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Leveraging Large Language Models for Automated Causal Loop Diagram Generation: Enhancing System Dynamics Modeling through Curated Prompting Techniques

Liu, Ning-Yuan Georgia, Keith, David R.

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

T ransforming a dynamic hypothesis into a causal loop diagram (CLD) is crucial for System Dynamics Modelling. Extracting key variables and causal relationships from text to build a CLD is often challenging and time - consuming for novice modelers, limiting SD tool adoption. This paper introduces and tests a method for automating the translation of dynamic hypotheses into CLDs using large language models (LLMs) with curated prompting techniques. We first describe how LLMs work and how they can make the inferences needed to build CLDs using a standard digraph structure. Next, we develop a set of simple dynamic hypothe ses and corresponding CLDs from leading SD textbooks. We then compare the four different combinations of prompting technique s, evaluating their performance against CLD s labeled by expert modelers . Results show that for simple model structures and using curated prompting techniques, LLMs can generate CLDs of a similar quality to expert - built ones, accelerating CLD creation.


MEADOW: Memory-efficient Dataflow and Data Packing for Low Power Edge LLMs

Moitra, Abhishek, Ghosh, Arkapravo, Agarwal, Shrey, Amarnath, Aporva, Swaminathan, Karthik, Panda, Priyadarshini

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The computational and memory challenges of large language models (LLMs) have sparked several optimization approaches towards their efficient implementation. While prior LLM-targeted quantization, and prior works on sparse acceleration have significantly mitigated the memory and computation bottleneck, they do so assuming high power platforms such as GPUs and server-class FPGAs with large off-chip memory bandwidths and employ a generalized matrix multiplication (GEMM) execution of all the layers in the decoder. In such a GEMM-based execution, data is fetched from an off-chip memory, computed and stored back. However, at reduced off-chip memory capacities, as is the case with low-power edge devices, this implementation strategy significantly increases the attention computation latency owing to the repeated storage and fetch of large intermediate tokens to and from the off-chip memory. Moreover, fetching the weight matrices from a bandwidth constrained memory further aggravates the memory bottleneck problem. To this end, we introduce MEADOW, a framework that significantly reduces the off-chip memory access for LLMs with a novel token-parallel head-sequential (TPHS) dataflow. Additionally, MEADOW applies weight packing that performs loss-less decomposition of large weight matrices to their unique elements thereby, reducing the enormous weight fetch latency. MEADOW demonstrates 1.5x and 2.5x lower decode and prefill latency, respectively, compared to a GEMM-based LLM implementation on the low power Xilinx ZCU102 FPGA platform that consumes less than 10W. Additionally, MEADOW achieves an end-to-end latency improvement of over 40%, compared to prior LLM optimization works.


BD-SAT: High-resolution Land Use Land Cover Dataset & Benchmark Results for Developing Division: Dhaka, BD

Paul, Ovi, Nayem, Abu Bakar Siddik, Sarker, Anis, Ali, Amin Ahsan, Amin, M Ashraful, Rahman, AKM Mahbubur

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Land Use Land Cover (LULC) analysis on satellite images using deep learning-based methods is significantly helpful in understanding the geography, socio-economic conditions, poverty levels, and urban sprawl in developing countries. Recent works involve segmentation with LULC classes such as farmland, built-up areas, forests, meadows, water bodies, etc. Training deep learning methods on satellite images requires large sets of images annotated with LULC classes. However, annotated data for developing countries are scarce due to a lack of funding, absence of dedicated residential/industrial/economic zones, a large population, and diverse building materials. BD-SAT provides a high-resolution dataset that includes pixel-by-pixel LULC annotations for Dhaka metropolitan city and surrounding rural/urban areas. Using a strict and standardized procedure, the ground truth is created using Bing satellite imagery with a ground spatial distance of 2.22 meters per pixel. A three-stage, well-defined annotation process has been followed with support from GIS experts to ensure the reliability of the annotations. We performed several experiments to establish benchmark results. The results show that the annotated BD-SAT is sufficient to train large deep learning models with adequate accuracy for five major LULC classes: forest, farmland, built-up areas, water bodies, and meadows.


Yes, beavers can help stop wildfires. And more places in California are embracing them

Los Angeles Times

A vast burn scar unfolds in drone footage of a landscape seared by massive wildfires north of Lake Tahoe. But amid the expanses of torched trees and gray soil, an unburnt island of lush green emerges. The patch of greenery was painstakingly engineered. A creek had been dammed, creating ponds that slowed the flow of water so the surrounding earth had more time to sop it up. A weblike system of canals helped spread that moisture through the floodplain.


Machine Learning Reveals Large-scale Impact of Posidonia Oceanica on Mediterranean Sea Water

Trois, Celio, Del Fabro, Luciana Didonet, Baulin, Vladimir A.

