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Fast Spawn\&Prune (FS\&P): Global convergence of stochastic conic particle gradient descent via birth/death process

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We investigate the global optimization of the objective function arising in continuous sparse regression, specifically the Beurling LASSO (BLASSO), over the space of measures. While Conic Particle Gradient Descent (CPGD) methods are computationally efficient, they may become trapped in local minima due to the non-convexity of the parameterization. To overcome this limitation, we introduce Fast Spawn\&Prune (FS\&P), a stochastic algorithm that extends FastPart introduced in De Castro et al. (2025) and combines CPGD with a birth-death process. The birth mechanism ensures asymptotic global exploration by introducing particles in regions where first-order optimality conditions are violated, while the death process preserves computational efficiency by pruning non-informative particles. We provide the first theoretical guarantee of global convergence for this class of discrete-time stochastic algorithms, without requiring exponentially large initializations. Furthermore, we derive explicit convergence rates for the excess risk, which scale as $\mathcal{O}\big(\left(\log K / K\right)^{\frac{1}{2(2+d)}}\big)$, where $K$ denotes the number of iterations and d the dimension of the domain, thereby quantifying the trade-off between global exploration and local refinement. Moreover, the sample complexity is $\mathcal{O}\big(N^{-\frac{1}{4(2+d)}}\big)$ (up to logarithmic factors). We also propose a horizon-free variant that does not require prior knowledge of the iteration budget.


Black-box optimization of noisy functions with unknown smoothness

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study the problem of black-box optimization of a function f of any dimension, given function evaluations perturbed by noise. The function is assumed to be locally smooth around one of its global optima, but this smoothness is unknown. Our contribution is an adaptive optimization algorithm, POO or parallel optimistic optimization, that is able to deal with this setting. POO performs almost as well as the best known algorithms requiring the knowledge of the smoothness. Furthermore, POO works for a larger class of functions than what was previously considered, especially for functions that are difficult to optimize, in a very precise sense. We provide a finite-time analysis of POO's performance, which shows that its error after n evaluations is at most a factor of sqrt(ln n) away from the error of the best known optimization algorithms using the knowledge of the smoothness.


Revisiting Hilbert Schmidt Information Bottleneck for Adversarial Robustness

Neural Information Processing Systems

We investigate the HSIC (Hilbert-Schmidt independence criterion) bottleneck as a regularizer for learning an adversarially robust deep neural network classifier. In addition to the usual cross-entropy loss, we add regularization terms for every intermediate layer to ensure that the latent representations retain useful information for output prediction while reducing redundant information. We show that the HSIC bottleneck enhances robustness to adversarial attacks both theoretically and experimentally. In particular, we prove that the HSIC bottleneck regularizer reduces the sensitivity of the classifier to adversarial examples. Our experiments on multiple benchmark datasets and architectures demonstrate that incorporating an HSIC bottleneck regularizer attains competitive natural accuracy and improves adversarial robustness, both with and without adversarial examples during training. Our code and adversarially robust models are publicly available.2


Generalization at the Edge of Stability

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Training modern neural networks often relies on large learning rates, operating at the edge of stability, where the optimization dynamics exhibit oscillatory and chaotic behavior. Empirically, this regime often yields improved generalization performance, yet the underlying mechanism remains poorly understood. In this work, we represent stochastic optimizers as random dynamical systems, which often converge to a fractal attractor set (rather than a point) with a smaller intrinsic dimension. Building on this connection and inspired by Lyapunov dimension theory, we introduce a novel notion of dimension, coined the `sharpness dimension', and prove a generalization bound based on this dimension. Our results show that generalization in the chaotic regime depends on the complete Hessian spectrum and the structure of its partial determinants, highlighting a complexity that cannot be captured by the trace or spectral norm considered in prior work. Experiments across various MLPs and transformers validate our theory while also providing new insights into the recently observed phenomenon of grokking.


Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We derive a robust update rule for the online infinite hidden Markov model (iHMM) for when the streaming data contains outliers and the model is misspecified. Leveraging recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference, we define robustness via the posterior influence function (PIF), and provide conditions under which the online iHMM has bounded PIF. Imposing robustness inevitably induces an adaptation lag for regime switching. Our method, which is called Batched Robust iHMM (BR-iHMM), balances adaptivity and robustness with two additional tunable parameters. Across limit order book data, hourly electricity demand, and a synthetic high-dimensional linear system, BR-iHMM reduces one-step-ahead forecasting error by up to 67% relative to competing online Bayesian methods. Together with theoretical guarantees of bounded PIF, our results highlight the practicality of our approach for both forecasting and interpretable online learning.


