Hypothesis selection is a fundamental problem in learning theory and statistics. Given a dataset and a finite set of candidate distributions, the goal is to select a distribution that matches the data as well as possible. More specifically, suppose we have sample access to an unknown distribution $P$ over a domain $\mathcal{X}$ that we know is well-approximated by one of a a class of $n$ distributions (a.k.a.

Hypothesis selection is a fundamental problem in learning theory and statistics.

Hypothesis selection is a fundamental problem in learning theory and statistics. Given a dataset and a finite set of candidate distributions, the goal is to select a distribution that matches the data as well as possible. More specifically, suppose we have sample access to an unknown distribution P over a domain \mathcal{X} that we know is well-approximated by one of a a class of n distributions (a.k.a. The goal is to design an algorithm that outputs a distribution \hat{H} \in \mathcal{H} whose total variation distance from P is nearly minimal.In this work, we study the hypothesis selection problem under memory constraints. We consider a model where samples from P are presented in a stream and we access each sample x via PDF-comparison'' queries that allow us to compare the probability densities of any pair of hypothesesat the domain point x (i.e., is H_i(x) H_j(x)?).

Hypothesis Selection is a fundamental distribution learning problem where given a comparator-class $Q=\{q_1,\ldots, q_n\}$ of distributions, and a sampling access to an unknown target distribution $p$, the goal is to output a distribution $q$ such that $\mathsf{TV}(p,q)$ is close to $opt$, where $opt = \min_i\{\mathsf{TV}(p,q_i)\}$ and $\mathsf{TV}(\cdot, \cdot)$ denotes the total-variation distance. Despite the fact that this problem has been studied since the 19th century, its complexity in terms of basic resources, such as number of samples and approximation guarantees, remains unsettled (this is discussed, e.g., in the charming book by Devroye and Lugosi `00). This is in stark contrast with other (younger) learning settings, such as PAC learning, for which these complexities are well understood. We derive an optimal $2$-approximation learning strategy for the Hypothesis Selection problem, outputting $q$ such that $\mathsf{TV}(p,q) \leq2 \cdot opt + \eps$, with a (nearly) optimal sample complexity of~$\tilde O(\log n/\epsilon^2)$. This is the first algorithm that simultaneously achieves the best approximation factor and sample complexity: previously, Bousquet, Kane, and Moran (COLT `19) gave a learner achieving the optimal $2$-approximation, but with an exponentially worse sample complexity of $\tilde O(\sqrt{n}/\epsilon^{2.5})$, and Yatracos~(Annals of Statistics `85) gave a learner with optimal sample complexity of $O(\log n /\epsilon^2)$ but with a sub-optimal approximation factor of $3$.

Voice: (818) 306-6144 FAX: (818) 306-6912 Content Areas: Applications (Stochastic Optimization),Model Selection Algorithms Abstract This paper considers the problem of learning the ranking of a set of alternatives based upon incomplete information (e.g., a limited number of observations). We describe two algorithms for hypothesis rankingand their application for probably approximately correct (PAC)and expected loss (EL) learning criteria. Empirical results are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of these ranking procedureson both synthetic datasets and real-world data from a spacecraft design optimization problem. 1 INTRODUCTION In many learning applications, the cost of information can be quite high, imposing a requirement that the learning algorithms glean as much usable information as possible with a minimum of data. For example: - In speedup learning, the expense of processing each training example can be significant [Tadepalli921. This paper provides a statistical decision-theoretic framework for the ranking of parametric distributions.

Voice: (818) 306-6144 FAX: (818) 306-6912 Content Areas: Applications (Stochastic Optimization),Model Selection Algorithms Abstract This paper considers the problem of learning the ranking of a set of alternatives based upon incomplete information (e.g., a limited number of observations). We describe two algorithms for hypothesis ranking and their application for probably approximately correct (PAC) and expected loss (EL) learning criteria. Empirical results are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of these ranking procedures on both synthetic datasets and real-world data from a spacecraft design optimization problem. 1 INTRODUCTION In many learning applications, the cost of information can be quite high, imposing a requirement that the learning algorithms glean as much usable information as possible with a minimum of data. For example: - In speedup learning, the expense of processing each training example can be significant [Tadepalli921. This paper provides a statistical decision-theoretic framework for the ranking of parametric distributions.

Voice: (818) 306-6144 FAX: (818) 306-6912 Content Areas: Applications (Stochastic Optimization),Model Selection Algorithms Abstract This paper considers the problem of learning the ranking of a set of alternatives based upon incomplete information (e.g., a limited number of observations). We describe two algorithms for hypothesis ranking and their application for probably approximately correct (PAC) and expected loss (EL) learning criteria. Empirical results are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of these ranking procedures on both synthetic datasets and real-world data from a spacecraft design optimization problem. 1 INTRODUCTION In many learning applications, the cost of information can be quite high, imposing a requirement that the learning algorithms glean as much usable information as possible with a minimum of data. For example: - In speedup learning, the expense of processing each training example can be significant [Tadepalli921. This paper provides a statistical decision-theoretic framework for the ranking of parametric distributions.