impression
Learning Personalized Ad Impact via Contextual Reinforcement Learning under Delayed Rewards
Online advertising platforms use automated auctions to connect advertisers with potential customers, requiring effective bidding strategies to maximize profits. Accurate ad impact estimation requires considering three key factors: delayed and long-term effects, cumulative ad impacts such as reinforcement or fatigue, and customer heterogeneity. However, these effects are often not jointly addressed in previous studies. To capture these factors, we model ad bidding as a Contextual Markov Decision Process (CMDP) with delayed Poisson rewards. For efficient estimation, we propose a two-stage maximum likelihood estimator combined with data-splitting strategies, ensuring controlled estimation error based on the first-stage estimator's (in)accuracy. Building on this, we design a reinforcement learning algorithm to derive efficient personalized bidding strategies. This approach achieves a near-optimal regret bound of O(dH2 T), where d is the contextual dimension, H is the number of rounds, and T is the number of customers. Our theoretical findings are validated by simulation experiments.
CURV: Coherent Uncertainty-Aware Reasoning in Vision-Language Models for X-Ray Report Generation
Vision-language models have been explored for radiology report generation with promising results. Yet, uncertainty elaborated in findings and the reasoning process for reaching clinical impressions are seldom explicitly modeled, reducing the clinical accuracy and trustworthiness of the generated reports. We present CURV, a novel framework that alleviates the limitations through integrated awareness of uncertainty and explicit reasoning capabilities. Our approach consists of three key components: (1) an uncertainty modeling mechanism that teaches the model to recognize and express appropriate levels of diagnostic confidence, (2) a structured reasoning framework that generates intermediate explanatory steps connecting visual findings to clinical impressions, and (3) a reasoning coherence reward that ensures logical consistency among findings, reasoning, and impressions. We implement CURV through a three-stage training pipeline that combines uncertainty-aware fine-tuning, reasoning initialization, and reinforcement learning. In particular, we adopt a comprehensive reward function addresses multiple aspects of report quality, incorporating medical term matching, uncertainty expression evaluation, and semantic coherence evaluation. Experimental results demonstrate that CURV generates clinically relevant reports with appropriate uncertainty expressions and transparent reasoning traces, significantly outperforming previous methods. CURV represents a substantial advancement toward interpretable and trustworthy AI-generated radiology reports, with broader implications for the deployment of vision-language models in high-stakes clinical environments where uncertainty awareness and reasoning transparency are essential.
Incrementality Bidding via Reinforcement Learning under Mixed and Delayed Rewards
Incrementality, which measures the causal effect of showing an ad to a potential customer (e.g. a user in an internet platform) versus not, is a central object for advertisers in online advertising platforms. This paper investigates the problem of how an advertiser can learn to optimize the bidding sequence in an online manner without knowing the incrementality parameters in advance. We formulate the offline version of this problem as a specially structured episodic Markov Decision Process (MDP) and then, for its online learning counterpart, propose a novel reinforcement learning (RL) algorithm with regret at most eO(H2 T), which depends on the number of rounds H and number of episodes T, but does not depend on the number of actions (i.e., possible bids). A fundamental difference between our learning problem from standard RL problems is that the realized reward feedback from conversion incrementality is mixed and delayed. To handle this difficulty we propose and analyze a novel pairwise moment-matching algorithm to learn the conversion incrementality, which we believe is of independent interest.
Enhancing Knowledge Transfer for Task Incremental Learning with Data-free Subnetwork Qiang Gao
DSN primarily seeks to transfer knowledge to the new coming task from the learned tasks by selecting the affiliated weights of a small set of neurons to be activated, including the reused neurons from prior tasks via neuron-wise masks. And it also transfers possibly valuable knowledge to the earlier tasks via data-free replay.
Causal Inference on Stopped Random Walks in Online Advertising
We consider a causal inference problem frequently encountered in online advertising systems, where a publisher (e.g., Instagram, TikTok) interacts repeatedly with human users and advertisers by sporadically displaying to each user an advertisement selected through an auction. Each treatment corresponds to a parameter value of the advertising mechanism (e.g., auction reserve-price), and we want to estimate through experiments the corresponding long-term treatment effect (e.g., annual advertising revenue). In our setting, the treatment affects not only the instantaneous revenue from showing an ad, but also changes each user's interaction-trajectory, and each advertiser's bidding policy -- as the latter is constrained by a finite budget. In particular, each a treatment may even affect the size of the population, since users interact longer with a tolerable advertising mechanism. We drop the classical i.i.d. assumption and model the experiment measurements (e.g., advertising revenue) as a stopped random walk, and use a budget-splitting experimental design, the Anscombe Theorem, a Wald-like equation, and a Central Limit Theorem to construct confidence intervals for the long-term treatment effect.