Uncertainty quantification in Large Language Models (LLMs) is crucial for applications where safety and reliability are important. In particular, uncertainty can be used to improve the trustworthiness of LLMs by detecting factually incorrect model responses, commonly called hallucinations. Critically, one should seek to capture the model's semantic uncertainty, i.e., the uncertainty over the meanings of LLM outputs, rather than uncertainty over lexical or syntactic variations that do not affect answer correctness. To address this problem, we propose Kernel Language Entropy (KLE), a novel method for uncertainty estimation in white- and black-box LLMs. KLE defines positive semidefinite unit trace kernels to encode the semantic similarities of LLM outputs and quantifies uncertainty using the von Neumann entropy. It considers pairwise semantic dependencies between answers (or semantic clusters), providing more fine-grained uncertainty estimates than previous methods based on hard clustering of answers. We theoretically prove that KLE generalizes the previous state-of-the-art method called semantic entropy and empirically demonstrate that it improves uncertainty quantification performance across multiple natural language generation datasets and LLM architectures.

Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) methods learn a policy by iteratively performing multiple mini-batch optimization epochs of a surrogate objective with one set of sampled data. Ratio clipping PPO is a popular variant that clips the probability ratios between the target policy and the policy used to collect samples. Ratio clipping yields a pessimistic estimate of the original surrogate objective, and has been shown to be crucial for strong performance. We show in this paper that such ratio clipping may not be a good option as it can fail to effectively bound the ratios. Instead, one can directly optimize the original surrogate objective for multiple epochs; the key is to find a proper condition to early stop the optimization epoch in each iteration. Our theoretical analysis sheds light on how to determine when to stop the optimization epoch, and call the resulting algorithm Early Stopping Policy Optimization (ESPO). We compare ESPO with PPO across many continuous control tasks and show that ESPO significantly outperforms PPO. Furthermore, we show that ESPO can be easily scaled up to distributed training with many workers, delivering strong performance as well.