GCube has launched a new data-powered insurance offering to support the growth of the renewable energy industry, with support from Clire, a company dedicated to maximizing project returns from renewable energy assets. The offering will leverage AI-led analytics and data sets to offer enhanced terms and reduced premiums for wind and solar operating companies. By having Clir onboard a wind portfolio's data set onto its platform, GCube will aim to uncover an asset's meteorological and operational loading, overall component health and reliability, and the impact of current operations and maintenance. These insights will give GCube clarity on its underwriting pricing, and offer more competitive terms where operating projects model with lower risk factors. "Insuring renewable energy has been a tumultuous process over the last decade," said Fraser McLachlan, Chief Executive Officer, GCube Insurance Inc. "Claims from equipment failure, natural catastrophe loss and contractor error have forced some underwriters to exit the market. To continue to offer insurance at sustainable rates for clients, we need to have deeper insights into the risk of failure and operational management of renewable energy equipment."

Due to the scarcity and often high acquisition cost of labelled data, machine learning methods that make effective use of large quantities of unlabelled data are being increasingly used. One such method is semi-supervised learning (SSL) where, in addition to labelled data, possibly large numbers of unlabelled observations are available at the time of the construction of the classification rule (classifier) to be used. Not surprisingly, semisupervised learning approaches have been gaining much attention in both the application oriented and the theoretical machine learning communities. However, theoretical analysis of SSL has so far been scarce. But last year, Ahfock and McLachlan (2020) provided an asymptotic basis on how to increase in certain situations the accuracy of the commonly used linear discriminant function formed from a partially classified sample as in SSL (Ahfock and McLachlan, 2020). The increase in accuracy can be of sufficient magnitude for this SSL-based classifier to have smaller error rate than that if it were formed from a completely classified sample.

Over the past few years, deep learning has risen to the foreground as a topic of massive interest, mainly as a result of successes obtained in solving large-scale image processing tasks. There are multiple challenging mathematical problems involved in applying deep learning: most deep learning methods require the solution of hard optimisation problems, and a good understanding of the tradeoff between computational effort, amount of data and model complexity is required to successfully design a deep learning approach for a given problem. A large amount of progress made in deep learning has been based on heuristic explorations, but there is a growing effort to mathematically understand the structure in existing deep learning methods and to systematically design new deep learning methods to preserve certain types of structure in deep learning. In this article, we review a number of these directions: some deep neural networks can be understood as discretisations of dynamical systems, neural networks can be designed to have desirable properties such as invertibility or group equivariance, and new algorithmic frameworks based on conformal Hamiltonian systems and Riemannian manifolds to solve the optimisation problems have been proposed. We conclude our review of each of these topics by discussing some open problems that we consider to be interesting directions for future research.

We consider the situation where the observed sample contains some observations whose class of origin is known (that is, they are classified with respect to the g underlying classes of interest), and where the remaining observations in the sample are unclassified (that is, their class labels are unknown). For class-conditional distributions taken to be known up to a vector of unknown parameters, the aim is to estimate the Bayes' rule of allocation for the allocation of subsequent unclassified observations. Estimation on the basis of both the classified and unclassified data can be undertaken in a straightforward manner by fitting a g-component mixture model by maximum likelihood (ML) via the EM algorithm in the situation where the observed data can be assumed to be an observed random sample from the adopted mixture distribution. This assumption applies if the missing-data mechanism is ignorable in the terminology pioneered by Rubin (1976). An initial likelihood approach was to use the so-called classification ML approach whereby the missing labels are taken to be parameters to be estimated along with the parameters of the class-conditional distributions. However, as it can lead to inconsistent estimates, the focus of attention switched to the mixture ML approach after the appearance of the EM algorithm (Dempster et al., 1977). Particular attention is given here to the asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of the Bayes' rule estimated from a partially classified sample. Lastly, we consider briefly some recent results in situations where the missing label pattern is non-ignorable for the purposes of ML estimation for the mixture model.

