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Function-Valued Causal Influence in Nonlinear Time Series
Kuskova, Valentina V., Zaytsev, Dmitry, Coppedge, Michael
Causal discovery in time series is increasingly performed using nonlinear machine-learning models, yet the resulting causal relationships are almost always summarized by scalar edge scores. We argue that this practice obscures the true object learned by nonlinear autoregressive models: a state-dependent function whose effect varies across regimes, magnitudes, and contexts. We formalize function-valued causal influence for additive, contribution-decomposable architectures and show that scalar causal scores constitute a severe information bottleneck, conflating between-state variation with within-state residual noise. Using Neural Additive Vector Autoregression as a representative architecture, we introduce a practical framework based on Individual Conditional Expectation for estimating causal response functions directly from trained models. Through controlled synthetic experiments, we demonstrate that edges with indistinguishable scalar scores can exhibit qualitatively different functional behaviors, including monotonic, thresholded, saturating, and sign-changing effects. An applied case study on democratic development further shows that function-valued analysis reveals regime-specific and asymmetric causal structure systematically missed by score-centric approaches.
How Data Augmentation Shapes Neural Representations
He, Tianxiao, Williams, Alex H., Harvey, Sarah E.
Data augmentation is widely recognized for improving generalization in deep networks, yet its impact on the geometry of learned representations remains poorly understood. In this work, we characterize how different data augmentation strategies reshape internal representations in neural networks. Using tools from shape analysis, we embed network hidden representations into a metric space where distance is invariant to scaling, translation, rotation and reflection. We show that increasing augmentation strength leads to well-behaved trajectories in this space, and that different augmentation types steer representations in distinct directions. Moreover, we investigate how neural representation shapes are distorted along data augmentation trajectories, and show that insights from neural geometry can predict which representations provide the most improvement when ensembling models. Our results reveal shared geometric patterns across architectures and seeds, and suggest that analyzing shape-space trajectories offers a principled tool for understanding and comparing data augmentation methods.
Simultaneous Monitoring of Shape and Surface Color via 4D Point Clouds: A Registration-free Approach
Patalano, Mariafrancesca, Capizzi, Giovanna, Paynabar, Kamran
Advanced manufacturing technologies allow for the production of intricate parts featuring high shape complexity and spatially-varying material composition. Data fusion of point clouds with chromatic attributes provides 4D point clouds, a compact and informative representation that encodes both shape and material information. In this paper, we present a registration-free framework for Simultaneous Monitoring of shApe and Color (SMAC) via 4D point clouds. The proposed framework leverages Laplace-Beltrami operator spectral properties to capture and monitor geometric features and the relationship between shape and surface color. A combined monitoring scheme is proposed to effectively detect shape deformations and color anomalies, along with a spatially-aware post-signal diagnostic procedure to determine the source of change and localize color anomalies. Importantly, neither component relies on registration or mesh reconstruction, eliminating error-prone and computationally expensive preprocessing steps. A Monte Carlo simulation study and a case study on functionally graded materials demonstrate that SMAC achieves effective detection performance, particularly for subtle defects, while providing diagnostic capabilities to identify the source and location of anomalies.
KANs need curvature: penalties for compositional smoothness
However, the activations of well-fitting KANs tend to exhibit pathologically high-curvature oscillations, making them difficult to interpret, and standard regularization penalties do not prevent this. Here we derive a basis-agnostic curvature penalty and show that penalized models can maintain accuracy while achieving substantially smoother activations. Accounting for how function composition shapes curvature, we prove an upper bound on the full model's curvature relative to the curvature penalty, and use this to motivate richer forms of penalties. Scientific machine learning is increasingly bottlenecked by the trade-off between accuracy and interpretability. Results such as ours that improve interpretability without sacrificing accuracy will further strengthen KANs as a practical tool for both prediction and insight.
Supplementary materials for Quantizable Transformers: Removing Outliers by Helping Attention Heads Do Nothing Anonymous Author(s) Affiliation Address email AAdditional graphs from outlier analysis1
Figure 1: A summary of several outlier statistics recorded from ImageNet validation set on ViT. We use zero-based indexing for dimensions. BERTRecall from Figure 1 that all the outliers are only present in hidden dimensions #123, #180,4 #225, #308, #381, #526, #720 (with the majority of them in #180, #720). In Figures 9 and 10 we show more6 examples of the discovered self-attention patterns for attention heads #3 and #12 ( hidden dim #1807 and #720, respectively). We also show self-attention patterns in attention heads and layers which are8 not associated with the outliers in Figures 11 and 12, respectively.9
Quantizable Transformers: Removing Outliers by Helping Attention Heads Do Nothing
Transformer models have been widely adopted in various domains over the last years, and especially large language models have advanced the field of AI significantly. Due to their size, the capability of these networks has increased tremendously, but this has come at the cost of a significant increase in necessary compute. Quantization is one of the most effective ways to reduce the computational time and memory consumption of neural networks. Many studies have shown, however, that modern transformer models tend to learn strong outliers in their activations, making them difficult to quantize. To retain acceptable performance, the existence of these outliers requires activations to be in higher bitwidth or the use of different numeric formats, extra fine-tuning, or other workarounds.
327af0f71f7acdfd882774225f04775f-Supplemental.pdf
We will now derive continuous dynamics (2) in the main paper. Let 1m = 1 if class 1 is selected at iteration mand 1m = 0 otherwise. Likewise, we can obtain the dynamics of X2j similarly. We will next prove the separation theorem in binary classification, Theorem 2.1. Given the feature vectors X1i(t), X2j(t) for i,j [n], as t and large n, 1. if α > β, they are asymptotically separable with probability tending to one, 2. if α β, they are asymptotically separable with probability tending to zero. This also aligns with our intuition that the intra-class effect should be stronger than its inter-class counterpart. On the other hand, when α>β, ignoring a null set we may assume c1 >c2 without loss of generality.