net utility
Fairshare Data Pricing for Large Language Models
Zhang, Luyang, Jiao, Cathy, Li, Beibei, Xiong, Chenyan
Training data is a pivotal resource for building large language models (LLMs), but unfair pricing in data markets poses a serious challenge for both data buyers (e.g., LLM builders) and sellers (e.g., human annotators), which discourages market participation, reducing data quantity and quality. In this paper, we propose a fairshare pricing framework that sets training data prices using data valuation methods to quantify their contribution to LLMs. In our framework, buyers make purchasing decisions using data valuation and sellers set prices to maximize their profits based on the anticipated buyer purchases. We theoretically show that pricing derived from our framework is tightly linked to data valuation and buyers' budget, optimal for both buyers and sellers. Through market simulations using current LLMs and datasets (math problems, medical diagnosis, and physical reasoning), we show that our framework is fairshare for buyers by ensuring their purchased data is reflective of model training value, leading to higher LLM task performances per-dollar spent on data, and fairshare for sellers by ensuring they sell their data at optimal prices. Our framework lays the foundation for future research on equitable and sustainable data markets for large-scale AI.
Relative Net Utility and the Saint Petersburg Paradox
Muller, Daniel, Marwala, Tshilidzi
The famous St Petersburg Paradox shows that the theory of expected value does not capture the real-world economics of decision-making problem. Over the years, many economic theories were developed to resolve the paradox and explain the subjective utility of the expected outcomes and risk aversion. In this paper, we use the concept of the net utility to resolve the St Petersburg paradox. The reason why the principle of absolute instead of net utility does not work is because it is a first order approximation of some unknown utility function. Because the net utility concept is able to explain both behavioral economics and the St Petersburg paradox it is deemed a universal approach to handling utility. Finally, this paper explored how artificial intelligent (AI) agent will make choices and observed that if AI agent uses the nominal utility approach it will see infinite reward while if it uses the net utility approach it will see the limited reward that human beings see.
Automated Tactical Decision Planning Model with Strategic Values Guidance for Local Action-Value-Ambiguity
In many real-world planning problems, action's impact differs with a place, time and the context in which the action is applied. The same action with the same effects in a different context or states can cause a different change. In actions with incomplete precondition list, that applicable in several states and circumstances, ambiguity regarding the impact of the action is challenging even in small domains. To estimate the real impact of actions, an evaluation of the effect list will not be enough; a relative estimation is more informative and suitable for estimation of action's real impact. Recent work on Over-subscription Planning (OSP) defined the net utility of action as the net change in the state's value caused by the action. The notion of net utility of action allows for a broader perspective on value action impact and use for a more accurate evaluation of achievements of the action, considering inter-state and intra-state dependencies. To achieve value-rational decisions in complex reality often requires strategic, high level, planning with a global perspective and values, while many local tactical decisions require real-time information to estimate the impact of actions. This paper proposes an offline action-value structure analysis to exploit the compactly represented informativeness of net utility of actions to extend the scope of planning to value uncertainty scenarios and to provide a real-time value-rational decision planning tool. The result of the offline pre-processing phase is a compact decision planning model representation for flexible, local reasoning of net utility of actions with (offline) value ambiguity. The obtained flexibility is beneficial for the online planning phase and real-time execution of actions with value ambiguity. Our empirical evaluation shows the effectiveness of this approach in domains with value ambiguity in their action-value-structure.
Complementing the Execution of AI Systems with Human Computation
Kamar, Ece (Microsoft Research) | Manikonda, Lydia (Arizona State University)
For a multitude of tasks that come naturally to humans, performance of AI systems is inferior to human level performance. We show how human intellect made available via crowdsourcing can be used to complement an existing system during execution. We introduce a hybrid workflow that queries people to verify and correct the output of the system and present a simulation-based workflow optimization method to balance the cost of human input with the expected improvement in performance. Through empirical evaluations on an image captioning system, we show that the hybrid system, which combines the AI system with human input, significantly outperforms the automated system by properly trading off the cost of human input with expected benefit. Finally, we show that human input collected at execution time can be used to teach the system about its errors and limitations.
Bounded Rational Decision-Making in Changing Environments
Grau-Moya, Jordi, Braun, Daniel A.
