on their honesty. But what if the expert is dishonest? Then, the answer on how difficult it is to manipulate in a given case becomes essential. In the presented work, we consider manipulation of a ranking obtained by comparing alternatives in pairs. More specifically, we propose an algorithm for finding an almost optimal way to swap the positions of two selected alternatives. Thanks to this, it is possible to determine how difficult such manipulation is in a given case. Theoretical considerations are illustrated by a practical example.

The Heuristic Rating Estimation Method enables decision-makers to decide based on existing ranking data and expert comparisons. In this approach, the ranking values of selected alternatives are known in advance, while these values have to be calculated for the remaining ones. Their calculation can be performed using either an additive or a multiplicative method. Both methods assumed that the pairwise comparison sets involved in the computation were complete. In this paper, we show how these algorithms can be extended so that the experts do not need to compare all alternatives pairwise. Thanks to the shortening of the work of experts, the presented, improved methods will reduce the costs of the decision-making procedure and facilitate and shorten the stage of collecting decision-making data.