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Data reuse enables cost-efficient randomized trials of medical AI models

Nercessian, Michael, Zhang, Wenxin, Schubert, Alexander, Yang, Daphne, Chung, Maggie, Alaa, Ahmed, Yala, Adam

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Joint Senior Corresponding Author: Michael Nercessian Email: michael.nercessian@berkeley.edu Abstract Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are indispensable for establishing the clinical value of medical artificial-intelligence (AI) tools, yet their high cost and long timelines hinder timely validation as new models emerge rapidly. Here, we propose BRIDGE, a data-reuse RCT design for AI-based risk models. AI risk models support a broad range of interventions, including screening, treatment selection, and clinical alerts. BRIDGE trials recycle participant-level data from completed trials of AI models when legacy and updated models make concordant predictions, thereby reducing the enrollment requirement for subsequent trials. We provide a practical checklist for investigators to assess whether reusing data from previous trials allows for valid causal inference and preserves type I error. Using real-world datasets across breast cancer, cardiovascular disease, and sepsis, we demonstrate concordance between successive AI models, with up to 64.8% overlap in top 5% high-risk cohorts. We then simulate a series of breast cancer screening studies, where our design reduced required enrollment by 46.6%--saving over US$2.8 million--while maintaining 80% power. By transforming trials into adaptive, modular studies, our proposed design makes Level I evidence generation feasible for every model iteration, thereby accelerating cost-effective translation of AI into routine care . Introduction Artificial intelligence (AI) models have the potential to transform patient care by identifying high-risk individuals using high-dimensional data--such as imaging, electronic health records, or time-series data--to personalize screening, prevention, and treatment decisions across a range of diseases, including cancer and heart disease.


AI is already changing the ways we fight cancer

Popular Science

An estimated 610,000 people in the US died from cancer last year. That's almost the same amount of people who perished in the country's four-year civil war. At least two million more people were diagnosed with some form of cancer in 2024, a figure that's climbed in recent years. Early detection remains one of the single biggest factors that determine whether or not someone ultimately survives cancer and, luckily, advances in medical treatment can help. Researchers and medical scientists believe artificial intelligence models could play a key role in that early detection process.


Foundation models for generalist medical artificial intelligence

#artificialintelligence

The exceptionally rapid development of highly flexible, reusable artificial intelligence (AI) models is likely to usher in newfound capabilities in medicine. We propose a new paradigm for medical AI, which we refer to as generalist medical AI (GMAI). GMAI models will be capable of carrying out a diverse set of tasks using very little or no task-specific labelled data. Built through self-supervision on large, diverse datasets, GMAI will flexibly interpret different combinations of medical modalities, including data from imaging, electronic health records, laboratory results, genomics, graphs or medical text. Models will in turn produce expressive outputs such as free-text explanations, spoken recommendations or image annotations that demonstrate advanced medical reasoning abilities. Here we identify a set of high-impact potential applications for GMAI and lay out specific technical capabilities and training datasets necessary to enable them. We expect that GMAI-enabled applications will challenge current strategies for regulating and validating AI devices for medicine and will shift practices associated with the collection of large medical datasets. This review discusses generalist medical artificial intelligence, identifying potential applications and setting out specific technical capabilities and training datasets necessary to enable them, as well as highlighting challenges to its implementation.


The promise--and pitfalls--of medical AI headed our way

#artificialintelligence

A patient is lying on the operating table as the surgical team reaches an impasse. They can't find the intestinal rupture. A surgeon asks aloud, "Check whether we missed a view of any intestinal section in the visual feed of the last 15 minutes." An artificial intelligence medical assistant gets to work reviewing the patient's past scans and highlighting video streams of the procedure in real time. It alerts the team when they've skipped a step in the procedure and reads out relevant medical literature when surgeons encounter a rare anatomical phenomenon.

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  Industry: Health & Medicine > Surgery (0.55)