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Posidonia oceanica is a protected endemic seagrass of Mediterranean sea that fosters biodiversity, stores carbon, releases oxygen, and provides habitat to numerous sea organisms. Leveraging augmented research, we collected a comprehensive dataset of 174 features compiled from diverse data sources. Through machine learning analysis, we discovered the existence of a robust correlation between the exact location of P. oceanica and water biogeochemical properties. The model's feature importance, showed that carbon-related variables as net biomass production and downward surface mass flux of carbon dioxide have their values altered in the areas with P. oceanica, which in turn can be used for indirect location of P. oceanica meadows. The study provides the evidence of the plant's ability to exert a global impact on the environment and underscores the crucial role of this plant in sea ecosystems, emphasizing the need for its conservation and management.


AI 'kill switch' will make humanity less safe, could spawn 'hostile' superintelligence: AI Foundation

FOX News

CEO Rob Meadows and co-founder Lars Buttler discuss the benefits and concerns surrounding artificial intelligence. Executives behind the American artificial intelligence (AI) company AI Foundation are cautioning against implementing kill switches in machine systems, arguing that such a move could increase the chances of a superintelligence that is hostile toward human civilization. According to a new Yale CEO Summit survey, 42% of polled CEOs agreed that AI could potentially end humanity within five to ten years. In citing the study, AI Foundation CMO and Chair Lars Buttler said the debate around AI needs to be elevated and suggested that people react emotionally to the new technology because of a lack of understanding about what is happening behind the scenes. However, both Buttler and CEO Rob Meadows warned of several concerns surrounding the advancement of AI and the possible creation of an artificial general intelligence (AGI) capable of reasoning and decision-making equal to or beyond that of a human. "With AI, you will always have this accidental danger, these accidental problems, you know?


Improving Approaches to Mapping Seagrass within the Great Barrier Reef: From Field to Spaceborne Earth Observation

#artificialintelligence

Seagrass meadows are a key ecosystem of the Great Barrier Reef World Heritage Area, providing one of the natural heritage attributes underpinning the reef’s outstanding universal value. We reviewed approaches employed to date to create maps of seagrass meadows in the optically complex waters of the Great Barrier Reef and explored enhanced mapping approaches with a focus on emerging technologies, and key considerations for future mapping. Our review showed that field-based mapping of seagrass has traditionally been the most common approach in the GBRWHA, with few attempts to adopt remote sensing approaches and emerging technologies. Using a series of case studies to harness the power of machine- and deep-learning, we mapped seagrass cover with PlanetScope and UAV-captured imagery in a variety of settings. Using a machine-learning pixel-based classification coupled with a bootstrapping process, we were able to significantly improve maps of seagrass, particularly in low cover, fragmented and complex habitats. We also used deep-learning models to derive enhanced maps from UAV imagery. Combined, these lessons and emerging technologies show that more accurate and efficient seagrass mapping approaches are possible, producing maps of higher confidence for users and enabling the upscaling of seagrass mapping into the future.


Every Single Way You Can Tell Trump World Is Lying About Its Latest COVID Scandal

Slate

Donald Trump and his former White House chief of staff Mark Meadows are peddling a new story about the ex-president's coronavirus infection. Their first story was that Trump didn't test positive until Oct. 1, 2020, two days after he debated Joe Biden. Then Meadows admitted in his new book, The Chief's Chief, that Trump actually tested positive on Sept. 26, three days before the debate. That admission was problematic, since Trump never informed Biden--or hundreds of other unwitting people who interacted closely with the maskless president in the intervening five days--about the test result. So now Trump and Meadows have concocted yet another story: The Sept. 26 result was a "false positive."


Deepak Chopra made a digital clone of himself, and other celebs could soon follow

#artificialintelligence

I'm sitting down on a sofa, talking to what looks like a Facetime with Deepak Chopra on a phone. It's an animated, sometimes realistic, talking head. He asks me how I feel. I end up discussing work stress. For a few minutes, I'm having a little session with a Deepak that doesn't exist. A few weeks later, I'm talking to actual Deepak Chopra on the phone about what I experienced.


IBM using AI to help prevent Australia's beaches from washing away ZDNet

#artificialintelligence

Australia is home to more than 10,000 beaches, ranging from a few dozen metres to hundreds of kilometres long. But increasingly, these beaches are slowly disappearing before our eyes. "Beaches across Australia are eroding, simply because waves come in pull sand away -- and big storm surges pull more sand away," IBM Systems Data Scientist Dr Adam Makarucha told the Gartner Application Architecture, Development, and Integration Summit in Sydney. While the likes of Gold Coast Council have invested AU$14 million into rehabilitation projects -- such as one for a 12km stretch of beach, equating to more than a million dollars per kilometre -- Makarucha said prevention is more viable than rehabilitation. Makarucha said the best way to prevent beach erosion is to look to a natural defence, such as seagrass.