We analyze prediction error in stochastic dynamical systems with memory, focusing on generalized Langevin equations (GLEs) formulated as stochastic Volterra equations. We establish that, under a strongly convex potential, trajectory discrepancies decay at a rate determined by the decay of the memory kernel and are quantitatively bounded by the estimation error of the kernel in a weighted norm. Our analysis integrates synchronized noise coupling with a Volterra comparison theorem, encompassing both subexponential and exponential kernel classes. For first-order models, we derive moment and perturbation bounds using resolvent estimates in weighted spaces. For second-order models with confining potentials, we prove contraction and stability under kernel perturbations using a hypocoercive Lyapunov-type distance. This framework accommodates non-translation-invariant kernels and white-noise forcing, explicitly linking improved kernel estimation to enhanced trajectory prediction. Numerical examples validate these theoretical findings.

Linear and Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (LDA and QDA) are well-known classical methods but can heavily suffer from non-Gaussian distributions and/or contaminated datasets, mainly because of the underlying Gaussian assumption that is not robust. This paper studies the robustness to scale changes in the data of a new discriminant analysis technique where each data point is drawn by its own arbitrary Elliptically Symmetrical (ES) distribution and its own arbitrary scale parameter. Such a model allows for possibly very heterogeneous, independent but non-identically distributed samples. The new decision rule derived is simple, fast and robust to scale changes in the data compared to others state-of-the-art methods.

This paper presents a new algorithm: TSRuleGrowth, looking for partially-ordered rules over a time series. This algorithm takes principles from the state of the art of rule mining and applies them to time series via a new notion of support. We apply this algorithm to real data from a connected environment, which extract user habits through different connected objects.

We are developing a system that aims to perf orm the same inferences as a human reader, on car-crash reports. More precisely, we expect it to determine the causes of the accident as they appear from the text. We describe the genera l semantic framework in which our study takes place, the linguistic and semantic levels of analysis, and the inference rules used by the system.