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Block-Coordinate Methods and Restarting for Solving Extensive-Form Games

Neural Information Processing Systems

Coordinate descent methods are popular in machine learning and optimization for their simple sparse updates and excellent practical performance. In the context of large-scale sequential game solving, these same properties would be attractive, but until now no such methods were known, because the strategy spaces do not satisfy the typical separable block structure exploited by such methods. We present the first cyclic coordinate-descent-like method for the polytope of sequence-form strategies, which form the strategy spaces for the players in an extensive-form game (EFG). Our method exploits the recursive structure of the proximal update induced by what are known as dilated regularizers, in order to allow for a pseudo block-wise update. We show that our method enjoys a O(1/T)convergence rate to a two-player zero-sum Nash equilibrium, while avoiding the worst-case polynomial scaling with the number of blocks common to cyclic methods. We empirically show that our algorithm usually performs better than other state-of-the-art first-order methods (i.e., mirror prox), and occasionally can even beat CFR+, a state-ofthe-art algorithm for numerical equilibrium computation in zero-sum EFGs. We then introduce a restarting heuristic for EFG solving. We show empirically that restarting can lead to speedups, sometimes huge, both for our cyclic method, as well as for existing methods such as mirror prox and predictive CFR+.


Outbidding and Outbluffing Elite Humans: Mastering Liar's Poker via Self-Play and Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

AI researchers have long focused on poker-like games as a testbed for environments characterized by multi-player dynamics, imperfect information, and reasoning under uncertainty. While recent breakthroughs have matched elite human play at no-limit Texas hold'em, the multi-player dynamics are subdued: most hands converge quickly with only two players engaged through multiple rounds of bidding. In this paper, we present Solly, the first AI agent to achieve elite human play in reduced-format Liar's Poker, a game characterized by extensive multi-player engagement. We trained Solly using self-play with a model-free, actor-critic, deep reinforcement learning algorithm. Solly played at an elite human level as measured by win rate (won over 50% of hands) and equity (money won) in heads-up and multi-player Liar's Poker. Solly also outperformed large language models (LLMs), including those with reasoning abilities, on the same metrics. Solly developed novel bidding strategies, randomized play effectively, and was not easily exploitable by world-class human players.


XAutoLM: Efficient Fine-Tuning of Language Models via Meta-Learning and AutoML

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Experts in machine learning leverage domain knowledge to navigate decisions in model selection, hyperparameter optimization, and resource allocation. This is particularly critical for fine-tuning language models (LMs), where repeated trials incur substantial computational overhead and environmental impact. However, no existing automated framework simultaneously tackles the entire model selection and hyperparameter optimization (HPO) task for resource-efficient LM fine-tuning. We introduce XAutoLM, a meta-learning-augmented AutoML framework that reuses past experiences to optimize discriminative and generative LM fine-tuning pipelines efficiently. XAutoLM learns from stored successes and failures by extracting task- and system-level meta-features to bias its sampling toward valuable configurations and away from costly dead ends. On four text classification and two question-answering benchmarks, XAutoLM surpasses zero-shot optimizer's peak F1 on five of six tasks, cuts mean evaluation time of pipelines by up to 4.5x, reduces search error ratios by up to sevenfold, and uncovers up to 50% more pipelines above the zero-shot Pareto front. In contrast, simpler memory-based baselines suffer negative transfer. We release XAutoLM and our experience store to catalyze resource-efficient, Green AI fine-tuning in the NLP community.


TactfulToM: Do LLMs Have the Theory of Mind Ability to Understand White Lies?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

While recent studies explore Large Language Models' (LLMs) performance on Theory of Mind (ToM) reasoning tasks, research on ToM abilities that require more nuanced social context is limited, such as white lies. We introduce TactfulToM, a novel English benchmark designed to evaluate LLMs' ability to understand white lies within real-life conversations and reason about prosocial motivations behind them, particularly when they are used to spare others' feelings and maintain social harmony. Our benchmark is generated through a multi-stage human-in-the-loop pipeline where LLMs expand manually designed seed stories into conversations to maintain the information asymmetry between participants necessary for authentic white lies. We show that TactfulToM is challenging for state-of-the-art models, which perform substantially below humans, revealing shortcomings in their ability to fully comprehend the ToM reasoning that enables true understanding of white lies.


Musk threatens Apple and calls OpenAI boss a liar as feud deepens

BBC News

The feud between Musk and Altman has, over time, encompassed a slew of lawsuits, email dumps and social media digs. Their rivalry can be traced back a decade, with Musk's now public belief that OpenAI, under Altman's leadership, abandoned the principles he and others used to found it in 2015. The firm was created with the intention of building artificial general intelligence (AGI) - AI that can perform any task that a human being is capable of - but by making its technology open-source and promising to "benefit humanity". OpenAI was also set up as a not-for-profit company, meaning it would not aim to make money, but in 2019 it established a for-profit arm which Musk felt was antithetical to its original mission. Musk argued in his March 2024 lawsuit that the firm had instead been focusing on "maximising profits" for its major investor Microsoft.


