index value
The Iceberg Index: Measuring Skills-centered Exposure in the AI Economy
Chopra, Ayush, Bhattacharya, Santanu, Salvador, DeAndrea, Paul, Ayan, Wright, Teddy, Garg, Aditi, Ahmad, Feroz, Schwarze, Alice C., Raskar, Ramesh, Balaprakash, Prasanna
Artificial Intelligence is reshaping America's \$9.4 trillion labor market, with cascading effects that extend far beyond visible technology sectors. When AI transforms quality control tasks in automotive plants, consequences spread through logistics networks, supply chains, and local service economies. Yet traditional workforce metrics cannot capture these ripple effects: they measure employment outcomes after disruption occurs, not where AI capabilities overlap with human skills before adoption crystallizes. Project Iceberg addresses this gap using Large Population Models to simulate the human-AI labor market, representing 151 million workers as autonomous agents executing over 32,000 skills and interacting with thousands of AI tools. It introduces the Iceberg Index, a skills-centered metric that measures the wage value of skills AI systems can perform within each occupation. The Index captures technical exposure, where AI can perform occupational tasks, not displacement outcomes or adoption timelines. Analysis shows that visible AI adoption concentrated in computing and technology (2.2% of wage value, approx \$211 billion) represents only the tip of the iceberg. Technical capability extends far below the surface through cognitive automation spanning administrative, financial, and professional services (11.7%, approx \$1.2 trillion). This exposure is fivefold larger and geographically distributed across all states rather than confined to coastal hubs. Traditional indicators such as GDP, income, and unemployment explain less than 5% of this skills-based variation, underscoring why new indices are needed to capture exposure in the AI economy. By simulating how these capabilities may spread under scenarios, Iceberg enables policymakers and business leaders to identify exposure hotspots, prioritize investments, and test interventions before committing billions to implementation
- North America > United States > California (0.05)
- North America > United States > North Carolina (0.05)
- North America > United States > Tennessee (0.05)
- (14 more...)
Optimizing Posterior Samples for Bayesian Optimization via Rootfinding
Adebiyi, Taiwo A., Do, Bach, Zhang, Ruda
Bayesian optimization devolves the global optimization of a costly objective function to the global optimization of a sequence of acquisition functions. This inner-loop optimization can be catastrophically difficult if it involves posterior sample paths, especially in higher dimensions. We introduce an efficient global optimization strategy for posterior samples based on global rootfinding. It provides gradient-based optimizers with two sets of judiciously selected starting points, designed to combine exploration and exploitation. The number of starting points can be kept small without sacrificing optimization quality. Remarkably, even with just one point from each set, the global optimum is discovered most of the time. The algorithm scales practically linearly to high dimensions, breaking the curse of dimensionality. For Gaussian process Thompson sampling (GP-TS), we demonstrate remarkable improvement in both inner- and outer-loop optimization, surprisingly outperforming alternatives like EI and GP-UCB in most cases. Our approach also improves the performance of other posterior sample-based acquisition functions, such as variants of entropy search. Furthermore, we propose a sample-average formulation of GP-TS, which has a parameter to explicitly control exploitation and can be computed at the cost of one posterior sample. Our implementation is available at https://github.com/UQUH/TSRoots .
- Energy > Oil & Gas > Upstream (0.34)
- Health & Medicine (0.34)
The maximum capability of a topological feature in link prediction
Ran, Yijun, Xu, Xiao-Ke, Jia, Tao
Link prediction is the task that predicts links of a network that are not directly visible, with profound applications in biological, social, and other complex systems. Despite intensive utilization of the topological feature in this task, it is unclear to what extent a feature can be leveraged to infer missing links. Here, we aim to unveil the capability of a topological feature in link prediction by identifying its prediction performance upper bound. We introduce a theoretical framework that is compatible with different indexes to gauge the feature, different prediction approaches to utilize the feature, and different metrics to quantify the prediction performance. The maximum capability of a topological feature follows a simple yet theoretically validated expression, which only depends on the extent to which the feature is held in missing and nonexistent links. Because a family of indexes based on the same feature shares the same upper bound, the potential of all others can be estimated from one single index. Furthermore, a feature's capability is lifted in the supervised prediction, which can be mathematically quantified, allowing us to estimate the benefit of applying machine learning algorithms. The universality of the pattern uncovered is empirically verified by 550 structurally diverse networks. The findings have applications in feature and method selection, and shed light on network characteristics that make a topological feature effective in link prediction.
- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.04)
- Asia > China > Beijing > Beijing (0.04)
- North America > United States > New Jersey > Middlesex County > Piscataway (0.04)
- (4 more...)
- Research Report > New Finding (0.46)
- Research Report > Experimental Study (0.46)
- Information Technology > Information Management > Search (1.00)
- Information Technology > Data Science > Data Mining (1.00)
- Information Technology > Communications (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Performance Analysis > Accuracy (0.46)
Fast Resampling Weighted v-Statistics
In this paper, a novel and computationally fast algorithm for computing weighted v-statistics in resampling both univariate and multivariate data is proposed. To avoid any real resampling, we have linked this problem with finite group action and converted it into a problem of orbit enumeration. For further computational cost reduction, an efficient method is developed to list all orbits by their symmetry orders and calculate all index function orbit sums and data function orbit sums recursively. The computational complexity analysis shows reduction in the computational cost from n! or n
- North America > United States > New York (0.05)
- North America > United States > Virginia > Fairfax County > Fairfax (0.04)
- North America > United States > Massachusetts > Suffolk County > Boston (0.04)
- (2 more...)
Black-Box Approximation and Optimization with Hierarchical Tucker Decomposition
Ryzhakov, Gleb, Chertkov, Andrei, Basharin, Artem, Oseledets, Ivan
Storing such a tensor often requires too much computational effort, and for large values of the dimension d, this is We develop a new method HTBB for the multidimensional completely impossible due to the so-called curse of dimensionality black-box approximation and gradientfree (the memory for storing data and the complexity optimization, which is based on the low-rank of working with it grows exponentially in d). To overcome hierarchical Tucker decomposition with the use it, various compression formats for multidimensional tensors of the MaxVol indices selection procedure. Numerical are proposed: Canonical Polyadic decomposition aka experiments for 14 complex model problems CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CPD) (Harshman et al., 1970), demonstrate the robustness of the proposed Tucker decomposition (Tucker, 1966), Tensor Train (TT) method for dimensions up to 1000, while it shows decomposition (Oseledets, 2011), Hierarchical Tucker (HT) significantly more accurate results than classical decomposition (Hackbusch & Kühn, 2009; Ballani et al., gradient-free optimization methods, as well as 2013), and their various modifications. These approaches approximation and optimization methods based make it possible to approximately represent the tensor in on the popular tensor train decomposition, which a compact low-rank (i.e., low-parameter) format and then represents a simpler case of a tensor network.
