life expectancy
Towards a Relationship-Aware Transformer for Tabular Data
Konstantinov, Andrei V., Zuev, Valerii A., Utkin, Lev V.
Deep learning models for tabular data typically do not allow for imposing a graph of external dependencies between samples, which can be useful for accounting for relatedness in tasks such as treatment effect estimation. Graph neural networks only consider adjacent nodes, making them difficult to apply to sparse graphs. This paper proposes several solutions based on a modified attention mechanism, which accounts for possible relationships between data points by adding a term to the attention matrix. Our models are compared with each other and the gradient boosting decision trees in a regression task on synthetic and real-world datasets, as well as in a treatment effect estimation task on the IHDP dataset.
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- Health & Medicine > Therapeutic Area > Infections and Infectious Diseases (1.00)
- Health & Medicine > Therapeutic Area > Immunology (1.00)
- Health & Medicine > Epidemiology (0.68)
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Interpretable Machine Learning for Life Expectancy Prediction: A Comparative Study of Linear Regression, Decision Tree, and Random Forest
Dolgopolyi, Roman, Amaslidou, Ioanna, Margaritou, Agrippina
Life expectancy is a fundamental indicator of population health and socio-economic well-being, yet accurately forecasting it remains challenging due to the interplay of demographic, environmental, and healthcare factors. Thi s study evaluates three machine learning models--Linear Regression (LR), Regression Decision Tree (RDT), and Random Forest (RF), using a real -world da-taset drawn from World Health Organization (WHO) and United N ations (UN) sources. After extensive preprocessing to address missing v alues and inconsistencies, each model's performance was assessed with R, Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). Results show tha t RF achieves the highest predictive accuracy (R = 0.9423), significantly outperforming LR and RDT. Interpretability was prioritized through p -values for LR and feature - importance metrics for the tree -based models, revealing immunization rates (diphtheria, measles) and demographic attributes (HIV/AIDS, adult mortality) as critical drivers of life-expectancy predictions. These insights underscore the synergy between ensemble methods and transparency in addressing public -health challenges. Future research should explore advanced imputation strategies, alternative algorithms (e.g., neural networks), and updated data to further refine predictive accuracy and support evidence-based policymaking in global health contexts.
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Gradient Boosting for Spatial Regression Models with Autoregressive Disturbances
Researchers in urban and regional studies increasingly deal with spatial data that reflects geographic location and spatial relationships. As a framework for dealing with the unique nature of spatial data, various spatial regression models have been introduced. In this article, a novel model-based gradient boosting algorithm for spatial regression models with autoregressive disturbances is proposed. Due to the modular nature, the approach provides an alternative estimation procedure which is feasible even in high-dimensional settings where established quasi-maximum likelihood or generalized method of moments estimators do not yield unique solutions. The approach additionally enables data-driven variable and model selection in low- as well as high-dimensional settings. Since the bias-variance trade-off is also controlled in the algorithm, implicit regularization is imposed which improves prediction accuracy on out-of-sample spatial data. Detailed simulation studies regarding the performance of estimation, prediction and variable selection in low- and high-dimensional settings confirm proper functionality of the proposed methodology. To illustrative the functionality of the model-based gradient boosting algorithm, a case study is presented where the life expectancy in German districts is modeled incorporating a potential spatial dependence structure.
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Futurist who predicted the iPhone reveals date humans will cheat death
A leading futurist who accurately predicted the rise of the iPhone has now set the date for humanity's most phenomenal breakthrough yet, the ability to cheat death. Ray Kurzweil, a former Google engineering director, has long been known for his bold predictions about the future of technology and humanity. His forecasts often focus on the convergence of biotech, AI, and nanotechnology to radically extend human capabilities. Now, Kurzweil claims humanity is just four years away from its most transformative leap yet, achieving'longevity escape velocity' by 2029. While some experts remain skeptical, Kurzweil's influence in Silicon Valley ensures his predictions continue to shape the broader conversation around life extension and the future of human health.
- Health & Medicine > Therapeutic Area > Immunology (1.00)
- Health & Medicine > Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology (1.00)
ExplainReduce: Summarising local explanations via proxies
Seppäläinen, Lauri, Guo, Mudong, Puolamäki, Kai
Most commonly used non-linear machine learning methods are closed-box models, uninterpretable to humans. The field of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) aims to develop tools to examine the inner workings of these closed boxes. An often-used model-agnostic approach to XAI involves using simple models as local approximations to produce so-called local explanations; examples of this approach include LIME, SHAP, and SLISEMAP. This paper shows how a large set of local explanations can be reduced to a small "proxy set" of simple models, which can act as a generative global explanation. This reduction procedure, ExplainReduce, can be formulated as an optimisation problem and approximated efficiently using greedy heuristics.
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- Information Technology > Data Science > Data Mining (0.92)
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8 critical tips for extending your robot vacuum's life expectancy
Robot vacuums have become indispensable in our homes. From pet hair to daily dust, these devices keep floors clean with minimal hands-on help. But like any tool, a robot vacuum needs regular upkeep to keep running at peak performance--and to avoid early retirement. Fortunately, the steps to extending your vacuum's lifespan are simple, and many are directly recommended by manufacturers. Here's what you need to know to get the most out of your robo-cleaner.
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