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RL for Latent MDPs: Regret Guarantees and a Lower Bound

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this work, we consider the regret minimization problem for reinforcement learning in latent Markov Decision Processes (LMDP). In an LMDP, an MDP is randomly drawn from a set of $M$ possible MDPs at the beginning of the interaction, but the identity of the chosen MDP is not revealed to the agent. We first show that a general instance of LMDPs requires at least $\Omega((SA)^M)$ episodes to even approximate the optimal policy. Then, we consider sufficient assumptions under which learning good policies requires polynomial number of episodes. We show that the key link is a notion of separation between the MDP system dynamics. With sufficient separation, we provide an efficient algorithm with local guarantee, {\it i.e.,} providing a sublinear regret guarantee when we are given a good initialization. Finally, if we are given standard statistical sufficiency assumptions common in the Predictive State Representation (PSR) literature (e.g., \cite{boots2011online}) and a reachability assumption, we show that the need for initialization can be removed.


RL in Latent MDPs is Tractable: Online Guarantees via Off-Policy Evaluation

Neural Information Processing Systems

In many real-world decision problems there is partially observed, hidden or latent information that remains fixed throughout an interaction. Such decision problems can be modeled as Latent Markov Decision Processes (LMDPs), where a latent variable is selected at the beginning of an interaction and is not disclosed to the agent initially. In last decade, there has been significant progress in designing learning algorithms for solving LMDPs under different structural assumptions. However, for general LMDPs, there is no known learning algorithm that provably matches the existing lower bound. We effectively resolve this open question, introducing the first sample-efficient algorithm for LMDPs without any additional structural assumptions.


RL for Latent MDPs: Regret Guarantees and a Lower Bound

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this work, we consider the regret minimization problem for reinforcement learning in latent Markov Decision Processes (LMDP). In an LMDP, an MDP is randomly drawn from a set of M possible MDPs at the beginning of the interaction, but the identity of the chosen MDP is not revealed to the agent. We first show that a general instance of LMDPs requires at least \Omega((SA) M) episodes to even approximate the optimal policy. Then, we consider sufficient assumptions under which learning good policies requires polynomial number of episodes. We show that the key link is a notion of separation between the MDP system dynamics.


Prospective Side Information for Latent MDPs

Kwon, Jeongyeol, Efroni, Yonathan, Mannor, Shie, Caramanis, Constantine

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In many interactive decision-making settings, there is latent and unobserved information that remains fixed. Consider, for example, a dialogue system, where complete information about a user, such as the user's preferences, is not given. In such an environment, the latent information remains fixed throughout each episode, since the identity of the user does not change during an interaction. This type of environment can be modeled as a Latent Markov Decision Process (LMDP), a special instance of Partially Observed Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs). Previous work established exponential lower bounds in the number of latent contexts for the LMDP class. This puts forward a question: under which natural assumptions a near-optimal policy of an LMDP can be efficiently learned? In this work, we study the class of LMDPs with {\em prospective side information}, when an agent receives additional, weakly revealing, information on the latent context at the beginning of each episode. We show that, surprisingly, this problem is not captured by contemporary settings and algorithms designed for partially observed environments. We then establish that any sample efficient algorithm must suffer at least $\Omega(K^{2/3})$-regret, as opposed to standard $\Omega(\sqrt{K})$ lower bounds, and design an algorithm with a matching upper bound.


Bayes-CPACE: PAC Optimal Exploration in Continuous Space Bayes-Adaptive Markov Decision Processes

Lee, Gilwoo, Choudhury, Sanjiban, Hou, Brian, Srinivasa, Siddhartha S.

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present the first PAC optimal algorithm for Bayes-Adaptive Markov Decision Processes (BAMDPs) in continuous state and action spaces, to the best of our knowledge. The BAMDP framework elegantly addresses model uncertainty by incorporating Bayesian belief updates into long-term expected return. However, computing an exact optimal Bayesian policy is intractable. Our key insight is to compute a near-optimal value function by covering the continuous state-belief-action space with a finite set of representative samples and exploiting the Lipschitz continuity of the value function. We prove the near-optimality of our algorithm and analyze a number of schemes that boost the algorithm's efficiency. Finally, we empirically validate our approach on a number of discrete and continuous BAMDPs and show that the learned policy has consistently competitive performance against baseline approaches.