- Europe > Russia > Central Federal District > Moscow Oblast > Moscow (0.04)
- Asia > Russia (0.04)
Dynamic interactive group decision making method on two-dimensional language
The language evaluation information of the interactive group decision method at present is based on the one-dimension language variable. At the same time, multi-attribute group decision making method based on two-dimension linguistic information only use single-stage and static evaluation method. In this paper, we propose a dynamic group decision making method based on two-dimension linguistic information, combining dynamic interactive group decision making methods with two-dimensional language evaluation information The method first use Two-Dimensional Uncertain Linguistic Generalized Weighted Aggregation (DULGWA) Operators to aggregate the preference information of each decision maker, then adopting dynamic information entropy method to obtain weights of attributes at each stage. Finally we propose the group consistency index to quantify the termination conditions of group interaction. One example is given to verify the developed approach and to demonstrate its effectiveness
Fairness for Workers Who Pull the Arms: An Index Based Policy for Allocation of Restless Bandit Tasks
Biswas, Arpita, Killian, Jackson A., Diaz, Paula Rodriguez, Ghosh, Susobhan, Tambe, Milind
Motivated by applications such as machine repair, project monitoring, and anti-poaching patrol scheduling, we study intervention planning of stochastic processes under resource constraints. This planning problem has previously been modeled as restless multi-armed bandits (RMAB), where each arm is an intervention-dependent Markov Decision Process. However, the existing literature assumes all intervention resources belong to a single uniform pool, limiting their applicability to real-world settings where interventions are carried out by a set of workers, each with their own costs, budgets, and intervention effects. In this work, we consider a novel RMAB setting, called multi-worker restless bandits (MWRMAB) with heterogeneous workers. The goal is to plan an intervention schedule that maximizes the expected reward while satisfying budget constraints on each worker as well as fairness in terms of the load assigned to each worker. Our contributions are two-fold: (1) we provide a multi-worker extension of the Whittle index to tackle heterogeneous costs and per-worker budget and (2) we develop an index-based scheduling policy to achieve fairness. Further, we evaluate our method on various cost structures and show that our method significantly outperforms other baselines in terms of fairness without sacrificing much in reward accumulated.
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Greater London > London (0.04)
- North America > United States > Massachusetts (0.04)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
Networked Restless Bandits with Positive Externalities
Herlihy, Christine, Dickerson, John P.
Restless multi-armed bandits are often used to model budget-constrained resource allocation tasks where receipt of the resource is associated with an increased probability of a favorable state transition. Prior work assumes that individual arms only benefit if they receive the resource directly. However, many allocation tasks occur within communities and can be characterized by positive externalities that allow arms to derive partial benefit when their neighbor(s) receive the resource. We thus introduce networked restless bandits, a novel multi-armed bandit setting in which arms are both restless and embedded within a directed graph. We then present Greta, a graph-aware, Whittle index-based heuristic algorithm that can be used to efficiently construct a constrained reward-maximizing action vector at each timestep. Our empirical results demonstrate that Greta outperforms comparison policies across a range of hyperparameter values and graph topologies.
- North America > United States > Maryland > Prince George's County > College Park (0.14)
- North America > United States > Massachusetts > Middlesex County > Cambridge (0.04)
Efficient Resource Allocation with Fairness Constraints in Restless Multi-Armed Bandits
Li, Dexun, Varakantham, Pradeep
Restless Multi-Armed Bandits (RMAB) is an apt model to represent decision-making problems in public health interventions (e.g., tuberculosis, maternal, and child care), anti-poaching planning, sensor monitoring, personalized recommendations and many more. Existing research in RMAB has contributed mechanisms and theoretical results to a wide variety of settings, where the focus is on maximizing expected value. In this paper, we are interested in ensuring that RMAB decision making is also fair to different arms while maximizing expected value. In the context of public health settings, this would ensure that different people and/or communities are fairly represented while making public health intervention decisions. To achieve this goal, we formally define the fairness constraints in RMAB and provide planning and learning methods to solve RMAB in a fair manner. We demonstrate key theoretical properties of fair RMAB and experimentally demonstrate that our proposed methods handle fairness constraints without sacrificing significantly on solution quality.
- Asia > Singapore (0.04)
- Oceania > New Zealand (0.04)
- North America > United States (0.04)
- Asia > Middle East > Jordan (0.04)
- Health & Medicine > Therapeutic Area (1.00)
- Health & Medicine > Public Health (0.88)
Understanding Python: Part 3
"Python Collection" also called "Python Data Structure" constitutes the core functionality of how data is stored and being assigned to a variable. All the examples we have seen until now in this series "Understanding Python" had one element assigned to a variable and the data type of the element was either an int, float, or a bool. Moving forward in this article, we will be focussing more on the "advanced data types"(list, tuple, set, and dictionary) wherein a variable can hold more than one element. We will be learning about each item in the contents for their accessing technique, properties, operations, and the methods they offer. The list is a collection in python that can hold multiple elements in it of different data types. It is denoted by square brackets[] and separate items in it with commas.