A perfectly rational decision-maker chooses the best action with the highest utility gain from a set of possible actions. The optimality principles that describe such decision processes do not take into account the computational costs of finding the optimal action. Bounded rational decision-making addresses this problem by specifically trading off information-processing costs and expected utility. Interestingly, a similar trade-off between energy and entropy arises when describing changes in thermodynamic systems. This similarity has been recently used to describe bounded rational agents. Crucially, this framework assumes that the environment does not change while the decision-maker is computing the optimal policy. When this requirement is not fulfilled, the decision-maker will suffer inefficiencies in utility, that arise because the current policy is optimal for an environment in the past. Here we borrow concepts from non-equilibrium thermodynamics to quantify these inefficiencies and illustrate with simulations its relationship with computational resources.
Dynamically Switching between Synergistic Workflows for Crowdsourcing
Lin, Christopher H. (University of Washington) | Mausam, Mausam (University of Washington) | Weld, Daniel S. (University of Washington)
To ensure quality results from unreliable crowdsourced workers, task designers often construct complex workflows and aggregate worker responses from redundant runs. Frequently, they experiment with several alternative workflows to accomplish the task, and eventually deploy the one that achieves the best performance during early trials. Surprisingly, this seemingly natural design paradigm does not achieve the full potential of crowdsourcing. In particular, using a single workflow (even the best) to accomplish a task is suboptimal. We show that alternative workflows can compose synergistically to yield much higher quality output. We formalize the insight with a novel probabilistic graphical model. Based on this model, we design and implement AGENTHUNT, a POMDP-based controller that dynamically switches between these workflows to achieve higher returns on investment. Additionally, we design offline and online methods for learning model parameters. Live experiments on Amazon Mechanical Turk demonstrate the superiority of AGENTHUNT for the task of generating NLP training data, yielding up to 50% error reduction and greater net utility compared to previous methods.
Decision-Theoretic Control of Crowd-Sourced Workflows
Dai, Peng (University of Washington) | Mausam, ' (University of Washington) | (University of Washington) | Weld, Daniel Sabey
Crowd-sourcing is a recent framework in which human intelligence tasks are outsourced to a crowd of unknown people ("workers") as an open call (e.g., on Amazon's Mechanical Turk). Crowd-sourcing has become immensely popular with hoards of employers ("requesters"), who use it to solve a wide variety of jobs, such as dictation transcription, content screening, etc. In order to achieve quality results, requesters often subdivide a large task into a chain of bite-sized subtasks that are combined into a complex, iterative workflow in which workers check and improve each other's results. This paper raises an exciting question for AI — could an autonomous agent control these workflows without human intervention, yielding better results than today's state of the art, a fixed control program? We describe a planner, TurKontrol, that formulates workflow control as a decision-theoretic optimization problem, trading off the implicit quality of a solution artifact against the cost for workers to achieve it. We lay the mathematical framework to govern the various decisions at each point in a popular class of workflows. Based on our analysis we implement the workflow control algorithm and present experiments demonstrating that TurKontrol obtains much higher utilities than popular fixed policies.
Continual On-line Planning as Decision-Theoretic Incremental Heuristic Search
Lemons, Seth (University of New Hampshire) | Benton, J. (University of Arizona) | Ruml, Wheeler (University of New Hampshire) | Do, Minh (Palo Alto Research Center) | Yoon, Sungwook (Palo Alto Research Center)
This paper presents an approach to integrating planning and execution in time-sensitive environments. We present a simple setting in which to consider the issue, that we call continual on-line planning. New goals arrive stochastically during execution, the agent issues actions for execution one at a time, and the environment is otherwise deterministic. We take the objective to be a form of time-dependent partial satisfaction planning reminiscent of discounted MDPs: goals offer reward that decays over time, actions incur fixed costs, and the agent attempts to maximize net utility. We argue that this setting highlights the central challenge of time-aware planning while excluding the complexity of non-deterministic actions. Our approach to this problem is based on real-time heuristic search. We view the two central issues as the decision of which partial plans to elaborate during search and the decision of when to issue an action for execution. We propose an extension of Russell and Wefald's decision-theoretic A* algorithm that can cope with our inadmissible heuristic. Our algorithm, DTOCS, handles the complexities of the on-line setting by balancing deliberative planning and real-time response.