A central question in the theory of machine learning concerns the identification of classes of data distributions for which one can provide computationally efficient learning algorithms with provable statistical learning guarantees. Indeed, in the context of probably approximately correct (PAC) learning, there has been much interest in exploring intermediate PAC learning models that, unlike the realizable PAC learning setting, allow for some stochasticity in the labels, and unlike the fully agnostic PAC learning setting, also admit computationally efficient learning algorithms with finite sample complexity bounds. Some examples of such models include random classification noise (RCN), probabilistic concepts, Massart noise, and generalized linear models (GLMs); in general, most of this work has focused on binary classification problems. In this paper, we study what we call realizablestatistic models (RSMs), wherein we allow stochastic labels but assume that some vector-valued statistic of the conditional label distribution comes from some known function class. RSMs are a flexible class of models that interpolate between the realizable and fully agnostic settings, and that also recover several previously studied models as special cases.

A central question in the theory of machine learning concerns the identification of classes of data distributions for which one can provide computationally efficient learning algorithms with provable statistical learning guarantees. Indeed, in the context of probably approximately correct (PAC) learning, there has been much interest in exploring intermediate PAC learning models that, unlike the realizable PAC learning setting, allow for some stochasticity in the labels, and unlike the fully agnostic PAC learning setting, also admit computationally efficient learning algorithms with finite sample complexity bounds. Some examples of such models include random classification noise (RCN), probabilistic concepts, Massart noise, and generalized linear models (GLMs); in general, most of this work has focused on binary classification problems. In this paper, we study what we call realizable-statistic models (RSMs), wherein we allow stochastic labels but assume that some vector-valued statistic of the conditional label distribution comes from some known function class. RSMs are a flexible class of models that interpolate between the realizable and fully agnostic settings, and that also recover several previously studied models as special cases.

Multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) has witnessed significant progress with the development of value function factorization methods. It allows optimizing a joint action-value function through the maximization of factorized per-agent utilities. In this paper, we show that in partially observable MARL problems, an agent's ordering over its own actions could impose concurrent constraints (across different states) on the representable function class, causing significant estimation errors during training. We tackle this limitation and propose PAC, a new framework leveraging Assistive information generated from Counterfactual Predictions of optimal joint action selection, which enable explicit assistance to value function factorization through a novel counterfactual loss. A variational inference-based information encoding method is developed to collect and encode the counterfactual predictions from an estimated baseline. To enable decentralized execution, we also derive factorized per-agent policies inspired by a maximum-entropy MARL framework. We evaluate the proposed PAC on multi-agent predator-prey and a set of StarCraft II micromanagement tasks. Empirical results demonstrate improved results of PAC over state-of-the-art value-based and policy-based multi-agent reinforcement learning algorithms on all benchmarks.

We study a generalization of boosting to the multiclass setting. We introduce a weak learning condition for multiclass classification that captures the original notion of weak learnability as being "slightly better than random guessing". We give a simple and efficient boosting algorithm, that does not require realizability assumptions and its sample and oracle complexity bounds are independent of the number of classes. In addition, we utilize our new boosting technique in several theoretical applications within the context of List PACLearning. First, we establish an equivalence to weak PAC learning. Furthermore, we present a new result on boosting for list learners, as well as provide a novel proof for the characterization of multiclass PAC learning and List PAC learning. Notably, our technique gives rise to a simplified analysis, and also implies an improved error bound for large list sizes, compared to previous results.

We develop a predictive-first optimisation framework for streaming hidden Markov models. Unlike classical approaches that prioritise full posterior recovery under a fully specified generative model, we assume access to regime-specific predictive models whose parameters are learned online while maintaining a fixed transition prior over regimes. Our objective is to sequentially identify latent regimes while maintaining accurate step-ahead predictive distributions. Because the number of possible regime paths grows exponentially, exact filtering is infeasible. We therefore formulate streaming inference as a constrained projection problem in predictive-distribution space: under a fixed hypothesis budget, we approximate the full posterior predictive by the forward-KL optimal mixture supported on $S$ paths. The solution is the renormalised top-$S$ posterior-weighted mixture, providing a principled derivation of beam search for HMMs. The resulting algorithm is fully recursive and deterministic, performing beam-style truncation with closed-form predictive updates and requiring neither EM nor sampling. Empirical comparisons against Online EM and Sequential Monte Carlo under matched computational budgets demonstrate competitive prequential performance.

In real-world applications, the distribution of the data, and our goals, evolve over time. The prevailing theoretical framework for studying machine learning, namely probably approximately correct (PAC) learning, largely ignores time. As a consequence, existing strategies to address the dynamic nature of data and goals exhibit poor real-world performance. This paper develops a theoretical framework calledProspective Learning that is tailored for situations when the optimal hypothesis changes over time. In PAC learning, empirical risk minimization (ERM) is known to be consistent.

To enable decentralized execution, we alsoderivefactorized per-agentpolicies inspired byamaximum-entropyMARL framework.

As learning solutions reach critical applications in social, industrial, and medical domains, the need to curtail their behavior has become paramount. There is now ample evidence that without explicit tailoring, learning can lead to biased, unsafe, and prejudiced solutions. To tackle these problems, we develop a generalization theory of constrained learning based on the probably approximately correct (PAC) learning framework. In particular, we show that imposing requirements does not make a learning problem harder in the sense that any PAC learnable class is also PAC constrained learnable using a constrained counterpart of the empirical risk minimization (ERM) rule. For typical parametrized models, however, this learner involves solving a constrained non-convex optimization program for which even obtaining a feasible solution is challenging. To overcome this issue, we prove that under mild conditions the empirical dual problem of constrained learning is also a PAC constrained learner that now leads to a practical constrained learning algorithm based solely on solving unconstrained problems. We analyze the generalization properties of this solution and use it to illustrate how constrained learning can address problems in fair and robust classification.