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Wind turbine condition monitoring based on intra- and inter-farm federated learning

Grataloup, Albin, Jonas, Stefan, Meyer, Angela

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As wind energy adoption is growing, ensuring the efficient operation and maintenance of wind turbines becomes essential for maximizing energy production and minimizing costs and downtime. Many AI applications in wind energy, such as in condition monitoring and power forecasting, may benefit from using operational data not only from individual wind turbines but from multiple turbines and multiple wind farms. Collaborative distributed AI which preserves data privacy holds a strong potential for these applications. Federated learning has emerged as a privacy-preserving distributed machine learning approach in this context. We explore federated learning in wind turbine condition monitoring, specifically for fault detection using normal behaviour models. We investigate various federated learning strategies, including collaboration across different wind farms and turbine models, as well as collaboration restricted to the same wind farm and turbine model. Our case study results indicate that federated learning across multiple wind turbines consistently outperforms models trained on a single turbine, especially when training data is scarce. Moreover, the amount of historical data necessary to train an effective model can be significantly reduced by employing a collaborative federated learning strategy. Finally, our findings show that extending the collaboration to multiple wind farms may result in inferior performance compared to restricting learning within a farm, specifically when faced with statistical heterogeneity and imbalanced datasets.


Neural Boltzmann Machines

Lang, Alex H., Loukianov, Anton D., Fisher, Charles K.

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Conditional generative models are capable of using contextual information as input to create new imaginative outputs. Conditional Restricted Boltzmann Machines (CRBMs) are one class of conditional generative models that have proven to be especially adept at modeling noisy discrete or continuous data, but the lack of expressivity in CRBMs have limited their widespread adoption. Here we introduce Neural Boltzmann Machines (NBMs) which generalize CRBMs by converting each of the CRBM parameters to their own neural networks that are allowed to be functions of the conditional inputs. NBMs are highly flexible conditional generative models that can be trained via stochastic gradient descent to approximately maximize the log-likelihood of the data. We demonstrate the utility of NBMs especially with normally distributed data which has historically caused problems for Gaussian-Bernoulli CRBMs.


Neural Basis Models for Interpretability

Radenovic, Filip, Dubey, Abhimanyu, Mahajan, Dhruv

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Due to the widespread use of complex machine learning models in real-world applications, it is becoming critical to explain model predictions. However, these models are typically black-box deep neural networks, explained post-hoc via methods with known faithfulness limitations. Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) are an inherently interpretable class of models that address this limitation by learning a non-linear shape function for each feature separately, followed by a linear model on top. However, these models are typically difficult to train, require numerous parameters, and are difficult to scale. We propose an entirely new subfamily of GAMs that utilizes basis decomposition of shape functions. A small number of basis functions are shared among all features, and are learned jointly for a given task, thus making our model scale much better to large-scale data with high-dimensional features, especially when features are sparse. We propose an architecture denoted as the Neural Basis Model (NBM) which uses a single neural network to learn these bases. On a variety of tabular and image datasets, we demonstrate that for interpretable machine learning, NBMs are the state-of-the-art in accuracy, model size, and, throughput and can easily model all higher-order feature interactions.


The Power of Local Manipulation Strategies in Assignment Mechanisms

Mennle, Timo (University of Zurich) | Weiss, Michael (University of Zurich) | Philipp, Basil (University of Zurich) | Seuken, Sven (University of Zurich)

AAAI Conferences

We consider three important, non-strategyproof assignment mechanisms: Probabilistic Serial and two variants of the Boston mechanism. Under each of these mechanisms, we study the agent’s manipulation problem of determining a best response, i.e., a report that maximizes the agent’s expected utility. In particular, we consider local manipulation strategies, which are simple heuristics based on local, greedy search. We make three main contributions. First, we present results from a behavioral experiment (conducted on Amazon Mechanical Turk) which demonstrate that human manipulation strategies can largely be explained by local manipulation strategies. Second, we prove that local manipulation strategies may fail to solve the manipulation problem optimally. Third, we show via large-scale simulations that despite this non-optimality, these strategies are very effective on average. Our results demonstrate that while the manipulation problem may be hard in general, even cognitively or computationally bounded (human) agents can find near-optimal solutions almost all the time via simple local search strategies.


Celeste: Variational inference for a generative model of astronomical images

Regier, Jeffrey, Miller, Andrew, McAuliffe, Jon, Adams, Ryan, Hoffman, Matt, Lang, Dustin, Schlegel, David, Prabhat, null

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present a new, fully generative model of optical telescope image sets, along with a variational procedure for inference. Each pixel intensity is treated as a Poisson random variable, with a rate parameter dependent on latent properties of stars and galaxies. Key latent properties are themselves random, with scientific prior distributions constructed from large ancillary data sets. We check our approach on synthetic images. We also run it on images from a major sky survey, where it exceeds the performance of the current state-of-the-art method for locating celestial bodies and measuring their colors.