mpp
Multi-Point Proximity Encoding For Vector-Mode Geospatial Machine Learning
Vector-mode geospatial data -- points, lines, and polygons -- must be encoded into an appropriate form in order to be used with traditional machine learning and artificial intelligence models. Encoding methods attempt to represent a given shape as a vector that captures its essential geometric properties. This paper presents an encoding method based on scaled distances from a shape to a set of reference points within a region of interest. The method, MultiPoint Proximity (MPP) encoding, can be applied to any type of shape, enabling the parameterization of machine learning models with encoded representations of vector-mode geospatial features. We show that MPP encoding possesses the desirable properties of shape-centricity and continuity, can be used to differentiate spatial objects based on their geometric features, and can capture pairwise spatial relationships with high precision. In all cases, MPP encoding is shown to perform better than an alternative method based on rasterization.
Cora: Accelerating Stateful Network Applications with SmartNICs
Xi, Shaoke, Gao, Jiaqi, Liu, Mengqi, Cao, Jiamin, Li, Fuliang, Bu, Kai, Ren, Kui, Yu, Minlan, Cai, Dennis, Zhai, Ennan
With the growing performance requirements on networked applications, there is a new trend of offloading stateful network applications to SmartNICs to improve performance and reduce the total cost of ownership. However, offloading stateful network applications is non-trivial due to state operation complexity, state resource consumption, and the complicated relationship between traffic and state. Naively partitioning the program by state or traffic can result in a suboptimal partition plan with higher CPU usage or even packet drops. In this paper, we propose Cora, a compiler and runtime that offloads stateful network applications to SmartNIC-accelerated hosts. Cora compiler introduces an accurate performance model for each SmartNIC and employs an efficient compiling algorithm to search the offloading plan. Cora runtime can monitor traffic dynamics and adapt to minimize CPU usage. Cora is built atop Netronome Agilio and BlueField 2 SmartNICs. Our evaluation shows that for the same throughput target, Cora can propose partition plans saving up to 94.0% CPU cores, 1.9 times more than baseline solutions. Under the same resource constraint, Cora can accelerate network functions by 44.9%-82.3%. Cora runtime can adapt to traffic changes and keep CPU usage low.
RisingBALLER: A player is a token, a match is a sentence, A path towards a foundational model for football players data analytics
In this paper, I introduce RisingBALLER, the first publicly available approach that leverages a transformer model trained on football match data to learn matchspecific player representations. Drawing inspiration from advances in language modeling, RisingBALLER treats each football match as a unique sequence in which players serve as tokens, with their embeddings shaped by the specific context of the match. Through the use of masked player prediction (MPP) as a pre-training task, RisingBALLER learns foundational features for football player representations, similar to how language models learn semantic features for text representations. As a downstream task, I introduce next match statistics prediction (NMSP) to showcase the effectiveness of the learned player embeddings. The NMSP model surpasses a strong baseline commonly used for performance forecasting within the community. Furthermore, I conduct an in-depth analysis to demonstrate how RisingBALLER's learned embeddings can be used in various football analytics tasks, such as producing meaningful positional features that capture the essence and variety of player roles beyond rigid x,y coordinates, team cohesion estimation, and similar player retrieval for more effective data-driven scouting. More than a simple machine learning model, RisingBALLER is a comprehensive framework designed to transform football data analytics by learning high-level foundational features for players, taking into account the context of each match. It offers a deeper understanding of football players beyond individual statistics. In recent years, the field of machine learning has been revolutionized by the introduction of the transformer architecture [1], which initially gained prominence in natural language processing (NLP) with models like BERT [2], RoBERTa [3], and more recently, the widespread use of large language models (LLMs). These models, often trained on seemingly simple tasks such as next token prediction or masked token prediction, have demonstrated remarkable performance in learning high-level features that effectively represent each word and model language intricately. They are capable of learning nuanced representations of the multiple meanings a word can have depending on its context.
Enhancing Investment Opinion Ranking through Argument-Based Sentiment Analysis
Chen, Chung-Chi, Huang, Hen-Hsen, Chen, Hsin-Hsi, Takamura, Hiroya, Kobayashi, Ichiro, Miyao, Yusuke
In the era of rapid Internet and social media platform development, individuals readily share their viewpoints online. The overwhelming quantity of these posts renders comprehensive analysis impractical. This necessitates an efficient recommendation system to filter and present significant, relevant opinions. Our research introduces a dual-pronged argument mining technique to improve recommendation system effectiveness, considering both professional and amateur investor perspectives. Our first strategy involves using the discrepancy between target and closing prices as an opinion indicator. The second strategy applies argument mining principles to score investors' opinions, subsequently ranking them by these scores. Experimental results confirm the effectiveness of our approach, demonstrating its ability to identify opinions with higher profit potential. Beyond profitability, our research extends to risk analysis, examining the relationship between recommended opinions and investor behaviors. This offers a holistic view of potential outcomes following the adoption of these recommended opinions.