Robust clustering of high-dimensional data is an important topic because, in many practical situations, real data sets are heavy-tailed and/or asymmetric. Moreover, traditional model-based clustering often fails for high dimensional data due to the number of free covariance parameters. A parametrization of the component scale matrices for the mixture of generalized hyperbolic distributions is proposed by including a penalty term in the likelihood constraining the parameters resulting in a flexible model for high dimensional data and a meaningful interpretation. An analytically feasible EM algorithm is developed by placing a gamma-Lasso penalty constraining the concentration matrix. The proposed methodology is investigated through simulation studies and two real data sets.

Mixture-of-experts (MoE) models are a powerful paradigm for modeling of data arising from complex data generating processes (DGPs). In this article, we demonstrate how different MoE models can be constructed to approximate the underlying DGPs of arbitrary types of data. Due to the probabilistic nature of MoE models, we propose the maximum quasi-likelihood (MQL) estimator as a method for estimating MoE model parameters from data, and we provide conditions under which MQL estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal. The blockwise minorization-maximizatoin (blockwise-MM) algorithm framework is proposed as an all-purpose method for constructing algorithms for obtaining MQL estimators. An example derivation of a blockwise-MM algorithm is provided. We then present a method for constructing information criteria for estimating the number of components in MoE models and provide justification for the classic Bayesian information criterion (BIC). We explain how MoE models can be used to conduct classification, clustering, and regression and we illustrate these applications via a pair of worked examples.

Peter McLachlan says he's always excited when there's a new wave to catch on the tech front. "We saw the mobile wave coming a decade ago. When the storm hit around 2009 with the iPhone 3G announcement, we were already there with a product ready to go," says the chief product officer for Mobify, a mobile customer engagement solution provider in Vancouver. Fast forward a few years and Mobify is riding the AI wave. "AI is a really interesting wave," he says.

Mixture of Experts (MoE) is a popular framework in the fields of statistics and machine learning for modeling heterogeneity in data for regression, classification and clustering. MoE for continuous data are usually based on the normal distribution. However, it is known that for data with asymmetric behavior, heavy tails and atypical observations, the use of the normal distribution is unsuitable. We introduce a new robust non-normal mixture of experts modeling using the skew $t$ distribution. The proposed skew $t$ mixture of experts, named STMoE, handles these issues of the normal mixtures experts regarding possibly skewed, heavy-tailed and noisy data. We develop a dedicated expectation conditional maximization (ECM) algorithm to estimate the model parameters by monotonically maximizing the observed data log-likelihood. We describe how the presented model can be used in prediction and in model-based clustering of regression data. Numerical experiments carried out on simulated data show the effectiveness and the robustness of the proposed model in fitting non-linear regression functions as well as in model-based clustering. Then, the proposed model is applied to the real-world data of tone perception for musical data analysis, and the one of temperature anomalies for the analysis of climate change data. The obtained results confirm the usefulness of the model for practical data analysis applications.

MM (majorization--minimization) algorithms are an increasingly popular tool for solving optimization problems in machine learning and statistical estimation. This article introduces the MM algorithm framework in general and via three popular example applications: Gaussian mixture regressions, multinomial logistic regressions, and support vector machines. Specific algorithms for the three examples are derived and numerical demonstrations are presented. Theoretical and practical aspects of MM algorithm design are discussed.

Model-based clustering imposes a finite mixture modelling structure on data for clustering. Finite mixture models assume that the population is a convex combination of a finite number of densities, the distribution within each population is a basic assumption of each particular model. Among all distributions that have been tried, the generalized hyperbolic distribution has the advantage that is a generalization of several other methods, such as the Gaussian distribution, the skew t-distribution, etc. With specific parameters, it can represent either a symmetric or a skewed distribution. While its inherent flexibility is an advantage in many ways, it means the estimation of more parameters than its special and limiting cases. The aim of this work is to propose a mixture of generalized hyperbolic factor analyzers to introduce parsimony and extend the method to high dimensional data. This work can be seen as an extension of the mixture of factor analyzers model to generalized hyperbolic mixtures. The performance of our generalized hyperbolic factor analyzers is illustrated on real data, where it performs favourably compared to its Gaussian analogue.