Last-Iterate Convergence of Randomized Kaczmarz and SGD with Greedy Step Size

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study last-iterate convergence of SGD with greedy step size over smooth quadratics in the interpolation regime, a setting which captures the classical Randomized Kaczmarz algorithm as well as other popular iterative linear system solvers. For these methods, we show that the $t$-th iterate attains an $O(1/t^{3/4})$ convergence rate, addressing a question posed by Attia, Schliserman, Sherman, and Koren, who gave an $O(1/t^{1/2})$ guarantee for this setting. In the proof, we introduce the family of stochastic contraction processes, whose behavior can be described by the evolution of a certain deterministic eigenvalue equation, which we analyze via a careful discrete-to-continuous reduction.


A Direct Approach for Handling Contextual Bandits with Latent State Dynamics

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We revisit the finite-armed linear bandit model by Nelson et al. (2022), where contexts and rewards are governed by a finite hidden Markov chain. Nelson et al. (2022) approach this model by a reduction to linear contextual bandits; but to do so, they actually introduce a simplification in which rewards are linear functions of the posterior probabilities over the hidden states given the observed contexts, rather than functions of the hidden states themselves. Their analysis (but not their algorithm) also does not take into account the estimation of the HMM parameters, and only tackles expected, not high-probability, bounds, which suffer in addition from unnecessary complex dependencies on the model (like reward gaps). We instead study the more natural model incorporating direct dependencies in the hidden states (on top of dependencies on the observed contexts, as is natural for contextual bandits) and also obtain stronger, high-probability, regret bounds for a fully adaptive strategy that estimates HMM parameters online. These bounds do not depend on the reward functions and only depend on the model through the estimation of the HMM parameters.


Virtual Dummies: Enabling Scalable FDR-Controlled Variable Selection via Sequential Sampling of Null Features

arXiv.org Machine Learning

High-dimensional variable selection, particularly in genomics, requires error-controlling procedures that scale to millions of predictors. The Terminating-Random Experiments (T-Rex) selector achieves false discovery rate (FDR) control by aggregating results of early terminated random experiments, each combining original predictors with i.i.d. synthetic null variables (dummies). At biobank scales, however, explicit dummy augmentation requires terabytes of memory. We demonstrate that this bottleneck is not fundamental. Formalizing the information flow of forward selection through a filtration, we show that compatible selectors interact with unselected dummies solely through projections onto an adaptively evolving low-dimensional subspace. For rotationally invariant dummy distributions, we derive an adaptive stick-breaking construction sampling these projections from their exact conditional distribution given the selection history, thereby eliminating dummy matrix materialization. We prove a pathwise universality theorem: under mild delocalization conditions, selection paths driven by generic standardized i.i.d. dummies converge to the same Gaussian limit. We instantiate the theory through Virtual Dummy LARS (VD-LARS), reducing memory and runtime by several orders of magnitude while preserving the exact selection law and FDR guarantees of the T-Rex selector. Experiments on realistic genome-wide association study data confirm that VD-T-Rex controls FDR and achieves power at scales where all competing methods either fail or time out.


MEC: Machine-Learning-Assisted Generalized Entropy Calibration for Semi-Supervised Mean Estimation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Obtaining high-quality labels is costly, whereas unlabeled covariates are often abundant, motivating semi-supervised inference methods with reliable uncertainty quantification. Prediction-powered inference (PPI) leverages a machine-learning predictor trained on a small labeled sample to improve efficiency, but it can lose efficiency under model misspecification and suffer from coverage distortions due to label reuse. We introduce Machine-Learning-Assisted Generalized Entropy Calibration (MEC), a cross-fitted, calibration-weighted variant of PPI. MEC improves efficiency by reweighting labeled samples to better align with the target population, using a principled calibration framework based on Bregman projections. This yields robustness to affine transformations of the predictor and relaxes requirements for validity by replacing conditions on raw prediction error with weaker projection-error conditions. As a result, MEC attains the semiparametric efficiency bound under weaker assumptions than existing PPI variants. Across simulations and a real-data application, MEC achieves near-nominal coverage and tighter confidence intervals than CF-PPI and vanilla PPI.


Demographic Parity Tails for Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Demographic parity (DP) is a widely studied fairness criterion in regression, enforcing independence between the predictions and sensitive attributes. However, constraining the entire distribution can degrade predictive accuracy and may be unnecessary for many applications, where fairness concerns are localized to specific regions of the distribution. To overcome this issue, we propose a new framework for regression under DP that focuses on the tails of target distribution across sensitive groups. Our methodology builds on optimal transport theory. By enforcing fairness constraints only over targeted regions of the distribution, our approach enables more nuanced and context-sensitive interventions. Leveraging recent advances, we develop an interpretable and flexible algorithm that leverages the geometric structure of optimal transport. We provide theoretical guarantees, including risk bounds and fairness properties, and validate the method through experiments in regression settings.