Asynchronous Predictive Counterfactual Regret Minimization$^+$ Algorithm in Solving Extensive-Form Games

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Counterfactual Regret Minimization (CFR) algorithms are widely used to compute a Nash equilibrium (NE) in two-player zero-sum imperfect-information extensive-form games (IIGs). Among them, Predictive CFR$^+$ (PCFR$^+$) is particularly powerful, achieving an exceptionally fast empirical convergence rate via the prediction in many games. However, the empirical convergence rate of PCFR$^+$ would significantly degrade if the prediction is inaccurate, leading to unstable performance on certain IIGs. To enhance the robustness of PCFR$^+$, we propose a novel variant, Asynchronous PCFR$^+$ (APCFR$^+$), which employs an adaptive asynchronization of step-sizes between the updates of implicit and explicit accumulated counterfactual regrets to mitigate the impact of the prediction inaccuracy on convergence. We present a theoretical analysis demonstrating why APCFR$^+$ can enhance the robustness. Finally, we propose a simplified version of APCFR$^+$ called Simple APCFR$^+$ (SAPCFR$^+$), which uses a fixed asynchronization of step-sizes to simplify the implementation that only needs a single-line modification of the original PCFR+. Interestingly, SAPCFR$^+$ achieves a constant-factor lower theoretical regret bound than PCFR$^+$ in the worst case. Experimental results demonstrate that (i) both APCFR$^+$ and SAPCFR$^+$ outperform PCFR$^+$ in most of the tested games, as well as (ii) SAPCFR$^+$ achieves a comparable empirical convergence rate with APCFR$^+$.


Human Misuse Will Make Artificial Intelligence More Dangerous

WIRED

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman expects AGI, or artificial general intelligence--AI that outperforms humans at most tasks--around 2027 or 2028. Elon Musk's prediction is either 2025 or 2026, and he has claimed that he was "losing sleep over the threat of AI danger." As the limitations of current AI become increasingly clear, most AI researchers have come to the view that simply building bigger and more powerful chatbots won't lead to AGI. This story is from the WIRED World in 2025, our annual trends briefing. However, in 2025, AI will still pose a massive risk: not from artificial superintelligence, but from human misuse.


LIAR: Leveraging Alignment (Best-of-N) to Jailbreak LLMs in Seconds

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Many existing jailbreak techniques rely on solving discrete combinatorial optimization, while more recent approaches involve training LLMs to generate multiple adversarial prompts. However, both approaches require significant computational resources to produce even a single adversarial prompt. We hypothesize that the inefficiency of current approaches stems from an inadequate characterization of the jailbreak problem. To address this gap, we formulate the jailbreak problem in terms of alignment. By starting from an available safety-aligned model, we leverage an unsafe reward to guide the safe model towards generating unsafe outputs using alignment techniques (e.g., reinforcement learning from human feedback), effectively performing jailbreaking via alignment. We propose a novel jailbreak method called LIAR (LeveragIng Alignment to jailbReak). To demonstrate the simplicity and effectiveness of our approach, we employ a best-of-N method to solve the alignment problem. LIAR offers significant advantages: lower computational requirements without additional training, fully black-box operation, competitive attack success rates, and more human-readable prompts. We provide theoretical insights into the possibility of jailbreaking a safety-aligned model, revealing inherent vulnerabilities in current alignment strategies for LLMs. We also provide sub-optimality guarantees for the proposed \algo. Experimentally, we achieve ASR comparable to the SoTA with a 10x improvement to perplexity and a Time-to-Attack measured in seconds rather than tens of hours.


Welcome to the Era of 'Deep Doubt'

WIRED

Given the flood of photorealistic AI-generated images washing over social media networks like X and Facebook these days, we're seemingly entering a new age of media skepticism: the era of what I'm calling "deep doubt." While questioning the authenticity of digital content stretches back decades--and analog media long before that--easy access to tools that generate convincing fake content has led to a new wave of liars using AI-generated scenes to deny real documentary evidence. Along the way, people's existing skepticism toward online content from strangers may be reaching new heights. Deep doubt is skepticism of real media that stems from the existence of generative AI. This manifests as broad public skepticism toward the veracity of media artifacts, which in turn leads to a notable consequence: People can now more credibly claim that real events did not happen and suggest that documentary evidence was fabricated using AI tools. The concept behind "deep doubt" isn't new, but its real-world impact is becoming increasingly apparent.


Reconstruct the Pruned Model without Any Retraining

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Structured pruning is a promising hardware-friendly compression technique for large language models (LLMs), which is expected to be retraining-free to avoid the enormous retraining cost. This retraining-free paradigm involves (i) pruning criteria to define the architecture and (ii) distortion reconstruction to restore performance. However, existing methods often emphasize pruning criteria while using reconstruction techniques that are specific to certain modules or criteria, resulting in limited generalizability. To address this, we introduce the Linear Interpolation-based Adaptive Reconstruction (LIAR) framework, which is both efficient and effective. LIAR does not require back-propagation or retraining and is compatible with various pruning criteria and modules. By applying linear interpolation to the preserved weights, LIAR minimizes reconstruction error and effectively reconstructs the pruned output. Our evaluations on benchmarks such as GLUE, SQuAD, WikiText, and common sense reasoning show that LIAR enables a BERT model to maintain 98% accuracy even after removing 50% of its parameters and achieves top performance for LLaMA in just a few minutes.