Putting Bayes to sleep
We consider sequential prediction algorithms that are given the predictions from a set of models as inputs. If the nature of the data is changing over time in that different models predict well on different segments of the data, then adaptivity is typically achieved by mixing into the weights in each round a bit of the initial prior (kind of like a weak restart). However, what if the favored models in each segment are from a small subset, i.e. the data is likely to be predicted well by models that predicted well before? Curiously, fitting such "sparse composite models" is achieved by mixing in a bit of all the past posteriors. This self-referential updating method is rather peculiar, but it is efficient and gives superior performance on many natural data sets. Also it is important because it introduces a long-term memory: any model that has done well in the past can be recovered quickly. While Bayesian interpretations can be found for mixing in a bit of the initial prior, no Bayesian interpretation is known for mixing in past posteriors. We build atop the "specialist" framework from the online learning literature to give the Mixing Past Posteriors update a proper Bayesian foundation. We apply our method to a well-studied multitask learning problem and obtain a new intriguing efficient update that achieves a significantly better bound.
Markov Persuasion Processes: Learning to Persuade from Scratch
Bacchiocchi, Francesco, Stradi, Francesco Emanuele, Castiglioni, Matteo, Marchesi, Alberto, Gatti, Nicola
In Bayesian persuasion, an informed sender strategically discloses information to a receiver so as to persuade them to undertake desirable actions. Recently, a growing attention has been devoted to settings in which sender and receivers interact sequentially. Recently, Markov persuasion processes (MPPs) have been introduced to capture sequential scenarios where a sender faces a stream of myopic receivers in a Markovian environment. The MPPs studied so far in the literature suffer from issues that prevent them from being fully operational in practice, e.g., they assume that the sender knows receivers' rewards. We fix such issues by addressing MPPs where the sender has no knowledge about the environment. We design a learning algorithm for the sender, working with partial feedback. We prove that its regret with respect to an optimal information-disclosure policy grows sublinearly in the number of episodes, as it is the case for the loss in persuasiveness cumulated while learning. Moreover, we provide a lower bound for our setting matching the guarantees of our algorithm.
Federated learning-outcome prediction with multi-layer privacy protection
Zhang, Yupei, Li, Yuxin, Wang, Yifei, Wei, Shuangshuang, Xu, Yunan, Shang, Xuequn
Learning-outcome prediction (LOP) is a long-standing and critical problem in educational routes. Many studies have contributed to developing effective models while often suffering from data shortage and low generalization to various institutions due to the privacy-protection issue. To this end, this study proposes a distributed grade prediction model, dubbed FecMap, by exploiting the federated learning (FL) framework that preserves the private data of local clients and communicates with others through a global generalized model. FecMap considers local subspace learning (LSL), which explicitly learns the local features against the global features, and multi-layer privacy protection (MPP), which hierarchically protects the private features, including model-shareable features and not-allowably shared features, to achieve client-specific classifiers of high performance on LOP per institution. FecMap is then achieved in an iteration manner with all datasets distributed on clients by training a local neural network composed of a global part, a local part, and a classification head in clients and averaging the global parts from clients on the server. To evaluate the FecMap model, we collected three higher-educational datasets of student academic records from engineering majors. Experiment results manifest that FecMap benefits from the proposed LSL and MPP and achieves steady performance on the task of LOP, compared with the state-of-the-art models. This study makes a fresh attempt at the use of federated learning in the learning-analytical task, potentially paving the way to facilitating personalized education with privacy protection.
Transformer-based Model for Oral Epithelial Dysplasia Segmentation
Shephard, Adam J, Mahmood, Hanya, Raza, Shan E Ahmed, Araujo, Anna Luiza Damaceno, Santos-Silva, Alan Roger, Lopes, Marcio Ajudarte, Vargas, Pablo Agustin, McCombe, Kris, Craig, Stephanie, James, Jacqueline, Brooks, Jill, Nankivell, Paul, Mehanna, Hisham, Khurram, Syed Ali, Rajpoot, Nasir M
Oral epithelial dysplasia (OED) is a premalignant histopathological diagnosis given to lesions of the oral cavity. OED grading is subject to large inter/intra-rater variability, resulting in the under/over-treatment of patients. We developed a new Transformer-based pipeline to improve detection and segmentation of OED in haematoxylin and eosin (H&E) stained whole slide images (WSIs). Our model was trained on OED cases (n = 260) and controls (n = 105) collected using three different scanners, and validated on test data from three external centres in the United Kingdom and Brazil (n = 78). Our internal experiments yield a mean F1-score of 0.81 for OED segmentation, which reduced slightly to 0.71 on external testing, showing good generalisability, and gaining state-of-the-art results. This is the first externally validated study to use Transformers for segmentation in precancerous histology images. Our publicly available model shows great promise to be the first step of a fully-integrated pipeline, allowing earlier and more efficient OED diagnosis, ultimately benefiting patient outcomes.