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Conditional neural control variates for variance reduction in Bayesian inverse problems
Bayesian inference for inverse problems involves computing expectations under posterior distributions -- e.g., posterior means, variances, or predictive quantities -- typically via Monte Carlo (MC) estimation. When the quantity of interest varies significantly under the posterior, accurate estimates demand many samples -- a cost often prohibitive for partial differential equation-constrained problems. To address this challenge, we introduce conditional neural control variates, a modular method that learns amortized control variates from joint model-data samples to reduce the variance of MC estimators. To scale to high-dimensional problems, we leverage Stein's identity to design an architecture based on an ensemble of hierarchical coupling layers with tractable Jacobian trace computation. Training requires: (i) samples from the joint distribution of unknown parameters and observed data; and (ii) the posterior score function, which can be computed from physics-based likelihood evaluations, neural operator surrogates, or learned generative models such as conditional normalizing flows. Once trained, the control variates generalize across observations without retraining. We validate our approach on stylized and partial differential equation-constrained Darcy flow inverse problems, demonstrating substantial variance reduction, even when the analytical score is replaced by a learned surrogate.
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AuxiliaryTaskReweightingfor Minimum-dataLearning
Supervised learning requires a large amount of training data, limiting its application where labeled data is scarce. To compensate for data scarcity, one possible method is to utilize auxiliary tasks to provide additional supervision for the main task. Assigning and optimizing the importance weights for different auxiliary tasks remains an crucial and largely understudied research question. In this work, we propose a method to automatically reweight auxiliary tasks in order to reduce the data requirement on the main task. Specifically, we formulate the weighted likelihood function of auxiliary tasks as a surrogate prior for the main task. By adjusting the auxiliary task weights to minimize the divergence between the surrogate prior and the true prior ofthe main task, we obtain amore accurate prior estimation, achieving the goal of minimizing the required amount of training data for the main task and avoiding a costly grid search.
SupplementaryMaterials
We first prove the direction Z T SI(Z;T) = 0, which is equivalent to prove I(Z;T) = 0 SI(Z;T) = 0. We prove the contrapositive, i.e. rather than show LHS = RHS, we show that RHS = LHS. Now assume that supwi,vj ρ(w i Z i,v j T j) > ϵ for some i,j. Then by setting those elements in w,v unrelated to Z i,T j to zero, and those related to Z i,T j exactlythesameaswi,vj,weknowthatsupw,vρ(w Z,v T) > ϵ. All neural networks are trained by Adam with its default settings and a learning rate η = 0.001. Early stopping is an useful technique for avoiding overfitting, however it needs to be carefully considered when applied to adversarial methods.
Discovering Preference Optimization Algorithms with and for Large Language Models Chris Lu
Typically, preference optimization is approached as an offline supervised learning task using manually crafted convex loss functions. While these methods are based on theoretical insights, they are inherently constrained by human creativity, so the large search space of possible loss functions remains under-explored.
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