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Generalized Belief Transport

Neural Information Processing Systems

Human learners have ability to adopt appropriate learning approaches depending on constraints such as prior on the hypothesis, urgency of decision, and drift of the environment. However, existing learning models are typically considered individually rather than in relation to one and other. To build agents that have the ability to move between different modes of learning over time, it is important to understand how learning models are related as points in a broader space of possibilities. We introduce a mathematical framework, Generalized Belief Transport (GBT), that unifies and generalizes prior models, including Bayesian inference, cooperative communication and classification, as parameterizations of three learning constraints within Unbalanced Optimal Transport (UOT). We visualize the space of learning models encoded by GBT as a cube which includes classic learning models as special points. We derive critical properties of this parameterized space including proving continuity and differentiability which is the basis for model interpolation, and study limiting behavior of the parameters, which allows attaching learning models on the boundaries. Moreover, we investigate the long-run behavior of GBT, explore convergence properties of models in GBT mathematical and computationally, document the ability to learn in the presence of distribution drift, and formulate conjectures about general behavior. We conclude with open questions and implications for more unified models of learning.


Generalizing while preserving monotonicity in comparison-based preference learning models

Fageot, Julien, Blanchard, Peva, Bareilles, Gilles, Hoang, Lê-Nguyên

arXiv.org Machine Learning

If you tell a learning model that you prefer an alternative $a$ over another alternative $b$, then you probably expect the model to be monotone, that is, the valuation of $a$ increases, and that of $b$ decreases. Yet, perhaps surprisingly, many widely deployed comparison-based preference learning models, including large language models, fail to have this guarantee. Until now, the only comparison-based preference learning algorithms that were proved to be monotone are the Generalized Bradley-Terry models. Yet, these models are unable to generalize to uncompared data. In this paper, we advance the understanding of the set of models with generalization ability that are monotone. Namely, we propose a new class of Linear Generalized Bradley-Terry models with Diffusion Priors, and identify sufficient conditions on alternatives' embeddings that guarantee monotonicity. Our experiments show that this monotonicity is far from being a general guarantee, and that our new class of generalizing models improves accuracy, especially when the dataset is limited.


Generalized Belief Transport

Neural Information Processing Systems

Human learners have ability to adopt appropriate learning approaches depending on constraints such as prior on the hypothesis, urgency of decision, and drift of the environment. However, existing learning models are typically considered individually rather than in relation to one and other. To build agents that have the ability to move between different modes of learning over time, it is important to understand how learning models are related as points in a broader space of possibilities. We introduce a mathematical framework, Generalized Belief Transport (GBT), that unifies and generalizes prior models, including Bayesian inference, cooperative communication and classification, as parameterizations of three learning constraints within Unbalanced Optimal Transport (UOT). We visualize the space of learning models encoded by GBT as a cube which includes classic learning models as special points.


Gradient Boosting Reinforcement Learning

Fuhrer, Benjamin, Tessler, Chen, Dalal, Gal

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Neural networks (NN) achieve remarkable results in various tasks, but lack key characteristics: interpretability, support for categorical features, and lightweight implementations suitable for edge devices. While ongoing efforts aim to address these challenges, Gradient Boosting Trees (GBT) inherently meet these requirements. As a result, GBTs have become the go-to method for supervised learning tasks in many real-world applications and competitions. However, their application in online learning scenarios, notably in reinforcement learning (RL), has been limited. In this work, we bridge this gap by introducing Gradient-Boosting RL (GBRL), a framework that extends the advantages of GBT to the RL domain. Using the GBRL framework, we implement various actor-critic algorithms and compare their performance with their NN counterparts. Inspired by shared backbones in NN we introduce a tree-sharing approach for policy and value functions with distinct learning rates, enhancing learning efficiency over millions of interactions. GBRL achieves competitive performance across a diverse array of tasks, excelling in domains with structured or categorical features. Additionally, we present a high-performance, GPU-accelerated implementation that integrates seamlessly with widely-used RL libraries (available at https://github.com/NVlabs/gbrl). GBRL expands the toolkit for RL practitioners, demonstrating the viability and promise of GBT within the RL paradigm, particularly in domains characterized by structured or categorical features.


Derivation-Graph-Based Characterizations of Decidable Existential Rule Sets

Lyon, Tim S., Rudolph, Sebastian

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper establishes alternative characterizations of very expressive classes of existential rule sets with decidable query entailment. We consider the notable class of greedy bounded-treewidth sets (gbts) and a new, generalized variant, called weakly gbts (wgbts). Revisiting and building on the notion of derivation graphs, we define (weakly) cycle-free derivation graph sets ((w)cdgs) and employ elaborate proof-theoretic arguments to obtain that gbts and cdgs coincide, as do wgbts and wcdgs. These novel characterizations advance our analytic proof-theoretic understanding of existential rules and will likely be instrumental in practice.


