marketsenseai
MarketSenseAI 2.0: Enhancing Stock Analysis through LLM Agents
Fatouros, George, Metaxas, Kostas, Soldatos, John, Karathanassis, Manos
MarketSenseAI is a novel framework for holistic stock analysis which leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to process financial news, historical prices, company fundamentals and the macroeconomic environment to support decision making in stock analysis and selection. In this paper, we present the latest advancements on MarketSenseAI, driven by rapid technological expansion in LLMs. Through a novel architecture combining Retrieval-Augmented Generation and LLM agents, the framework processes SEC filings and earnings calls, while enriching macroeconomic analysis through systematic processing of diverse institutional reports. We demonstrate a significant improvement in fundamental analysis accuracy over the previous version. Empirical evaluation on S\&P 100 stocks over two years (2023-2024) shows MarketSenseAI achieving cumulative returns of 125.9% compared to the index return of 73.5%, while maintaining comparable risk profiles. Further validation on S\&P 500 stocks during 2024 demonstrates the framework's scalability, delivering a 33.8% higher Sortino ratio than the market. This work marks a significant advancement in applying LLM technology to financial analysis, offering insights into the robustness of LLM-driven investment strategies.
- Financial News (1.00)
- Research Report > New Finding (0.46)
- Law (1.00)
- Banking & Finance > Trading (1.00)
- Banking & Finance > Economy (1.00)
- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (0.89)
Can Large Language Models Beat Wall Street? Unveiling the Potential of AI in Stock Selection
Fatouros, Georgios, Metaxas, Konstantinos, Soldatos, John, Kyriazis, Dimosthenis
In the dynamic and data-driven landscape of financial markets, this paper introduces MarketSenseAI, a novel AI-driven framework leveraging the advanced reasoning capabilities of GPT-4 for scalable stock selection. MarketSenseAI incorporates Chain of Thought and In-Context Learning methodologies to analyze a wide array of data sources, including market price dynamics, financial news, company fundamentals, and macroeconomic reports emulating the decision making process of prominent financial investment teams. The development, implementation, and empirical validation of MarketSenseAI are detailed, with a focus on its ability to provide actionable investment signals (buy, hold, sell) backed by cogent explanations. A notable aspect of this study is the use of GPT-4 not only as a predictive tool but also as an evaluator, revealing the significant impact of the AI-generated explanations on the reliability and acceptance of the suggested investment signals. In an extensive empirical evaluation with S&P 100 stocks, MarketSenseAI outperformed the benchmark index by 13%, achieving returns up to 40%, while maintaining a risk profile comparable to the market. These results demonstrate the efficacy of Large Language Models in complex financial decision-making and mark a significant advancement in the integration of AI into financial analysis and investment strategies. This research contributes to the financial AI field, presenting an innovative approach and underscoring the transformative potential of AI in revolutionizing traditional financial analysis investment methodologies.
- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.40)
- Asia > Japan (0.14)
- Asia > China (0.14)
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- Research Report > New Finding (0.48)
- Overview > Innovation (0.34)
- Banking & Finance > Trading (1.00)
- Banking & Finance > Financial Services (1.00)