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PAGER: A Framework for Failure Analysis of Deep Regression Models

Thiagarajan, Jayaraman J., Narayanaswamy, Vivek, Trivedi, Puja, Anirudh, Rushil

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Safe deployment of AI models requires proactive detection of potential prediction failures to prevent costly errors. While failure detection in classification problems has received significant attention, characterizing failure modes in regression tasks is more complicated and less explored. Existing approaches rely on epistemic uncertainties or feature inconsistency with the training distribution to characterize model risk. However, we show that uncertainties are necessary but insufficient to accurately characterize failure, owing to the various sources of error. In this paper, we propose PAGER (Principled Analysis of Generalization Errors in Regressors), a framework to systematically detect and characterize failures in deep regression models. Built upon the recently proposed idea of anchoring in deep models, PAGER unifies both epistemic uncertainties and novel, complementary non-conformity scores to organize samples into different risk regimes, thereby providing a comprehensive analysis of model errors. Additionally, we introduce novel metrics for evaluating failure detectors in regression tasks. We demonstrate the effectiveness of PAGER on synthetic and real-world benchmarks. Our results highlight the capability of PAGER to identify regions of accurate generalization and detect failure cases in out-of-distribution and out-of-support scenarios.


Can an AI program really write a good movie? Here's a test

The Guardian

The rise of AI programs like ChatGPT has triggered a tidal wave of ethical handwringing, most prominently from within the industries that it threatens to destroy. After all, just because you can get a robot to instantly write code or write contracts or provide customer support for free, should you? Well, the answer from the Writers Guild of America is a qualified yes. This week, the Writers Guild of America proposed that ChatGPT would absolutely be allowed to write scripts in the future, provided that the credit (and the money) goes to the human writer who came up with the prompts in the first place. The proposal paints a scary picture of the future; a future in which even the most human of arts are crushed under the wheels of an unthinking technology.


PAGER: Progressive Attribute-Guided Extendable Robust Image Generation

Azizi, Zohreh, Kuo, C. -C. Jay

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This work presents a generative modeling approach based on successive subspace learning (SSL). Unlike most generative models in the literature, our method does not utilize neural networks to analyze the underlying source distribution and synthesize images. The resulting method, called the progressive attribute-guided extendable robust image generative (PAGER) model, has advantages in mathematical transparency, progressive content generation, lower training time, robust performance with fewer training samples, and extendibility to conditional image generation. PAGER consists of three modules: core generator, resolution enhancer, and quality booster. The core generator learns the distribution of low-resolution images and performs unconditional image generation. The resolution enhancer increases image resolution via conditional generation. Finally, the quality booster adds finer details to generated images. Extensive experiments on MNIST, Fashion-MNIST, and CelebA datasets are conducted to demonstrate generative performance of PAGER.


New video from Elon Musk's Neuralink claims monkey is playing Pong with his mind

USATODAY - Tech Top Stories

Neuralink, the neurotechnology startup created by Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, released a video that appears to show a monkey playing the video game Pong with only its brain. A video posted to YouTube demonstrates the Neuralink, brain implant technology aimed at helping people deal with devastating injuries, on Pager, a 9-year-old macaque. Neuralinks were placed on each side of Pager's brain, according to the video. The links track the parts of the brain focused on hand and arm movements and record the neural activity. Once that activity is decoded, the Neuralinks are able to predict the monkey's hand movements in real time.


Neuralink's brain-computer interface demo shows a monkey playing Pong

Engadget

Elon Musk's last update on Neuralink -- his company that is working on technology that will connect the human brain directly to a computer -- featured a pig with one of its chips implanted in its brain. Now Neuralink is demonstrating its progress by showing a Macaque with one of the Link chips playing Pong. At first using "Pager" is shown using a joystick, and then eventually, according to the narration, using only its mind via the wireless connection. Monkey plays Pong with his mind https://t.co/35NIFm4C7T Today we are pleased to reveal the Link's capability to enable a macaque monkey, named Pager, to move a cursor on a computer screen with neural activity using a 1,024 electrode fully-implanted neural recording and data transmission device, termed the N1 Link.


NHS still reliant on 'archaic' fax machines

BBC News

Hospitals are still reliant on "archaic" fax machines with thousands still in use, a survey shows. Senior doctors said the continued use of the outdated technology was "ludicrous", and modern forms of communication were urgently needed. The poll, by the Royal College of Surgeons using freedom of information laws, revealed nearly 9,000 fax machines were in use across England. Newcastle upon Tyne NHS Trust topped the list, relying on 603 machines. "Alongside innovation like artificial intelligence and robot-assisted surgery, NHS hospital trusts remain stubbornly attached to using archaic fax machines for a significant proportion of their communications. This is ludicrous," said Richard Kerr, chair of the Royal College of Surgeons' Commission on the Future of Surgery.


What the..? Uber's staff groups include one for 'Jewbers'

USATODAY - Tech Top Stories

Uber is putting the brakes on its driverless car pilot program after one of its self-driving cars got into a high speed crash in Arizona. Sean Dowling (@seandowlingtv) has more. SAN FRANCISCO -- On a day that marks Uber's first disclosure of the gender and racial make-up of its staff, the ride-hailing company is drawing fire on social media for some of the names assigned to in-house associations. Nine employee resource groups were listed Tuesday on a webpage dedicated to diversity statistics and initiatives. These include Los Ubers for Hispanic employees, UberHUE for African-American employees and UberPRIDE for LBGTQ employees.


Pager is raising 6M as it seeks to add health system partners (Updated) - MedCity News

#artificialintelligence

A little more than three months ago, Pager's management team said the business model would change to focus on adding health systems as customers. Now the digital health company has filed documents with the Security and Exchange Commission's website, indicating the company has raised a little more than 5.2 million with a goal of 6 million, according to a Form D filing. In June, Andrew Chomer of Pager told MedCity News that it forged a collaboration with Weill Cornell Medicine health systems in a deal with New York Presbyterian Hospital. The agreement gives Pager's users access to primary care doctors and specialists within the Weill Cornell Medicine system from board-certified physicians and nurses across specialties through its app. Through Pager's triage platform, patients are evaluated and if necessary, referred to a Weill Cornell specialist who advise on the next steps for care.


The 50 Most Influential Gadgets of All Time

TIME - Tech

Think of the gear you can't live without: The smartphone you constantly check. The camera that goes with you on every vacation. The TV that serves as a portal to binge-watching and -gaming. Each owes its influence to one model that changed the course of technology for good. Some of these, like Sony's Walkman, were the first of their kind. Others, such as the iPod, propelled an existing idea into the mainstream. Some were unsuccessful commercially, but influential nonetheless. And a few represent exciting but unproven new concepts (looking at you Oculus Rift). Rather than rank technologies--writing, electricity, and so on--we chose to rank gadgets, the devices by with consumers let the future creep into their present. The list--which is ordered by influence--was assembled and deliberated on at (extreme) length by TIME's technology and business editors, writers and reporters.