GBT: Two-stage transformer framework for non-stationary time series forecasting

Shen, Li, Wei, Yuning, Wang, Yangzhu

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper shows that time series forecasting Transformer (TSFT) suffers from severe over-fitting problem caused by improper initialization method of unknown decoder inputs, esp. when handling non-stationary time series. Based on this observation, we propose GBT, a novel two-stage Transformer framework with Good Beginning. It decouples the prediction process of TSFT into two stages, including Auto-Regression stage and Self-Regression stage to tackle the problem of different statistical properties between input and prediction sequences.Prediction results of Auto-Regression stage serve as a Good Beginning, i.e., a better initialization for inputs of Self-Regression stage. We also propose Error Score Modification module to further enhance the forecasting capability of the Self-Regression stage in GBT. Extensive experiments on seven benchmark datasets demonstrate that GBT outperforms SOTA TSFTs (FEDformer, Pyraformer, ETSformer, etc.) and many other forecasting models (SCINet, N-HiTS, etc.) with only canonical attention and convolution while owning less time and space complexity. It is also general enough to couple with these models to strengthen their forecasting capability. The source code is available at: https://github.com/OrigamiSL/GBT


SigOpt Mulch: An Intelligent System for AutoML of Gradient Boosted Trees

Sorokin, Aleksei, Zhu, Xinran, Lee, Eric Hans, Cheng, Bolong

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Gradient boosted trees (GBTs) are ubiquitous models used by researchers, machine learning (ML) practitioners, and data scientists because of their robust performance, interpretable behavior, and ease-of-use. One critical challenge in training GBTs is the tuning of their hyperparameters. In practice, selecting these hyperparameters is often done manually. Recently, the ML community has advocated for tuning hyperparameters through black-box optimization and developed state-of-the-art systems to do so. However, applying such systems to tune GBTs suffers from two drawbacks. First, these systems are not \textit{model-aware}, rather they are designed to apply to a \textit{generic} model; this leaves significant optimization performance on the table. Second, using these systems requires \textit{domain knowledge} such as the choice of hyperparameter search space, which is an antithesis to the automatic experimentation that black-box optimization aims to provide. In this paper, we present SigOpt Mulch, a model-aware hyperparameter tuning system specifically designed for automated tuning of GBTs that provides two improvements over existing systems. First, Mulch leverages powerful techniques in metalearning and multifidelity optimization to perform model-aware hyperparameter optimization. Second, it automates the process of learning performant hyperparameters by making intelligent decisions about the optimization search space, thus reducing the need for user domain knowledge. These innovations allow Mulch to identify good GBT hyperparameters far more efficiently -- and in a more seamless and user-friendly way -- than existing black-box hyperparameter tuning systems.


Dynamic Decision Tree Ensembles for Energy-Efficient Inference on IoT Edge Nodes

Daghero, Francesco, Burrello, Alessio, Macii, Enrico, Montuschi, Paolo, Poncino, Massimo, Pagliari, Daniele Jahier

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the increasing popularity of Internet of Things (IoT) devices, there is a growing need for energy-efficient Machine Learning (ML) models that can run on constrained edge nodes. Decision tree ensembles, such as Random Forests (RFs) and Gradient Boosting (GBTs), are particularly suited for this task, given their relatively low complexity compared to other alternatives. However, their inference time and energy costs are still significant for edge hardware. Given that said costs grow linearly with the ensemble size, this paper proposes the use of dynamic ensembles, that adjust the number of executed trees based both on a latency/energy target and on the complexity of the processed input, to trade-off computational cost and accuracy. We focus on deploying these algorithms on multi-core low-power IoT devices, designing a tool that automatically converts a Python ensemble into optimized C code, and exploring several optimizations that account for the available parallelism and memory hierarchy. We extensively benchmark both static and dynamic RFs and GBTs on three state-of-the-art IoT-relevant datasets, using an 8-core ultra-lowpower System-on-Chip (SoC), GAP8, as the target platform. Thanks to the proposed early-stopping mechanisms, we achieve an energy reduction of up to 37.9% with respect to static GBTs (8.82 uJ vs 14.20 uJ per inference) and 41.7% with respect to static RFs (2.86 uJ vs 4.90 uJ per inference), without losing accuracy compared to the static model.


GBT's Developing a Comprehensive Machine Learning Based Platform for Integrated Circuit Design, Verification, and Manufacturing

#artificialintelligence

SAN DIEGO, Nov. 16, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- GBT Technologies Inc. (OTC PINK: GTCHD) ("GBT" or the "Company"), is developing machine learning based software solutions to include integrated circuit design, verification and manufacturing aspects under one platform, enabling faster design, higher performance, and silicon yield. Based on its recent patented technology, GBT has started the development of a comprehensive software solution to address advanced nanometer challenges under one design environment. The software platform (internal code name MAGIC II), will address a wide variety of IC design aspects among these are functional verification, geometric design-rules correctness, power management, reliability and design for manufacturing (DFM). The platform is targeted to support analog, digital and mixed signal designs, enabling efficient scalability and process migration. GBT's ML technology plans to be implemented to ensure fast performance; especially, with today's very large ICs in the domains of AI, IoT and data processing.


How and why to build your own gradient boosted-tree package

#artificialintelligence

In order to make accurate and fast travel-time predictions, Lyft built a gradient boosted tree (GBT) package from the ground up. It is slower to train than off-the-shelf packages, but can be customized to treat space and time more efficiently and yield less volatile predictions. Machine learning runs at the core of what we do at Lyft. Examples include predicting travel time between two locations, modeling the probability of a ride being canceled, forecasting supply and demand, and many more. These models enable us to match riders and drivers more efficiently, incentivize drivers to be where they can get more rides, and improve the ride experience.